A few more plays this week as my comfort level is growing with most of the teams, but there are still plenty out there that I need more time to see, mostly due to all of the weather related cancellations. A lot of the stats I like using have not properly developed at the point in the season because of the different amount of games these teams have played.
Saturday:
Houston -6 $200 The Cougars got a late start to the season but have looked good against lesser competition so far. Texas Tech isn't exactly superior competition so that's the first thing I like going into this play. Kyle Allen seems to be liking the system as he is hitting 86.2% of his passes after 2 games. Texas Tech will struggle to get anything on the ground and Houston can sit back in coverage while still getting pressure with 4 lineman. This could turn into a higher scoring game so I'm happy to have the team that can get a stop when they need it.
SMU -5.5 $200 First off, Arkansas State is no slouch. They always schedule tough OOC games and usually compete so do not be surprised if this game is close throughout. I'm betting on a huge bounce back game by Courtland Sutton who only had 1 catch for 0 yards against TCU after having 4 TD's against North Texas the prior week. Red Wolves have put up some lofty numbers after 2 games against Nebraska and Arkansas Pine Bluff and will likely add to them, but SMU should grab a few turnovers to add to their +5 margin and put it away in the 2nd half. This is the kind of game that they need to win to start getting taken seriously as a threat.
Alabama -18.5 $200 I've seen this game before. In 2015 it was at #8 Georgia and most recently last year when Alabama traveled to #9 Tennessee. Bama was favored by 13 and smashed the Vols by 39. Vandy is a great little story right now. For the past 6 days the fan base has been able to dream of this battle of SEC undefeated teams, the visions of storming the field after an epic upset is in the back of their minds. But it's not happening. 60 minutes of superior athletes, coaching and scheming will overwhelm the Commodores. This Vandy team gained 71 rushing yards on 35 carries against Middle Tennessee and 65 yards on 32 carries against Kansas State. Kyle Shurmer is not a mobile QB. Alabama has not turned the ball over this season. While I expect Vandy to be a little plucky, they will get overwhelmed by a team that is ready to get serious.
Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. Also be ready to hit Virginia Tech on a 2nd half play... I posted their last 7 2nd half results in my Week 3 observations and overreactions thread. Waiting for an Oregon TT also, Arizona State can't stop anyone, just a little iffy since the Ducks have taken their foot off the gas in the 2nd half so far this season.
A few more plays this week as my comfort level is growing with most of the teams, but there are still plenty out there that I need more time to see, mostly due to all of the weather related cancellations. A lot of the stats I like using have not properly developed at the point in the season because of the different amount of games these teams have played.
Saturday:
Houston -6 $200 The Cougars got a late start to the season but have looked good against lesser competition so far. Texas Tech isn't exactly superior competition so that's the first thing I like going into this play. Kyle Allen seems to be liking the system as he is hitting 86.2% of his passes after 2 games. Texas Tech will struggle to get anything on the ground and Houston can sit back in coverage while still getting pressure with 4 lineman. This could turn into a higher scoring game so I'm happy to have the team that can get a stop when they need it.
SMU -5.5 $200 First off, Arkansas State is no slouch. They always schedule tough OOC games and usually compete so do not be surprised if this game is close throughout. I'm betting on a huge bounce back game by Courtland Sutton who only had 1 catch for 0 yards against TCU after having 4 TD's against North Texas the prior week. Red Wolves have put up some lofty numbers after 2 games against Nebraska and Arkansas Pine Bluff and will likely add to them, but SMU should grab a few turnovers to add to their +5 margin and put it away in the 2nd half. This is the kind of game that they need to win to start getting taken seriously as a threat.
Alabama -18.5 $200 I've seen this game before. In 2015 it was at #8 Georgia and most recently last year when Alabama traveled to #9 Tennessee. Bama was favored by 13 and smashed the Vols by 39. Vandy is a great little story right now. For the past 6 days the fan base has been able to dream of this battle of SEC undefeated teams, the visions of storming the field after an epic upset is in the back of their minds. But it's not happening. 60 minutes of superior athletes, coaching and scheming will overwhelm the Commodores. This Vandy team gained 71 rushing yards on 35 carries against Middle Tennessee and 65 yards on 32 carries against Kansas State. Kyle Shurmer is not a mobile QB. Alabama has not turned the ball over this season. While I expect Vandy to be a little plucky, they will get overwhelmed by a team that is ready to get serious.
Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. Also be ready to hit Virginia Tech on a 2nd half play... I posted their last 7 2nd half results in my Week 3 observations and overreactions thread. Waiting for an Oregon TT also, Arizona State can't stop anyone, just a little iffy since the Ducks have taken their foot off the gas in the 2nd half so far this season.
I love smu and the over... what u think about the over?
Both teams will move the ball, converting 11 TD's will be the question. Arky St Red Zone defense has been better than SMU's. I don't like betting Overs this high honestly
I love smu and the over... what u think about the over?
Both teams will move the ball, converting 11 TD's will be the question. Arky St Red Zone defense has been better than SMU's. I don't like betting Overs this high honestly
I have a total I really like and am curious what you think of it
Duke/UNC
Looked into this game.... stat that stuck out? Duke tied for 1st in TOP at 37 minutes/game. UNC at 28. Duke gets some long FG drives, it's gonna kill that number.
I have a total I really like and am curious what you think of it
Duke/UNC
Looked into this game.... stat that stuck out? Duke tied for 1st in TOP at 37 minutes/game. UNC at 28. Duke gets some long FG drives, it's gonna kill that number.
Looked into this game.... stat that stuck out? Duke tied for 1st in TOP at 37 minutes/game. UNC at 28. Duke gets some long FG drives, it's gonna kill that number.
I think we are on the same page. I'm on the Under. I'm not sure what you mean by kill the number.
Looked into this game.... stat that stuck out? Duke tied for 1st in TOP at 37 minutes/game. UNC at 28. Duke gets some long FG drives, it's gonna kill that number.
I think we are on the same page. I'm on the Under. I'm not sure what you mean by kill the number.
A few more plays this week as my comfort level is growing with most of the teams, but there are still plenty out there that I need more time to see, mostly due to all of the weather related cancellations. A lot of the stats I like using have not properly developed at the point in the season because of the different amount of games these teams have played.
Saturday:
Houston -6 $200 The Cougars got a late start to the season but have looked good against lesser competition so far. Texas Tech isn't exactly superior competition so that's the first thing I like going into this play. Kyle Allen seems to be liking the system as he is hitting 86.2% of his passes after 2 games. Texas Tech will struggle to get anything on the ground and Houston can sit back in coverage while still getting pressure with 4 lineman. This could turn into a higher scoring game so I'm happy to have the team that can get a stop when they need it.
SMU -5.5 $200 First off, Arkansas State is no slouch. They always schedule tough OOC games and usually compete so do not be surprised if this game is close throughout. I'm betting on a huge bounce back game by Courtland Sutton who only had 1 catch for 0 yards against TCU after having 4 TD's against North Texas the prior week. Red Wolves have put up some lofty numbers after 2 games against Nebraska and Arkansas Pine Bluff and will likely add to them, but SMU should grab a few turnovers to add to their +5 margin and put it away in the 2nd half. This is the kind of game that they need to win to start getting taken seriously as a threat.
Alabama -18.5 $200 I've seen this game before. In 2015 it was at #8 Georgia and most recently last year when Alabama traveled to #9 Tennessee. Bama was favored by 13 and smashed the Vols by 39. Vandy is a great little story right now. For the past 6 days the fan base has been able to dream of this battle of SEC undefeated teams, the visions of storming the field after an epic upset is in the back of their minds. But it's not happening. 60 minutes of superior athletes, coaching and scheming will overwhelm the Commodores. This Vandy team gained 71 rushing yards on 35 carries against Middle Tennessee and 65 yards on 32 carries against Kansas State. Kyle Shurmer is not a mobile QB. Alabama has not turned the ball over this season. While I expect Vandy to be a little plucky, they will get overwhelmed by a team that is ready to get serious.
Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. Also be ready to hit Virginia Tech on a 2nd half play... I posted their last 7 2nd half results in my Week 3 observations and overreactions thread. Waiting for an Oregon TT also, Arizona State can't stop anyone, just a little iffy since the Ducks have taken their foot off the gas in the 2nd half so far this season.
Your cap on Bama' could not be more clear, Saban is a 'blow-out' coach, Vandy looks promising; as long as there opponents are not from the SEC, no after the game, on the field shenanigans from Vandy fans, Alabama 45 Vanderbilt 20 all day long....
excellent write ups, 9-1 +13.3 units; You're rollin' my man..good work
A few more plays this week as my comfort level is growing with most of the teams, but there are still plenty out there that I need more time to see, mostly due to all of the weather related cancellations. A lot of the stats I like using have not properly developed at the point in the season because of the different amount of games these teams have played.
Saturday:
Houston -6 $200 The Cougars got a late start to the season but have looked good against lesser competition so far. Texas Tech isn't exactly superior competition so that's the first thing I like going into this play. Kyle Allen seems to be liking the system as he is hitting 86.2% of his passes after 2 games. Texas Tech will struggle to get anything on the ground and Houston can sit back in coverage while still getting pressure with 4 lineman. This could turn into a higher scoring game so I'm happy to have the team that can get a stop when they need it.
SMU -5.5 $200 First off, Arkansas State is no slouch. They always schedule tough OOC games and usually compete so do not be surprised if this game is close throughout. I'm betting on a huge bounce back game by Courtland Sutton who only had 1 catch for 0 yards against TCU after having 4 TD's against North Texas the prior week. Red Wolves have put up some lofty numbers after 2 games against Nebraska and Arkansas Pine Bluff and will likely add to them, but SMU should grab a few turnovers to add to their +5 margin and put it away in the 2nd half. This is the kind of game that they need to win to start getting taken seriously as a threat.
Alabama -18.5 $200 I've seen this game before. In 2015 it was at #8 Georgia and most recently last year when Alabama traveled to #9 Tennessee. Bama was favored by 13 and smashed the Vols by 39. Vandy is a great little story right now. For the past 6 days the fan base has been able to dream of this battle of SEC undefeated teams, the visions of storming the field after an epic upset is in the back of their minds. But it's not happening. 60 minutes of superior athletes, coaching and scheming will overwhelm the Commodores. This Vandy team gained 71 rushing yards on 35 carries against Middle Tennessee and 65 yards on 32 carries against Kansas State. Kyle Shurmer is not a mobile QB. Alabama has not turned the ball over this season. While I expect Vandy to be a little plucky, they will get overwhelmed by a team that is ready to get serious.
Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. Also be ready to hit Virginia Tech on a 2nd half play... I posted their last 7 2nd half results in my Week 3 observations and overreactions thread. Waiting for an Oregon TT also, Arizona State can't stop anyone, just a little iffy since the Ducks have taken their foot off the gas in the 2nd half so far this season.
Your cap on Bama' could not be more clear, Saban is a 'blow-out' coach, Vandy looks promising; as long as there opponents are not from the SEC, no after the game, on the field shenanigans from Vandy fans, Alabama 45 Vanderbilt 20 all day long....
excellent write ups, 9-1 +13.3 units; You're rollin' my man..good work
"Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. "
Wonder why you like UTSA. I know they beat Baylor but Baylor is not good this year. Their left guard Kyle McKinney is out for the season. Texas State played very well against Appalachian State. In fact, they outgained about 100 yards. The QB Damian Williams ( from Miss State) plays very well. Appalachian State is a good team. I'm leaning to Texas State at home dog 13. Respect your pick and your record. Could you please give the reason. Thanks in advance.
"Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. "
Wonder why you like UTSA. I know they beat Baylor but Baylor is not good this year. Their left guard Kyle McKinney is out for the season. Texas State played very well against Appalachian State. In fact, they outgained about 100 yards. The QB Damian Williams ( from Miss State) plays very well. Appalachian State is a good team. I'm leaning to Texas State at home dog 13. Respect your pick and your record. Could you please give the reason. Thanks in advance.
"Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. "
Wonder why you like UTSA. I know they beat Baylor but Baylor is not good this year. Their left guard Kyle McKinney is out for the season. Texas State played very well against Appalachian State. In fact, they outgained about 100 yards. The QB Damian Williams ( from Miss State) plays very well. Appalachian State is a good team. I'm leaning to Texas State at home dog 13. Respect your pick and your record. Could you please give the reason. Thanks in advance.
UTSA has more ability to score than TSU... Bobcats only average 3.4 yards/carry. Their best offensive performance is 20 points against Houston Baptist. I think there is a little overreaction to the AppSt score... They did have a 10-0 lead before AppSt woke up and put up 20 straight and that was with Jalin Moore injured. I also see the Roadrunners as a team on the upswing while TSU is still trying to find their identity
"Waiting to see what lines do in the UL Lafayette game, along with UTSA and Cal. All 3 are highly likely to be plays. "
Wonder why you like UTSA. I know they beat Baylor but Baylor is not good this year. Their left guard Kyle McKinney is out for the season. Texas State played very well against Appalachian State. In fact, they outgained about 100 yards. The QB Damian Williams ( from Miss State) plays very well. Appalachian State is a good team. I'm leaning to Texas State at home dog 13. Respect your pick and your record. Could you please give the reason. Thanks in advance.
UTSA has more ability to score than TSU... Bobcats only average 3.4 yards/carry. Their best offensive performance is 20 points against Houston Baptist. I think there is a little overreaction to the AppSt score... They did have a 10-0 lead before AppSt woke up and put up 20 straight and that was with Jalin Moore injured. I also see the Roadrunners as a team on the upswing while TSU is still trying to find their identity
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