This was one of the tougher teams to cap for me on my first pass. Doing a more detailed dive in early August. Lots of sharp SD St cappers in here so I'm sure you will get good takes.
FWIW....what I see
Good
- don't see any major holes; maybe back 7 on D and ST
- Long 13-10 ATS L2Y and 11-4-1 ATS in Conf; I always like to see that; A proxy for exceeding expectations.
- I like the QB; Have no idea how good Stamps will be at RB but they have a history of good RB and also return Pumphrey; OL looks decent
- DL looks like it has potential to be very good
Bad ?
- could argue due for ATS fall but I like these guys because they are usually under the radar
- they did give up 31.7/game LY
- fewest returning starters in a number of yrs
So ??
ATS I think they will be over .500 and a good play "on" team in many spots; but like you say - probably avoid as big favs esp on the road
If I was doing team totals - would not be crazy about the over since they have what looks like on the surface a bunch of tough games - @ UNC @ Oregon St @ Fresno @ Boise @ Nevada which I think means at least 3-4 losses and like you say they will for sure lose to someone crappy
Prediction....7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS
GL....MEGA
This was one of the tougher teams to cap for me on my first pass. Doing a more detailed dive in early August. Lots of sharp SD St cappers in here so I'm sure you will get good takes.
FWIW....what I see
Good
- don't see any major holes; maybe back 7 on D and ST
- Long 13-10 ATS L2Y and 11-4-1 ATS in Conf; I always like to see that; A proxy for exceeding expectations.
- I like the QB; Have no idea how good Stamps will be at RB but they have a history of good RB and also return Pumphrey; OL looks decent
- DL looks like it has potential to be very good
Bad ?
- could argue due for ATS fall but I like these guys because they are usually under the radar
- they did give up 31.7/game LY
- fewest returning starters in a number of yrs
So ??
ATS I think they will be over .500 and a good play "on" team in many spots; but like you say - probably avoid as big favs esp on the road
If I was doing team totals - would not be crazy about the over since they have what looks like on the surface a bunch of tough games - @ UNC @ Oregon St @ Fresno @ Boise @ Nevada which I think means at least 3-4 losses and like you say they will for sure lose to someone crappy
Prediction....7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS
GL....MEGA
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