Posted:
#1
Write up yesterday won:
10U Louisville +3.5
4U Louisville ML
Today I am taking Kent St. +7.5
Total Offense:
KENT STATE: Rank 51
NIU: Rank 14
Scoring Offense:
KENT STATE: Rank 33
NIU: Rank 7
Total Defense:
KENT STATE: Rank 74
NIU: Rank 39
Scoring Defense:
KENT STATE: 34
NIU: 17
The advantage for both sides is NIU. These are their rankings for every game played this season. However I always factor most closely on their last 3 games played. These are the stats I use to compare teams to each other.
TOTAL OFFENSE LAST 3 GAMES:
KENT STATE: 449.3 Yrds/gm
NIU: 540.3 Yrds/gm
TOTAL DEFENSE LAST 3 GAMES:
KENT STATE: 419.3 Yrds/gm
NIU: 296.7 Yrds/gm
Again, NIU with the clear advantage. Kent State has a +30.0 Yrds/gm, and NIU has +243.6 Yrds/gm. However these stats are skewed.
LAST 3 OPPONENTS PLAYED:
KENT STATE
(W) @Miami (OH) - Def: 110 Off: 67
(W) @ BG - Def: 9 Off: 95
(W) Ohio - Def: 63 Off: 36
(W) Ohio - Def: 63 Off: 36
NIU
(W) UMass - Def: 101 Off: 124
(W) Toledo - Def: 102 Off: 25
(W) @E Mich - Def: 116 Off: 103
(W) Toledo - Def: 102 Off: 25
(W) @E Mich - Def: 116 Off: 103
In the last 3 games, Kent State has beaten teams with both good and bad offenses and defenses. NIU on the other hand only beat Toledo by a TD. Toledo has a terrible D but a solid O. Compare this to Kent States overall D and O:
Kent State O: Rank 51
Kent State D: Rank 74
Im confident with Kent State staying within the 7.5 points. I would imagine if you hold off this might get to 8/8.5. My book has the 7.5 at -115
BOL to all.
0
Hot Forum Topics
