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Author: [College Football] Topic: WEEK 3 lines / leans
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#1
Posted: 9/8/2013 12:51:43 PM




Thursday, September 12

7:30 PM              No. 24 TCU at Texas Tech -1     ESPN
    
7:30 PM              Troy at Arkansas State  -9'     U
    
7:30 PM              Tulane at Louisiana Tech  -7    FOX Sports 1


Friday, September 13


8:00 PM             Air Force at Boise State -16'
  *Broncos with Fresno in 6 days    


Saturday, September 14

12:00 PM        No. 5 Stanford  -25 at Army    CBS
  *Tree with Ariz St next
        
12:00 PM         No. 8 Louisville -16 at Kentucky
    
12:00 PM         Tulsa at No. 16 Oklahoma  -21
    
12:00 PM         Akron at No. 17 Michigan -35    Big Ten Network

12:00 PM         No. 18 UCLA at No. 22 Nebraska -2    

12:00 PM         Bowling Green at Indiana  P    

12:00 PM         Western Illinois at Minnesota -28     Big Ten Network

12:00 PM        Virginia Tech  -3 at East Carolina    FOX Sports 1

12:21 PM        Southern Miss at Arkansas -23'    ESPN 3
  *SM off @ Neb / @ Boise on deck

12:30 PM         Louisiana-Monroe  at Wake Forest P    ESPN 3

12:30 PM        New Mexico at Pittsburgh -16    ESPN 3

1:00 PM         Eastern Michigan at Rutgers -21    ESPN 3

2:00 PM         Fresno State -16 at Colorado
    
2:00 PM      Youngstown State at Michigan State -28    Big Ten Network

3:00 PM            Boston College at No. 25 USC -21    Pac-12 Network

3:30 PM     No. 1 Alabama -8 at No. 7 Texas A&M    CBS
  *Bama off bye

3:30 PM     Tennessee at No. 2 Oregon -27
  *Ducks bye next...Vols with FLA    

3:30 PM     Nevada at No. 10 Florida State -25    

3:30 PM     Cal Poly at Colorado State -10    

3:30 PM            Georgia Tech -7' at Duke    
    
3:30 PM     Stony Brook at Buffalo -10    ESPN 3

3:30 PM            Delaware at Navy -15    CBS Sports Network
    
4:00 PM      Wagner at Syracuse  -30     ESPN 3

4:00 PM      Ball State -6 at North Texas    

4:00 PM            Northern Colorado at Wyoming -24    
    
5:00 PM            Northern Illinois -23 at Idaho    

6:00 PM            No. 20 Washington -8' at Illinois    Big Ten Network
    
6:00 PM     Iowa at Iowa State P    FOX Sports 1

6:00 PM     UCF at Penn State -4'    Big Ten Network

6:30 PM     Southern Utah at Washington State -24    Pac-12 Network

7:00 PM     No. 3 Ohio State -18 at California    FOX
  * QB Miller out?

7:00 PM     Vanderbilt at No. 6 South Carolina -13    

7:00 PM            Kent State at No. 9 LSU -25    

7:00 PM     Mississippi State at Auburn P
  *Auburn with LSU next    

7:00 PM     Florida Atlantic at South Florida -12'    ESPN 3

7:00 PM     Nicholls State at Louisiana-Lafayette -32    ESPN 3

7:00 PM     Northwestern State at Cincinnati -38    ESPN 3

7:00 PM     Massachusetts at Kansas State  -35    

7:00 PM     Memphis at Middle Tennessee -7    

7:00 PM     Eastern Washington at Toledo -10'    ESPN 3

7:30 PM     Lamar at No. 13 Oklahoma State    -55

7:30 PM     Western Kentucky  -13' at South Alabama    ESPN 3

7:30 PM     Maryland -6 at Connecticut    ESPN 3
  *UC Michigan next

7:30 PM     Kansas at Rice -6' ???    CBS Sports Network

8:00 PM     No. 14 Notre Dame -13 at Purdue    
  *Irish off Mich / Mich St next

8:00 PM     Ole Miss at No. 15 Texas -5    Longhorn Network
  *Horns off BYU / Kan St next...Ole Miss off SEMO / bye next
   QB Ash...RB/WR Daje Johnson???

8:00 PM     UTEP  -9 at New Mexico State    

8:00 PM        Marshall -2 at Ohio    

8:00 PM     Weber State at Utah State -35    ESPN 3

9:00 PM     Western Michigan at No. 19 NW -23'    Big Ten Network

10:00 PM    Oregon State at Utah -3'    FOX Sports 1

10:00 PM    Central Michigan at UNLV -7'    

10:30 PM    No. 21 Wisconsin at Arizona State  -1'    

10:30 PM    UTSA at Arizona  -22    Pac-12 Network


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#2
Posted: 9/8/2013 1:05:03 PM
LEANS


STRONG

OREGON
BAMA


Maryland
Arkansas
ECaro

SOLID

Ole Miss
N Illinois
FAU
UCLA
Marshall
UNLV
Zona

maybe

ULM...Purdue...WVag...Utah...OU...Indiana...UCF ?...Col ?...UNLV ??...Ball St / NT over...Troy / Ark St over

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#3
Posted: 9/8/2013 1:06:32 PM
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#4
Posted: 9/8/2013 1:10:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:



Errrr.........

how's it going this fine Sunday morning man?....

 a double whammy holy crap.....I had those 2 dogs in a ML parlay too.......
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#5
Posted: 9/8/2013 1:14:58 PM
mr redemption's thread has Oregon -21 at bookmaker
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#6
Posted: 9/8/2013 1:59:20 PM
a few game notes........


WKU / Tenn
  *not much difference between these 2 really...
Toppers with 393 TO...21 FD...8-15 3rd...5.0/rush...5.6/play
Vols.........382......20......4-10.......5.3........6.0
WKU with 7 TO's (5 INT / 2fum).....always bet on the same team as the QB....

Kentucky / Mia,O
  *Cats with 675 TO to 122 for UM (2.3/rush...1.6/att < damm)...UK sloppy too with 11 pen for 117 yds

BG / Kent St
  *looks like BG with new QB and RB....is pretty good
576 TO....4.8/rush and 357 passing (19-25..2/0)
  RB Archer DNP for the Flashes

Mich St / USF
  *Sparty O is terrible...used 3 QB's...265 TO...4-14 on 3rd.....2 fumbles + 9 pen
   Good thing USF is worse....155 TO....QB 6-26-1 (2.5/att) << Logan Thomas numbers....

SELA 207 rushing vs TCU...former Duck QB Bennett 132...

FAU / EC
  *that FAU D is not bad....and a great gog too
  EC only 312 TO...3.2/rush...5-13 3rd...16 FD...4.9/att
  FAU OL is weak....allowed 6 sacks....+ 3TO's...FAU 3.8/paly

Navy / Ind
  *navy scored on EVERY possession but 1...Hoosiers on 5/8
   Navy 458 rushing....that was it

Smiss / Neb
  *SM O is terrible....284 TO vs that mighty Husker D (4.4) + 4 INT
     up-tempo offense that can't sustain drives...wears out thier D

TEXAS / BYU
  *Taysom Football wtf?...poorly coached..spineless...lethargical Horns allowed 681 TO to BYU
including 550 rushing (7.6/att)....32 FD...10-21 3rd...Mormons sloppy too (2 TO / 8 pen)
Horns zero TO / 4 pen.....note : BYU struggled to move it vs Virginia (362 TO...3.9/play)

NT / Ohio
  *thought MG woulddo better here...OG 442 > 299...14 FD /4-14 3rd
    Ohio sloppy (10 pen / 3 TO)....ran for 203  (5.1)

Wazzu / USC
  *Wazzu D is pretty good (told ya...ha)....Trojans 182 TO (3.2/rush...2.2/pass)...14 FD / 3-13 3rd
    USC sacked 3X ..Wazzu not much better,,,2 INT / 4 sacks....225 TO

Oreg / Virg
  *Ducks 557 to 298 TO...but 3-10 3rd and 11 pen....might struggle vs tough run D's until a RB emerges
   (struggle to cover big numbers that is)

Baylor / Buffalo
  *Bears 781 TO vs a pretty good D (seriously)....Baylor av 9.8/play but had 10 pen for 125 yds

Tenn-Chat / Ga ST
  *Ga St is really bad....TC with 401 rushing

NCARO / MTS
  *UNC not as explosive as I thought....and too weak in the trenches
only 3.3/rush....D allowed 26 FD...8-18 3rd...401 TO

Fla / Mia
  *strange game....Gators OG the Canes 413 > 212....Miami 10 FD...1-11 3rd....QB Morris 12-25...162...2/1
BUT....gators with 5 (very costly) TO's + 10 pen.....QB JD stinks....still     

quote
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#7
Posted: 9/8/2013 2:02:47 PM
Book,    Thanks for the work.  I hope your having a good start to the season.

I won't get to play W. Ill., Nicholls St., or Lamar  Sunday but hope I can get those lines later.  FCS has been very good to me so far.

If V. Tech is only -3 I'll go with them but I like Maryland and Arkansas.
Glad to see you like UCLA, I think they do fine this week. I also like @ Pitt -16 N. Mex.

GL,   Doc

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#8
Posted: 9/8/2013 2:17:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by speak2truth:

mr redemption's thread has Oregon -21 at bookmaker


way too low....
Thanks for the heads-up......
cannot believe these are up already......


Gonna start my Week 3 plays here....

TOP PLAYS

Ducks -22
Bama -7
Arkansas -21

ONE UNIT

EC +7'
N Illinois -24
Miss St +7

smaller
ULM +3
Ball St -1'

will add more later......
  *a few tonite maybe...rest Tues or Wed as lines settle........BOL this week boys......... 
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#9
Posted: 9/8/2013 2:34:12 PM
adding.....

one unit
UCLA +4

smaller
Utah -1

waiting on....

Ole Miss
Zona / UTSA over
Terps top drop?....
FAU
Marshall to drop??
AF????....Boise stinks as home fav
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#10
Posted: 9/8/2013 2:36:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Pecador:

Book,    Thanks for the work.  I hope your having a good start to the season.

I won't get to play W. Ill., Nicholls St., or Lamar  Sunday but hope I can get those lines later.  FCS has been very good to me so far.

If V. Tech is only -3 I'll go with them but I like Maryland and Arkansas.
Glad to see you like UCLA, I think they do fine this week. I also like @ Pitt -16 N. Mex.

GL,   Doc




good man doc.........
killed em week 1....week 2 gave some back

this week I really like......BOL..........
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#11
Posted: 9/8/2013 4:33:35 PM
adding....

one unit

FAU +10'
Rice -2

*FAU shut down a potent ECaro offense.....sacked QB 6X ....Pirates only 4.9/play....
 respectable vs Miami too...6-7... 3 n'outs + a pick
Canes only 4-14 on 3rd.....long runs + D on field too long......USF O is terrible....this one will be very ugly / tight....USF QB so far 25-66...275 (37%)

Rice OG the Aggies 509-486.....and had 306 rushing....with 38-22 TOP edge
They beat Kansas there LY 25-24....OG them 403-339....Rice looks to be much improved.....Jayhawks weaker in the trenches
This is Kansas' 2nd game.....LW allowed SDakota (#181 in Sagarin PR....1-11 LY) 219 rushing (5.1)...but won 31-14
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#12
Posted: 9/8/2013 4:35:10 PM
that'll do it for now....so far

TOP PLAYS

Ducks -22
Bama -7
Arkansas -21

ONE UNIT

EC +7'
UCLA +4
FAU +10'
Rice -2

smaller

ULM +3
Ball St -1'
Utah -1


 
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#13
Posted: 9/8/2013 4:55:42 PM
i'd like to see a bowl series with umass, mia-oh, smiss, and idaho
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#14
Posted: 9/8/2013 5:09:11 PM
INJURIES

TCU
  *QB Pachall out 8 wks

Cinn
  *QB Munchie L..... OI

Hou
  *QB Piland?

Ohio ST
  *QB Miller?

TX
  *QB Ash ?
  ***RB/WR Daje Johnson is???

UCLA
  *b/u WR Nick Pasquale killed...hit by car 

Kentucky
  *RB Sanders?

SMU
  *RB Shead?

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#15
Posted: 9/8/2013 5:14:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by speak2truth:

i'd like to see a bowl series with umass, mia-oh, smiss, and idaho


you will.....

once they go to the 4-5 team super conference thing....Dll or whatever
  *don't forget Georgia St (kinda sorta counts)...Idaho would be favored by 18-20 or so vs the Panthers....
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#16
Posted: 9/8/2013 5:16:12 PM

"UH quarterback David Piland, who was 6-for-17 for 72 yards in the first quarter, was replaced by true freshmanJohn O'Korn in the second quarter. Levine said the decision for Piland not to return for the remaining three quarters was based on an undisclosed injury and the performance of O'Korn, who was 23-of-31 for 233 yards"


OKorn looks like he can sling it...I like this Houston team.  


Cinn and TCU both had 2 QBs, now if they have only 1 that is probably a good thing.


I like Ohio St/Cal over whatever number and no matter who starts for Ohio St.

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#17
Posted: 9/8/2013 8:30:20 PM
Gl my friend 
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#18
Posted: 9/8/2013 8:51:48 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by speak2truth:

i'd like to see a bowl series with umass, mia-oh, smiss, and idaho

This is the problem with any playoff proposal.  Sure, you wind up with some deserving teams, but do you really want to spend the whole offseason hearing FIU, GSU and EMU fans whine about how they didn't get to settle it on the field? 

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#19
Posted: 9/8/2013 9:01:51 PM
Awesome info Bookie.  Hoping you had some info on some games that caught my eye right away.  

Louisville 11.5 Kentucky  Bridgewater should be able to win this game by 14.

Maryland 7.5 UConn  Two teams going in opposite directions.  Huskies lose to Towson while the Terps put over 80 on FIU and ODU.  Backing the Terps which could be the biggest play this week IMO.

South Carolina 12.5 Vandy  The Cocks at home and at night.  That's a combination that will be too much for Vandy.

By the way, really like the UCLA and ECU picks.  I will be on them.


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#20
Posted: 9/8/2013 9:20:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SoonerAction:

Awesome info Bookie.  Hoping you had some info on some games that caught my eye right away.  

Louisville 11.5 Kentucky  Bridgewater should be able to win this game by 14.

Maryland 7.5 UConn  Two teams going in opposite directions.  Huskies lose to Towson while the Terps put over 80 on FIU and ODU.  Backing the Terps which could be the biggest play this week IMO.

South Carolina 12.5 Vandy  The Cocks at home and at night.  That's a combination that will be too much for Vandy.

By the way, really like the UCLA and ECU picks.  I will be on them.




love the Terps....gonna wait and see what that line does

Louisville I don't trust just yet...but that line should be 15-16 or so....Cats are getting too much credit for pounding a bad team....so great value
 * does look like a great spot for UK to get spanked

Vandy only in an FCS sandwich and plays SCaro tough...SC off a really tough game....might even lean Vandy if it climbs some....

good man SC.....BOL this week...........
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#21
Posted: 9/8/2013 9:40:08 PM
Appreciate the input.  Week 3 card will probably look like this:

Louisville-11.5
Maryland-7.5
UCLA+5.5
ECU+7
Ducks-25.5
Arkansas-22
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#22
Posted: 9/8/2013 10:15:04 PM
Followed your leans/provisions for last weeks card and rolled strong.  Good information....you're spot on with most of your team evaluations.  I'm studying your input again closely and hopefully we can have another strong week.  Appreciate the input
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#23
Posted: 9/9/2013 12:46:28 AM
just locked in bama -7 at -150 

ucla up to +5.5 im seeing 
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#24
Posted: 9/9/2013 12:50:22 AM
like the ark play as well and should be able to get a great # on the fh
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#25
Posted: 9/9/2013 6:32:28 PM

nice card BA, nice early lock ins on AL, NIU and Utah, BOL this week bud

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