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Author: [College Football] Topic: 8-0 ATS: Ole Miss @ LSU = My biggest play every 2 years
StraightShooter send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 11/14/2012 6:00:33 PM

Every two years this is my biggest play and it has never disappointed.

Every time Ole Miss has either won SU or almost won SU and they ALWAYS cover.

In their last 8 games in Baton Rouge Ole Miss is not only 8-0 ATS, but they cover by an average of about 20 points per game.  It’s never even close.

I would like to type a long write up like I did two years ago (I’ll post a link to it at the bottom), but I just don’t have the time this year.

 

The play:

Ole Miss +20

 

Best of luck

 

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#2
Posted: 11/14/2012 6:04:28 PM

The write up I made for this game two years ago:

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=100887091 

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#3
Posted: 11/14/2012 6:09:27 PM
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#4
Posted: 11/14/2012 6:18:49 PM
so you would still take it at +18.5 then?
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UHQB
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#5
Posted: 11/14/2012 8:45:30 PM
Yea right. Last year Ole Miss got smoked at home 52-3. Should be another bloodbath.
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SportsM62
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#6
Posted: 11/14/2012 8:51:59 PM
I would not take LSU -18 against any team that is good this year, much less against a decent conf. rival. 
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#7
Posted: 11/14/2012 8:55:20 PM
WORD
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ROY29
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#8
Posted: 11/14/2012 9:58:31 PM
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#9
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:10:46 PM
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StraightShooter send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#10
Posted: 11/15/2012 2:59:09 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by edubb13:

so you would still take it at +18.5 then?

Absolutely.  I would take it all the way down to 17.

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#11
Posted: 11/15/2012 3:58:30 PM
I love this thread, cashed with u 2 years ago lets do it again
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thx4thecookies
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#12
Posted: 11/15/2012 4:03:07 PM
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#13
Posted: 11/15/2012 4:20:51 PM
This was my game of the year back in 1997 (Ole Miss won 36-21 as +16 dogs.) .  I didn't realize it had won every time since then as well. 
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#14
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:26:52 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by UHQB:

Yea right. Last year Ole Miss got smoked at home 52-3. Should be another bloodbath.

Should be.  Yet it never is.

In 2005 LSU beat Ole Miss 40-7 in Oxford and LSU SHOULD HAVE easily slaughtered Ole Miss again the next year in Baton Rouge.  IIRC, they are about a 28 point favorite.

Result: LSU beat Ole Miss 23-20 in overtime.

 

In 2007 LSU beat Ole Miss 41-24 in Oxford and LSU SHOULD HAVE beat Ole Miss again the next year in Baton Rouge.

Result: Ole Miss won SU 31-13.

 

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#15
Posted: 11/16/2012 8:22:06 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SportsM62:

I would not take LSU -18 against any team that is good this year, much less against a decent conf. rival. 

Yup,  LSU tends to do poorly covering as a double digit home favorite in SEC games while Ole Miss tends to do well covering as a double digit road dog in SEC games.

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#16
Posted: 11/16/2012 12:18:40 PM
Woooo baby... StraightShooter I'm all over this.. I was in Baton Rouge in 06 and 08 wearing red and blue... LSU fans couldn't believe what was going on.. This will be my biggest play in quite some time.. Rebs keep it close in death valley.     hotty toddy
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#17
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:18:07 PM
BOL

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#18
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:20:23 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MississippiMaui:

Woooo baby... StraightShooter I'm all over this.. I was in Baton Rouge in 06 and 08 wearing red and blue... LSU fans couldn't believe what was going on.. This will be my biggest play in quite some time.. Rebs keep it close in death valley.     hotty toddy

I hope you are right!  The Rebs will battle hard no doubt but all the injuries scare me.  They will be down to about 50 healthy players, mostly freshmen.  Looks like a David vs Goliath deal to me, but maybe they can keep it close.

HOTTY TODDY!   

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#19
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:22:37 PM
Ole Miss seems to have a history or knocking off big favs late in the season. They usually do not have a lot to play for and they usually play way over their heads in these contests. They don't call it gambling for no reason, but this has the makings of a sneaky good play
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#20
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:47:54 PM
This too, was my fave bet of the week and one I look forward to. But, after talking to my friends in Oxford who follow the Rebs closely, say that Ole Miss is indeed very banged up, and Bo Wallace hasn't practiced all week.

I still think there is value in the Rebs but am going to bet considerably less.

So, I need a new 5Star, any suggestions??
Posted using a mobile device.
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#21
Posted: 11/16/2012 2:40:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by StraightShooter:

Every two years this is my biggest play and it has never disappointed.

Every time Ole Miss has either won SU or almost won SU and they ALWAYS cover.

In their last 8 games in Baton Rouge Ole Miss is not only 8-0 ATS, but they cover by an average of about 20 points per game.  It’s never even close.

I would like to type a long write up like I did two years ago (I’ll post a link to it at the bottom), but I just don’t have the time this year.

 

The play:

Ole Miss +20

 

Best of luck

 


I like it. Gl
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djcool
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#22
Posted: 11/16/2012 2:45:35 PM
 BOL.....i'm on it
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tmurda666
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#23
Posted: 11/16/2012 3:01:49 PM
what times the game being played... if its a day game, ole miss has a chance to cover... if the game is being played at night, prime-time, under the lights, LSU gets pumped for those type of games...
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StraightShooter send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#24
Posted: 11/16/2012 4:06:58 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Theone324:

I love this thread, cashed with u 2 years ago lets do it again

The streak has to end sometime, but hopefully it’s not this time.

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#25
Posted: 11/16/2012 4:42:09 PM
time is 2:30 CBS game
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