38 bowl games? I'm certainly not complaining, but a PSA to the forum to take note some of these teams, in some of the bowls, are just slightly above average. Now that's not to imply that they won't do well, quite the opposite for some. Basically, some teams will fall below the Mendoza Line on paper, but don't discount them, especially sizing up against a statistical façade from a media prognosticated top conference. Enough of the preface, it's time to get capping on the 38 bowls of the holiday season, and what a way to kick things off with five games running all day and night.
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Much of the attention will go to Terence Broadway and Cody Fajardo, who have the combined most games played by the signal callers, and yet both fly well under the radar of the national spotlight. And that likely is just fine with them, however, now they each get another shot to leave an impression. Statistically, both offenses are about on par with Nevada representing something more stable, but La-Laf having a greater wingspan in their productivity. La-Laf offense ranks in the top 10 in third down conversions, one stat all of us cappers should not be overlooking. Defensively, I give the edge to La-Laf on paper as Nevada ranks in the bottom half of such important metrics as third down conversions and red zone efficiency. La-Laf has their own defensive issues and we can't ignore the teams each has played. La-Laf has won their last three bowl games, but from a program perspective, Nevada is better than the previous three victims. And not so much better on the field, but bigger, faster, stronger at a macro level. Take all the stats you see for each team and skew them each in different directions - Nevada's numbers would be better against teams La-Laf played and La-Laf's would not be as good vs. the same schedule as the Wolfpack.
The line, of course, memorializes the fact that La-Laf has won three straight bowls and Nevada, though bigger in name, has basically failed preseason expectations. The paper stats and historical performance tell me that La-Laf should win, but I have a slight lean toward Nevada. I have no interest in kicking off the bowl season with a coin flip, so I'll take my research, see a whole bunch of offensive productivity for both teams that really slaps you in the face and look to the hidden numbers to write this script.
Nevada-Louisiana-Lafayette under 63.5 -110 (88 units to win 80)
38 bowl games? I'm certainly not complaining, but a PSA to the forum to take note some of these teams, in some of the bowls, are just slightly above average. Now that's not to imply that they won't do well, quite the opposite for some. Basically, some teams will fall below the Mendoza Line on paper, but don't discount them, especially sizing up against a statistical façade from a media prognosticated top conference. Enough of the preface, it's time to get capping on the 38 bowls of the holiday season, and what a way to kick things off with five games running all day and night.
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Much of the attention will go to Terence Broadway and Cody Fajardo, who have the combined most games played by the signal callers, and yet both fly well under the radar of the national spotlight. And that likely is just fine with them, however, now they each get another shot to leave an impression. Statistically, both offenses are about on par with Nevada representing something more stable, but La-Laf having a greater wingspan in their productivity. La-Laf offense ranks in the top 10 in third down conversions, one stat all of us cappers should not be overlooking. Defensively, I give the edge to La-Laf on paper as Nevada ranks in the bottom half of such important metrics as third down conversions and red zone efficiency. La-Laf has their own defensive issues and we can't ignore the teams each has played. La-Laf has won their last three bowl games, but from a program perspective, Nevada is better than the previous three victims. And not so much better on the field, but bigger, faster, stronger at a macro level. Take all the stats you see for each team and skew them each in different directions - Nevada's numbers would be better against teams La-Laf played and La-Laf's would not be as good vs. the same schedule as the Wolfpack.
The line, of course, memorializes the fact that La-Laf has won three straight bowls and Nevada, though bigger in name, has basically failed preseason expectations. The paper stats and historical performance tell me that La-Laf should win, but I have a slight lean toward Nevada. I have no interest in kicking off the bowl season with a coin flip, so I'll take my research, see a whole bunch of offensive productivity for both teams that really slaps you in the face and look to the hidden numbers to write this script.
Nevada-Louisiana-Lafayette under 63.5 -110 (88 units to win 80)
Good luck and happy Saturday bro. Any play or lean on chargers Niners game tonight? Taking my nephew and foots make a play. Lol. Have a good one. Thank u
Good luck and happy Saturday bro. Any play or lean on chargers Niners game tonight? Taking my nephew and foots make a play. Lol. Have a good one. Thank u
Great read to open up the bowl season then dropped three straight.. Just realized today's game is an afternooner. Can't beat passing the work day with some action. Back in a bit
Great read to open up the bowl season then dropped three straight.. Just realized today's game is an afternooner. Can't beat passing the work day with some action. Back in a bit
Some food for thought and this goes back to the preface of what we see on paper.. We've been presented with guidance that Memphis has a real good defense and BYU had a fast paced high octane offense. Statistically, both are true, but 5 of Memphis' last 6 games have been against teams in the bottom 20 for total offense. On the flip, in BYUs last four they have played a non-FBS team and three teams in the bottom 20 for total defense. There are some special things happening down in Memphis and this team will only get better next year. Bronco is a great coach, but I don't think this diluted Cougar team is better than Memphis. I'll take a good defense vs. a second string offense who I think will move too fast in this one
Some food for thought and this goes back to the preface of what we see on paper.. We've been presented with guidance that Memphis has a real good defense and BYU had a fast paced high octane offense. Statistically, both are true, but 5 of Memphis' last 6 games have been against teams in the bottom 20 for total offense. On the flip, in BYUs last four they have played a non-FBS team and three teams in the bottom 20 for total defense. There are some special things happening down in Memphis and this team will only get better next year. Bronco is a great coach, but I don't think this diluted Cougar team is better than Memphis. I'll take a good defense vs. a second string offense who I think will move too fast in this one
Jerome - thanks buddy. Hope you and all the family have a happy and safe holiday season. And profitable, but first two more important
Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
Central Michigan 1h +2.5 -110 (110 units to win 100) Central Michigan 1h +135 (40 units to win 54)
We all just saw Marshall spank a good No Illinois and oh yeah W Kent beat Marshall last time out. So off a huge win, lots of time off and now in the Bahamas vs a program that continues to win games and do thief thig year in and year out. I see a bad spot for the Hilltoppers and Cent Mich is balanced enough on both sides of the ball to be annoying
Disclaimer : Id be having a more profitable bowl season if I laid off the halfie bets. But I'm a degenerate.
Jerome - thanks buddy. Hope you and all the family have a happy and safe holiday season. And profitable, but first two more important
Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
Central Michigan 1h +2.5 -110 (110 units to win 100) Central Michigan 1h +135 (40 units to win 54)
We all just saw Marshall spank a good No Illinois and oh yeah W Kent beat Marshall last time out. So off a huge win, lots of time off and now in the Bahamas vs a program that continues to win games and do thief thig year in and year out. I see a bad spot for the Hilltoppers and Cent Mich is balanced enough on both sides of the ball to be annoying
Disclaimer : Id be having a more profitable bowl season if I laid off the halfie bets. But I'm a degenerate.
Once again, my overal view of the game is on point, but I got cute and played the half lines. Oh well, lots of game to be played, need to cut the crack pot bets
Once again, my overal view of the game is on point, but I got cute and played the half lines. Oh well, lots of game to be played, need to cut the crack pot bets
Not the only stat you should mull over when capping this one, but I haven't seen much mention of it yet in the forum.
1 TD / 10 Interceptions
19 TD / 2 Interceptions
The first is Gary Nova's stats vs. Penn State, Ohio State, Nebraska, Wisconsin and Michigan State. The second set of numbers is his stats vs. all other teams, UNC's defense is no where near the opponents on the first line and in fact they are probably worse than some of the teams in the other category. Nova, in my opinion, is going to shred this Tarheel defense.
Not the only stat you should mull over when capping this one, but I haven't seen much mention of it yet in the forum.
1 TD / 10 Interceptions
19 TD / 2 Interceptions
The first is Gary Nova's stats vs. Penn State, Ohio State, Nebraska, Wisconsin and Michigan State. The second set of numbers is his stats vs. all other teams, UNC's defense is no where near the opponents on the first line and in fact they are probably worse than some of the teams in the other category. Nova, in my opinion, is going to shred this Tarheel defense.
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