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Author: [College Football] Topic: 6 Rules for this years Bowls
thorpe send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#51
Posted: 12/11/2012 9:03:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TDHAWKS:

Very interesting.  Do you run this method every year or just specific to this year's games?  I went back to my spread sheet from last bowl season and would have racked up a lot more games.

This is specific to this year.

This year the teams out west are all very good.  I don't think the public realizes how good some of these teams are,  Utah St, Fresno, SDST, SJST, Boise, Oregon St are all excellent teams on my "bet on" list.  I am not sold on ARIZ sT or OK St.

The bottom three of the SEC are horrbile, but the other 9 teams are top 23, and 6 teams are arguably all top 6.  SEC football is 12 months a year, so the Bowl is the peak time of year.  Other conferences are in to football 3 months a year.  

The Big East is better than people think.  Cuse is on a huge roll right now.  Teddy Bridgewater at Lousiville is one of my favorite QBs.  I am not sold on Rutgers.  Pitt is now healthy and playing great football.  Cinci is inconsistent, but sometimes good.  These are not great teams, but they do compare favorably with the non-elite teams in the ACC, P12, B10 and B12, and the bottom of the SEC.

B10 is not good this year, and they lose two of their top teams.  That means other teams play a tougher bowl.  The two B10 teams I like are Wiscy and Northwestern.
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#52
Posted: 12/12/2012 11:46:20 AM

Following the first five rules, I have 25 of the bowls picked.  Now take the underdogs in the rest I presume?  And do I flip on Wisky and Northwestern?  By the way, Tulsa and ISU are pick.

Good stuff.  I'm trying it out in the early games.

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#53
Posted: 12/12/2012 11:53:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Tygermyke:

Following the first five rules, I have 25 of the bowls picked.  Now take the underdogs in the rest I presume?  And do I flip on Wisky and Northwestern?  By the way, Tulsa and ISU are pick.

Good stuff.  I'm trying it out in the early games.


Don't flip on Wisky and NW.  If I St and Tulsa are pick, let;s go with Iowa St by an extension of rule 1.


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#54
Posted: 12/12/2012 1:30:12 PM
cool thread
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#55
Posted: 12/13/2012 12:44:26 AM

if any of u are looking for a Pool with cash prizes and a small entry fee read below..

Im doing a Bowl Pool if anyone is interested.. $$

last yr's winner was JW1LS who's a covers member. There's already 20+ guys signed up and alot are from here (ManRam24, Powerade, Dogjimbo, PennStateMan077, Jimmydafreak, Tasco2222, NoWorries21, Jesron1269, -LB-, BountyHounter and RoundinAintEasy..)

im not allowed to post the Direct Info in here but id be happy to pass it along if u guys would like to participate..

anyone that would want in just friend request me and i'll send u the Info

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#56
Posted: 12/13/2012 10:12:30 AM
Like that angle Thorpe
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#57
Posted: 12/14/2012 7:39:59 PM
Awesome shitt Thorpe
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#58
Posted: 12/14/2012 8:57:49 PM
Good Insight. Thanks, as we know...certain conferences seem to 
dominate in the BOWL games....
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T99
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#59
Posted: 12/14/2012 10:53:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MexiNCAA:

Good way to see the BOWLS... i am more oriented to your last rule... GO to the underdog...  not always true, but 60% or more is true!

I learned that when i lost so many games years ago with the "champions" not the underdogs...!

 

BoL

 

MEXI 

   agree
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#60
Posted: 12/15/2012 1:45:36 AM
Very interesting thread. 
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#61
Posted: 12/15/2012 2:05:16 AM
I could see these Rules hitting 63%+ 

hopefully 75%+


Best of Luck ... My Buffalo Brother
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#62
Posted: 12/15/2012 9:19:22 AM
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#63
Posted: 12/15/2012 9:41:51 AM
So what was the ATS record using this grouping last year?

Last 5 years?

Last 10 years?
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#64
Posted: 12/15/2012 10:45:32 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ScottLandau:

So what was the ATS record using this grouping last year?

Last 5 years?

Last 10 years?

5 and 10 year records?   

This system is new to this year.
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#65
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:14:14 AM
I'll be watching this system closely. 
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#66
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:17:17 AM
So the plays today would be Utah State and Nevada, correct?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#67
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:22:53 AM
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#68
Posted: 12/15/2012 12:24:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ktrain:

So the plays today would be Utah State and Nevada, correct?

Yes. Utah St is rule 1, and Nevada is rule 6.

The rules gets weaker as you go from 1 to 6, so Utah St is a very strong play while Nevada is just a very small play or a pass.

Rule 1  - 10 units
Rule 2 -6 units
Rule 3 - 4 units
Rule 4 - 4 units
Rule 5 - 2 units
Rule 6 - half unit


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#69
Posted: 12/15/2012 8:06:16 PM

BOWL GAMES RECAP:

2-0  +10.5 UNITS

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#70
Posted: 12/16/2012 11:50:20 AM
  fres st does not cover against smu.. i do agree with every other bet..bol
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#71
Posted: 12/16/2012 5:38:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thorpe:

Whichever is the first rule that applies...

1.  Bet on any school with "State" in the name west of Oklahoma

2.  Bet on all SEC schools 

3.  Bet against the whole B10 

4.  Bet against the whole ACC

5.  Bet on the Big East

6.  Bet the underdog


rules 2 & 3 are "annual, traditional" standards. this year the "hybred" of that would be South Carolina -5 1/2 vs Michigan, Georgia -10 vs Nebraska and Mississippi State -2 vs Northwestern (SEC vs Big Ten schools)

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#72
Posted: 12/16/2012 11:52:16 PM
georgia -10 might be my favorite bet this bowl season as of now they will absolutely destroy this garbage msu team and get revenge from last years bowl where cousins literally tore them up.  maxwell has no shot georgia will win this by 30 easily as long as they are 100% recovered from the sec championship hangover
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#73
Posted: 12/18/2012 1:43:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Michfan15:

georgia -10 might be my favorite bet this bowl season as of now they will absolutely destroy this garbage msu team and get revenge from last years bowl where cousins literally tore them up.  maxwell has no shot georgia will win this by 30 easily as long as they are 100% recovered from the sec championship hangover


What the darn are you talking about? Another dumbass wal-mart wolverine out there.
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#74
Posted: 12/18/2012 1:49:26 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Interesting post.  Agree for the most part.  I do, however, lean Bowling Green over San Jose State.


Agreed. SJ St will have to come from behind. Very good QB. Too many pts. BG can score early, it's their game to W or lose.

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#75
Posted: 12/18/2012 4:04:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

Agreed. SJ St will have to come from behind. Very good QB. Too many pts. BG can score early, it's their game to W or lose.


BGSU 
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