Let's look at some numbers:
Ohio 89 57 115 129
12.5 Ecar 31 30 56 108
Ecar opens up as 12.5 pt fav. Currently around 14. Ecar happens to be better in all categories - tot. off, tot def., sagarin rank and sag. sched. strength. Who should I take is the question - well when you look at previous bowl games last several years - there is a prominent trend - teams that are double digit favorites and are better in all categories and the bottom team (donbest.com) - overwhelmingly they win and cover - take Ecar. Here are some games that support my pick- previous results from bowl games where the bottom team was better in all 4 categories and were double digit favorites - over the last few years:
Smu/Nev 12 - nev crushed 10-45; iowa/okl 15.5 - okl won 14-31; michst/ala 11 - ala 7-49; navy/azst 14.5 azst 28-62 tol/utast 10 - 15-41.
I'm on Ecar - good luck all. You too Bucks:)
Shadow - Cam - thanks for the kind words in day 1 post.