Posted:
#1
Been capping Horns games pretty well all year and this line is becoming a joke. As I mentioned last week, KU has a respectable running game and an early kick after 4 tough games would prove to show Texas asleep at the wheel. 
This game for the Horns really defines their season- if they lose this one, could easily see 5 losses. However, Tech doesn't run the ball well (the TX D achilles). TX defense in the second half last week really showed some poise and simplification- it appeared Diaz stopped run blitzing and shifting the line and played regular football. Ah, the horror! The difference was stark and one (and possibly a second) of the LBs is actually starting to play well with less confusion. KU had 3 points in the second half after running over the Horns in the first. While this game is probably another shoot out, great shot for Texas to win outright- as they did at OSU against a similar offense.
Texas Tech doesn't rush the passer well (sack stats are pitiful) which will give Ash time compared to previous losses where the o-line hasn't held up. I like him to bounce back in this game. Tech had gaudy defense stats, but against real offenses these have dwindled in the past three games. Also, Doege really is quite overrated. He piled up stats against weak competition, but the past few weeks has thrown some awful picks.
Texas historically has terrible luck in Lubbock, so I expect to lose this game--but it will be close. 35-31, Tech.
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