Winning Trends/Stats

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Author: [College Football] Topic: Winning Trends/Stats
WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/3/2017 10:27:40 AM
You might want to consider NORTHERN ILLINOIS this season when they are playing on the road.

The Huskies are 28-6 straight up and 25-8-1 against the spread in their last 34 road games.  Strong!

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/3/2017 11:10:58 AM
The STANFORD CARDINAL are gold before playing the Oregon Ducks.  Try 12-0 against the spread the past 12 seasons.

This season they will travel to Utah before playing the Ducks.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/4/2017 11:14:28 AM
The OHIO STATE BUCKEYES are 17-1 against the spread playing on the road after a straight up loss.

Probably won't happen often with Urban Meyer the coach but worth filing away just in case.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/5/2017 7:26:01 AM
The AIR FORCE FALCONS are just 2-12 against the spread after playing Army and Navy since 2010,

This season the Falcons will face UNLV (Sept. 14) after facing Navy and Wyoming (Nov. 11) after playing Army.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/5/2017 10:45:59 AM
New NCAA Rules Proposals

The NCAA rules committee said Friday it wants to make it illegal for defenders to hurdle linemen to block a kick and to expand what constitutes a horse collar tackle.  It decided against tinkering with the targeting rule to eliminate the ejection penalty for some of the fouls.

The rules committee also proposed requiring players to wear knee pads and pants that cover the knees.  All proposals still need approval from the Oversight Panel, which meets April 19.  If approved, the changes would go into effect next season.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/5/2017 10:55:43 AM
**Messed up by posting the above post in the wrong thread.

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Might want to think twice before playing the ARIZONA WILDCATS late in the season.  The Wildcats are a money burning 3-17 against the spread as "Favorites" during the "Regular season" from game TEN out.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/6/2017 8:47:24 AM
2016 Best ATS Teams:

Temple (12-2)
Penn State (10-3-1)
Eastern Michigan (10-3)
Colorado State (10-3)
Oregon State (10-3)
Western Michigan (10-4)
Colorado (10-4)
BYU (9-4)
Miami, OH (9-4)
Miami, FL (9-4)
Tulsa (9-4)
Wisconsin (9-4-1)

2016 Worst ATS Teams:

Arizona (2-10)
Florida Atlantic (2-9-1)
Oregon (2-9-1)
UConn (2-9-1)
Boise State (3-10)
TCU (3-10)
South Alabama (3-9-1)
Georgia Southern (3-9)
East Carolina (3-9)
Cincinnati (3-9)
Utah State (3-9)
Texas A&M (3-9)
WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/7/2017 8:49:19 AM
The VANDERBILT COMMODORES are 0-16 straight up and 2-14 against the spread in "Game Six" of the season over the last 16 years.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/8/2017 7:18:19 AM
The UTAH STATE AGGIES are 14-1 against the spread when playing as "Dogs" of "11 points" are more.

Last year was a winner as a 24 point dog to Boise State.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/9/2017 9:29:01 AM
The AUBURN TIGERS are 32-1 straight up in non-conference home games since 2007. 

The only loss was to Clemson last year 19-13.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/10/2017 7:25:09 AM
The ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI  are just 2-11 against the spread before playing "Iowa".

This season the Illini play Nebraska before facing Iowa.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/11/2017 9:14:57 AM
The TCU HORNED FROGS love their rest.  Try 12-2 against the spread following an "Open Date".

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/12/2017 8:44:42 AM
The HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS are money burners in their "second of back-to-back Road games".  Try 2-10 against the spread. 

No one puts in more travel miles than the Rainbow boys.



WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/13/2017 10:47:00 AM
The "Home Team" in the NORTHWESTERN/MICHIGAN STATE series is  a money burning 1-13 against the spread.

So much for home field advantage.  Northwestern will host this year.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/14/2017 8:39:43 AM
The MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS have owned Michigan the past nine years going 9-0 against the spread.

mws PM mws
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Posted: 3/14/2017 10:41:01 AM
Thanks. 
WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/14/2017 8:17:02 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by mws] Thanks. 

No...thank you my friend....appreciate you sir.

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The HOUSTON COUGARS are 12-0-1 as "Dogs" the past five years.

Sidenote:  A new coach (Major Applewhite) takes over this year.



WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/16/2017 7:08:48 AM
The GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS are 5-16 against the spread as "Non-Conference"  "Home Favorites of 14 or less points".

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/17/2017 12:39:41 PM
The KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES are  their first two games of the season.  Try 3-15 against the spread.

Game one 2-7 ATS and game two 1-8 ATS.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/18/2017 8:04:57 AM
The NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES are 0-10 against the spread in "Game one" of the season.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/19/2017 10:33:14 AM
The OREGON STATE BEAVERS have been terrible for a bettor in "Game 2" of the season.  Try 1-13 against the spread.

On September 2nd, Portland State comes calling.

WalterTibbs PM WalterTibbs
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Posted: 3/20/2017 10:08:59 AM
The NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK are playing as "Dogs" with "Rest".  Try a strong 13-0 against the spread.

Notre Dame on October 28th follows an open date this season.  Good chance the Wolfpack will be underdogs.

UNIMAN PM UNIMAN
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Posted: 3/20/2017 11:57:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WalterTibbs:

2016 Best ATS Teams:

Temple (12-2)
Penn State (10-3-1)
Eastern Michigan (10-3)
Colorado State (10-3)
Oregon State (10-3)
Western Michigan (10-4)
Colorado (10-4)
BYU (9-4)
Miami, OH (9-4)
Miami, FL (9-4)
Tulsa (9-4)
Wisconsin (9-4-1)



Just looking at the first four teams on this list the common theme appears to be a huge ATS loss at the beginning of the season.

--Temple lost game 1 to Army 28-13 as a -14.5 fav.

--Penn St started out with the first five games  ATS -- L,W,L,L, and a Push. The forth game was a 49-10 beating by Michigan an +15.5 dog. (several linebackers out in that one)

--Eastern MI won their first and then took a 61-21 beating from Missouri as an +17 dog in their second game.

--Colorado State started the season with a loss to Colorado, 44-7 as an +7 dog.

An early underachieving team appears to be a good choice later ATS providing they actually do achieve their potential.

UNIMAN PM UNIMAN
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Posted: 3/20/2017 12:00:10 PM
Correction, that should say "The forth game was a 49-10 beating by Michigan AS an +15.5 dog." Penn St being the dog.
mws PM mws
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Posted: 3/20/2017 12:05:01 PM
Good observation, Uniman.
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