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Author: [College Football] Topic: ncaaf line mistake????
nfl_brosuf
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#1
Posted: 10/19/2012 6:18:06 PM
tulane and utep are horrid when it comes to their offense so how is it that the over/under line is sitting at 52? 

Where are them points are coming from?

Talk me out or into it if you know something about this game.  I still think that the team total will be under 30 points but that is only wishful thinking.... 

Ride or fade me....either you win or I win although I need this win to replenish my roll and stick through them bowl games...

I'm on utep under 52 for big money... Wish I can play them other games but roll is too sad and small that I can't really play any other games. 
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#2
Posted: 10/19/2012 6:24:40 PM
watch it......Tulane point totals are mostly with QB out.....
he played in close loss to Rutgers and win over SMU.........some vs Tulsa 
   *and RB Darkwa has been out...or playing hurt most of the year.....if he's healthy too they can score
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#3
Posted: 10/20/2012 2:51:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

watch it......Tulane point totals are mostly with QB out.....
he played in close loss to Rutgers and win over SMU.........some vs Tulsa 
   *and RB Darkwa has been out...or playing hurt most of the year.....if he's healthy too they can score


thank you so much...I knew that line was fishy...  No bookie mistake here, it just got inflated for a better tulane squad to appear.   If that is the case, let me buy me some of them tulaner.

utep game under 52.5 <<-- betting small so I can dump the rest of the chump change on them other games. 

tulane +16.5
unlv +28
utah +10 <-- #11 over rated
marshall +4
indiana +3
rice +21.5
michigan st +9.5  <<-- gets no loving at all


wv -2.5 <<-- hoping the public makes a play on ranking # 3 and die
stanford -2.5

this is it.  I'm rolling my dice this week and hoping not to crap out.  Good luck to me and good skills to yall.  

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#4
Posted: 10/20/2012 3:11:43 AM
good luck
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#5
Posted: 10/20/2012 7:55:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:



thank you so much...I knew that line was fishy...  No bookie mistake here, it just got inflated for a better tulane squad to appear.   If that is the case, let me buy me some of them tulaner.

utep game under 52.5 <<-- betting small so I can dump the rest of the chump change on them other games. 

tulane +16.5  pending
unlv +28  winner
utah +10 <-- #11 over rated   pending
marshall +4 game in progress
indiana +3  winner
rice +21.5  winner
michigan st +9.5  <<-- gets no loving at all  winner


wv -2.5 <<-- hoping the public makes a play on ranking # 3 and die
stanford -2.5  winner

this is it.  I'm rolling my dice this week and hoping not to crap out.  Good luck to me and good skills to yall.  



hot dayam, look at that.   5-0 thus far with me picking dogs as winners. 

the only game that is skunking so far is that west virginia game.  I'm playing 4 quarters so lets go denver broncos.  LOL


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#6
Posted: 10/20/2012 10:24:41 PM
utep under 52.5  pending and I dunno.  gonna be close

tulane +16.5  pending
unlv +28  winner
utah +10    pending
marshall +4 winner
indiana +3  winner
rice +21.5  winner
michigan st +9.5   winner


wv -2.5 <<-- loser
stanford -2.5  winner

6-1 so far with 3 wagering  pending.  Money money make money yeah!!!!!
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#7
Posted: 10/20/2012 11:27:36 PM
utep under 52.5  <<-- I smelled it right.  Winner!!!!!

tulane +16.5  winner
unlv +28  winner
utah +10    pending <<-- not looking good but playing 4 quarters
marshall +4 winner
indiana +3  winner
rice +21.5  winner
michigan st +9.5   winner


wv -2.5 <<-- loser
stanford -2.5  winner

8-1 so far with 1 wagering  pending.  Money money make money yeah!!!!!
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#8
Posted: 10/22/2012 8:05:44 PM
overall 8-2 for the week.  Had it not for ncaaf wins to back up my sorry azz nfl plays, I would be low in rolls and would be sitting out for next week. 

Made money overall and onto the next one. 

I think I am going to do ncaaf for next week and lay low on sunday ball. 


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#9
Posted: 10/23/2012 12:12:24 AM
What's the play?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#10
Posted: 10/23/2012 4:05:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sm102279:

What's the play?


I hate not having a big card like sat to pick my spot but for thursday night, I am playing

ak st +4.5

I'm playing this one small though because it is a small card and the only game to play for such day.  I might got lucky last week so fade me if you like.  I can't get lucky all the time ya know?  Best of skills to whatever it is that you decided to play. 
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#11
Posted: 10/23/2012 11:03:04 AM
Thanks for the heads up on this one.
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#12
Posted: 10/25/2012 5:48:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:



I hate not having a big card like sat to pick my spot but for thursday night, I am playing

ak st +4.5

I'm playing this one small though because it is a small card and the only game to play for such day.  I might got lucky last week so fade me if you like.  I can't get lucky all the time ya know?  Best of skills to whatever it is that you decided to play. 


ak st win and make money yeah? 

ok, for thursday, I'm playing clemson -11.5 

for friday, my play is air force +3.5

for sat.....

temple +7
indiana +2
tenn +14
nc st +7.5
utsa +23
byu +2.5
tex st +20.5

fl st -27
penn st ML
middle tenn -3
okla -11

tulane under 61

scare money makes no money...lets go

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#13
Posted: 10/25/2012 5:08:21 PM
adding just a few since I am not even going to touch the nfl for this week.

army +3.5  <<--  had +4 yesterday but oh well
s. miss +2.5 
kent st +13.5
umass +32.5

smu -21
e caro -3.5
c mich -7

Hoping to hit more than 50% for the week to be productive.  Chit man, looking to hit all of them.  Maybe last week was my lucky week and this week is my fade week.  Who nos??? 
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#14
Posted: 10/25/2012 5:19:18 PM
usually when teams both have no offense they want you to tke under.
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#15
Posted: 10/26/2012 5:17:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GucciPRADAlouie:

usually when teams both have no offense they want you to tke under.


Yes that is true but it all depending on at what line them linesmaker be setting it at.  If it is too high then the under has value.  We play with value I believe. 

clemson win last night.  Yum

lets go air force +3.5 for tonight.  Only thing scary is nevada got offense that can pack up them points.  Air force at home, hopefully they can slow nevada down a notch. 

air force is 3-1 at home
nevada is 4-0 away

I just hope the public will be on nevada after seeing that they won all of their away games and what looks like a better team with an overall record of 6-2. 

With a figure like that, only a madman will go against the obvious.  Whatever, Lets go air force to lose by a field goal and I'll win with the hook. 

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#16
Posted: 10/26/2012 7:00:40 AM

like the Tex st pick.........good public fade

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#17
Posted: 10/27/2012 6:40:44 PM
temple +7  loser
indiana +2  winner
tenn +14  winner
nc st +7.5  loser by half a point
utsa +23  loser
byu +2.5  winner
tex st +20.5 pending but looking good

fl st -27 pending and looking good
penn st ML pending
middle tenn -3  winner
okla -11 pending

tulane under 61 loser

army +3.5   loser
s. miss +2.5  loser
kent st +13.5  winner
umass +32.5 pending

smu -21 winner
e caro -3.5 pending and not looking good
c mich -7 pending and looking good

hot dayam, so far it is about 50/50...

my chalks are doing well so far though...
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#18
Posted: 10/27/2012 8:25:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:


 temple +7  loser
indiana +2  winner
tenn +14  winner
nc st +7.5  loser by half a point
utsa +23  loser
byu +2.5  winner
tex st +20.5 winner

fl st -27 winner
penn st ML pending but not looking good
middle tenn -3  winner
okla -11 pending

tulane under 61 loser

army +3.5   loser
s. miss +2.5  loser
kent st +13.5  winner
umass +32.5 pending

smu -21 winner
e caro -3.5 loser
c mich -7 winner

hot dayam, so far it is about 50/50...

my chalks are doing well so far though...


9-7 so far with

penn st not looking good
umass, if low scoring game, I got this
oklahoma pending till later

lets go over 50% for the week to make money....

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#19
Posted: 10/28/2012 5:17:57 PM
9-10

eff this.. I lost money for this week in ncaaf...

could of been worst and onto the following week. 


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#20
Posted: 10/28/2012 5:22:53 PM
linesmakers are terrible--this past week, they were more than 7 points off the spreads in 48 out of the 58 games.
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#21
Posted: 10/28/2012 5:38:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by redbook1:

linesmakers are terrible--this past week, they were more than 7 points off the spreads in 48 out of the 58 games.


I think you are correct...

after further review, that army and s miss games, the spread should be higher for crappy teams. 

with a 1 and 0 winning record for dogs and the dogs only catching a field goal is a steal on the fav.  Why I put money on it was a premature bet on my part.  Maybe i will wait and place my bets after digging through all them research and backing research on these teams. 


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#22
Posted: 11/1/2012 4:18:38 AM
thurs
miami  ML <<-- vir tech has not won an away game.  Miami hurricane covers the spread at home 3-1 so far. 
over  58

w kentucky -9 <<-- cover machine so far this year.  7-1

not touching the ohio game

friday
cal sides no play
under 52.5  <<-- nobody on these two teams have offense plus washington is an under machine so far this year. 

I also have my sat plays but I will hunt for them later lines on Friday.  Lets make me some money for thurs and friday so I can play some games for free on sat.  Lets go money money yeahhhh





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#23
Posted: 11/1/2012 5:55:13 PM
I also added a parlay for fun 

Nov 01 06:00 PM
Nov 01 07:30 PM
Nov 01 09:15 PM
Nov 01 09:15 PM
Nov 02 09:00 PM







TOTAL o57-110
(EASTERN MICHIGA vrs OHIO)
 OHIO -17-110
 MIAMI +105
 TOTAL o54-110
(MIDDLE TENNESSE vrs WESTERN KENTUCK)
 WESTERN KENTUCK -9-110
CALIFORNIA -4½-110

5 / 254.93

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#24
Posted: 11/2/2012 5:57:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

I also added a parlay for fun 

Nov 01 06:00 PM
Nov 01 07:30 PM
Nov 01 09:15 PM
Nov 01 09:15 PM
Nov 02 09:00 PM







TOTAL o57-110
(EASTERN MICHIGA vrs OHIO)
 OHIO -17-110
 MIAMI +105
 TOTAL o54-110
(MIDDLE TENNESSE vrs WESTERN KENTUCK)
 WESTERN KENTUCK -9-110
CALIFORNIA -4½-110

5 / 254.93



w kentucky killed my parlay... now that's wack

[quote]hurs
miami  ML <<-- vir tech has not won an away game.  Miami hurricane covers the spread at home 3-1 so far.   winner
over  58  loser

w kentucky -9 <<-- cover machine so far this year.  7-1  loser

not touching the ohio game

friday
cal sides no play
under 52.5  <<-- nobody on these two teams have offense plus washington is an under machine so far this year. [/quote]


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#25
Posted: 11/2/2012 11:23:59 AM
My friday play will be on the under 52.5  .  I'm glad I bought it at opener because someone is buying the under to drop that line down to 50.5 at some places right now. 


my sat plays for a quarter unit each because my roll is starting to look sad. 


temple over 50.5
buffalo game over 54.5
marshall game over 66
boston college over 51.5
tulsa game over 64.5
miss game over 61.5

usc game under  69
mizzo game under 42
utah game under 49

mn +12
illinois +27.5
scruze +4.5
purdue +3.5
ul laf  +10.5
e caro  +4
kentucky +7

fighting irish  -16.5

I sure love me some dogs.  Looking for a 60/40 win lose for the week to make a little bit of money. 


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