2012-2013 College Football Bowl Thread

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Author: [College Football] Topic: 2012-2013 College Football Bowl Thread
eyedog PM eyedog
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Posted: 12/11/2012 4:28:57 PM

You really believe Kent has a better rush defense then Fla. St. ???

rLp PM rLp
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Posted: 12/12/2012 11:05:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jdnmoney:



the Hawaii game and this game have very little in common...

Hawaii was 100% finesse and had NO running game, 

they depended entirely on pass protection and throwing 50-60 passes per game...

northern Illinois will play big boy football wih FSU and run for above average success. they will sustain drives... I saw what they did to kent, who has a BETTER RUSH DEFENSE THAN FLORIDA STATE...

I'm telling you right now, motivation will be with NIU. they will take the 40 days, make them all meaningful, be planning, scheming, finding every weakness they can to exploit. how motivated will FSU be ?

I'm not quite sure

JD.

I guess I meant more in terms of NON AQ vs. Qualifer (not particularly the match up).  That said, I agree with your Hawaii take, but the same can be said about NILL imo.  For the most part, they are a one-dimensional team.  They rely heavily on the run; ie. Jordan Lynch.  NILL ranked second in the MAC in rushing attempts, only behind OU, and last in pass attempts.

This is why I think they could end up playing a style of football they haven't had too all year.  Although I didn't watch every game NILL played, I'm sure this team was in a TON of 3rd & mediums and 3rd & short(s).  Their 3rd down percentage ranked 1st in the MAC.  This tells me one thing; Jordan Lynch did a lot of work on Third Downs.  In comparison, it reminds me of watching Michigan.  When Michigan had the advantage up front, and maintained a short distance on 3rd down, they easily convereted and kept drives alive b/c Denard could pick up a first down almost at will.  On the flip side, when playing teams like Michigan State, when they had a ton of 3rd & 7s, or 3rd & 10s, the game became much different.

 I don't see Lynch running on this defense "consistently" enough to give NILL a run/pass option all game on 3rd down.  And as mentioned in my prior post, I think they end up being in more 3rd & Longs than they have all year, which will put them in situations they are not used too.  If that happens, then two touchdowns is not a lot. 

Now.  We are talking FSU.  They may not show up at all, and Lynch could run wild. -

Good Luck on the bet!  It will be enteraining for sure.  As for me, I really like SCarolina (I was undefeated betting Michigan - for and against - all year).  Michigan simply doesn't have the horses up front on either side of the ball, plus, skill positions heavily favors SC.  The TE for Carolina will be a nightmare match up for Michigan - and he could have big game. 

I also like 3 Overs; Northwestern v Miss St, Ole Miss/Pitt and  UCLA/Baylor.   

Any insight on those? 

CanadaCup PM CanadaCup
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Posted: 12/12/2012 11:09:51 AM

Profitable year JD

BOL through Bowl season

slomotion PM slomotion
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Posted: 12/13/2012 10:34:42 AM
You've been a class act all year long jnd!  And a solid reference.
GL this Bowl season. I'll be keeping an eye out!
Bowlbound PM Bowlbound
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Posted: 12/13/2012 9:24:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jefff:



i aint JDN but some reasons

- NW hasnt won a bowl game since 1948
- MSU has won their last 5 bowl games
- MSU is familiar with the Gator bowl, whipping Mich 52-17 in 2010
- NW has never played in the Gator bowl.  New surroundings
- SEC > Big10
- Jacksonville has many more SEC fans than Big10 fans


So this is how you handicap a game?  You serious Clark?  
jefff PM jefff
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Posted: 12/14/2012 9:22:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bowlbound:


So this is how you handicap a game?  You serious Clark?  


those are just some reasons why.  nothing should be discounted.  trends are part of the handicapping.  motivation, coaching, strength of schedule, matchups.....
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/14/2012 7:46:11 PM
Nevada +9.5
Utah state vs toledo under 59.5

FCS Ga Southern +9 


One unit each


Bowl record YTD : 0-0-0
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/15/2012 12:44:01 AM
Ga southern. 
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/15/2012 12:45:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eyedog:

You really believe Kent has a better rush defense then Fla. St. ???


Yes
DoubleUp4Life PM DoubleUp4Life
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Posted: 12/15/2012 12:45:57 AM
Ga Southern ...why were they catching 9+ again ??
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/15/2012 12:48:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jefff:



those are just some reasons why.  nothing should be discounted.  trends are part of the handicapping.  motivation, coaching, strength of schedule, matchups.....

Agree
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/15/2012 12:52:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Ga Southern ...why were they catching 9+ again ??

No clue... Such a good squad... They are about ready to join the sunbelt IMHO
DoubleUp4Life PM DoubleUp4Life
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Posted: 12/15/2012 12:58:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jdnmoney:


No clue... Such a good squad... They are about ready to join the sunbelt IMHO


should be another 10+ schools jumping up in the Next 3 years ...

if not more ...


will be 140+ before we know it 
jefff PM jefff
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Posted: 12/15/2012 7:37:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:



should be another 10+ schools jumping up in the Next 3 years ...

if not more ...


will be 140+ before we know it 


more betting opportunities for us 
wufman PM wufman
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Posted: 12/15/2012 11:38:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jdnmoney:



Arizona
Utah state 
BYU
ball st
ULL
Washington
Fresno
western ky
San Jose
duke
UCLA
ULM
vt
Texas tech
rice
Syracuse 
as state
Oregon st
Michigan st
nc st
USC
Tulsa
LSU
miss st
ok st
so car
UGa
Wisconsin
fla st
Florida
Oregon
Texas A&M
ole miss
kent
bama


These against the spread or just who you think wins?
drewsmooth PM drewsmooth
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Posted: 12/15/2012 12:30:53 PM
JDNMONEY, Got Nevada +8.5, Good?
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/15/2012 1:44:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by wufman:


These against the spread or just who you think wins?

My opinion on just a pickem... No spread... Means nothing tho, just helping another guy out
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/15/2012 1:45:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by slomotion:

You've been a class act all year long jnd!  And a solid reference.
GL this Bowl season. I'll be keeping an eye out!

BOL guy

Hope u jumped on nevada and ga southern
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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Posted: 12/15/2012 3:59:18 PM

Nevada!! Whooo
QBUN PM QBUN
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Posted: 12/15/2012 9:39:57 PM
WWCD!! Thanks for my first 2 wins in my confidence pool brotha! Great start...
Posted using a mobile device.
slomotion PM slomotion
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Posted: 12/16/2012 12:04:30 AM
Nice work pal. I had Nev +9.5, U 59 and Utah St -10 myself.

I had a great Bowl thread going last year with a 34-20 record or so after all was said and done. I just can't seem to post much these days. Congrats again on your wins ttys
ryebreadoh PM ryebreadoh
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Posted: 12/20/2012 4:50:59 PM

I am hoping JD is just doing some extra studying on the bowl game for tonight. I am eagerly awaiting your pick because you sure as hell know more about this than I do.

jefff PM jefff
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Posted: 12/20/2012 5:07:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ryebreadoh:

I am hoping JD is just doing some extra studying on the bowl game for tonight. I am eagerly awaiting your pick because you sure as hell know more about this than I do.



jdn doesnt seem to be the type to pick every game.  be surprised if he had a pick tonight...
Cooler999 PM Cooler999
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Posted: 12/20/2012 6:21:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jefff:



jdn doesnt seem to be the type to pick every game.  be surprised if he had a pick tonight...


That's s joke...right?
jdnmoney PM jdnmoney
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quote#100
Posted: 12/21/2012 10:00:26 AM
Ball state +7


2 units

Very confident in this play tonight.  


Bowl season YTD: 2-0
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