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Author: [College Football] Topic: BCS Title: Sharp vs Public Game Betting and Notes
BetDSI_eu send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetDSI |
BetDSI_eu
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#1
Posted: 1/7/2013 6:13:19 PM

Monday Jan 7th

 

BCS Championship Game

Alabama @ Notre Dame

Sharp money hit Alabama early at 7 1/2 , 8, 8 ½, pushing the current line value to 9 ½.  The current situation and expectation is that the public will be somewhat split on this game as it heads towards kick off.  Sharp money is also backing the total under at the 41 and under 41 ½ line values.  The total has a 2 to 1 money wagered lean on the under and the line is currently sitting at the 40 value.

 

The information above was a snap shot of how the game looked from a betting action perspective as of Thursday January 3rd.  Here are some of the more interesting facts about how this game has been bet from behind the counter:

 

The total has come back down to 40 and the moment it gets moved a ½ a point in either direction it attracts action.  The bookend values of 40 and 41 create a variation in how this total gets booked.  When the line hits 41 you get under money, when the line hits 40 you get over money.   Sharp money is still backing the under and public volume is heavily favoring the total over.  Because of such a small deviation in total value from 40 to 41 and the sharp money on the under, the traders here are sticking at 40 barring unforeseen late movements.

 

There is a divide in sharp vs. public opinion here and the current bet count is 2 to 1 in favor of the public backed Irish at this time.  Money wagered volume is close to 2 to 1 in favor of the sharp money backed Alabama.  Both opinions continue to back their initial positions at the -9 ½ number.  This game will more than likely not come off of the -9 ½ value by kick.

 

Sharp action also is liking the Bama moneyline even at a high price tag.  There was some very well respected money at the Alabama -330 value pushing it to its current -350 position.

 

The total betting volume on this game is Super Bowl type betting volume.  Probably the most interesting fact on this game from a ticketing point of view is that over the enormous amounts of wagers and enormous amounts in dollars wagered, across all bet types straights, moneylines, parlays, and teasers, the difference in total tickets involving one team versus the other is close to 100.

 

Probably the most interesting bet from one of the sharpest proposition bettors in-house is Bama to win by 18-21 points at +1200.

 

Good luck with all of your BCS Championship plays tonight!

 

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Teaser78 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Teaser78
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#2
Posted: 1/7/2013 6:18:02 PM



thanks nice info .... the question is who believes you 
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Getty3
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Getty3
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#3
Posted: 1/7/2013 6:32:38 PM
Oh, I believe him. But if the sharp money cashed every bet, there'd be no sense in taking bets at all. 
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BetDSI_eu send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetDSI |
BetDSI_eu
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#4
Posted: 1/8/2013 10:45:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Teaser78:




thanks nice info .... the question is who believes you 

 

Just letting you know what happened here in-house as you may find the info useful. 

Sharp money often tells you where your lines need to be after openers are released.  The bets they make are based more on specific values.  This is why we are giving you the specific numbers that were touched. 

As a bettor this information should be useful for your handicapping.  

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nc1capper send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 1/12/2013 3:45:34 PM
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