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Author: [College Football] Topic: Sparty vs Iowa.....
bense197969 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:58:39 PM
Season Record:  9 -5- 1

(Sparty Games): 2 - 2 - 1


Iowa +10.....The Hawkeyes off a bye and Michigan is on deck for MSU.  10 is actually 3 more than I was hoping for, so i hit it right away.  Will be adding some more plays later.
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#2
Posted: 10/8/2012 12:00:32 AM
gl my friend
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#3
Posted: 10/8/2012 12:35:54 AM
You're right - too many points. I don't think MSU can cover 10. 
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#4
Posted: 10/8/2012 2:49:37 AM
1. I think sparty has failed to cover 5 in a row?
2. I actually think Iowa will have difficulty scoring here.
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#5
Posted: 10/9/2012 7:10:01 PM
Adding:

LSU -2.5
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#6
Posted: 10/9/2012 7:36:48 PM

Can Iowa pull the upset? Thoughts on the total? Even at 40.5, I still lean under.

 

Bense

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#7
Posted: 10/9/2012 7:54:44 PM
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#8
Posted: 10/9/2012 8:07:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bense197969:

Adding:

LSU -2.5

why LSU? their offense is terrible, unless they score a couple times on ST or D, no way they win. Death valley at night is tough, but SC is better on both sides of the ball and I'll take the ole ball coach over les miles this weekend.

As far as Iowa v MSU, wouldn't touch it w/ your $. MSU is due for a breakout game and Iowa isn't very good. MSU needs momentum heading into Ann Arbor so I expect them to come out strong. That being said, I wouldn't be shocked if Iowa won outright. This is a definite no play, much better games to bet on (WVU -4 and SC moneyline).
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#9
Posted: 10/9/2012 8:08:55 PM
  bense     I like even more now.
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#10
Posted: 10/9/2012 8:43:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by chitownbadger:


why LSU? their offense is terrible, unless they score a couple times on ST or D, no way they win. Death valley at night is tough, but SC is better on both sides of the ball and I'll take the ole ball coach over les miles this weekend.

As far as Iowa v MSU, wouldn't touch it w/ your $. MSU is due for a breakout game and Iowa isn't very good. MSU needs momentum heading into Ann Arbor so I expect them to come out strong. That being said, I wouldn't be shocked if Iowa won outright. This is a definite no play, much better games to bet on (WVU -4 and SC moneyline).


There is nothing, absolutely nothing, to suggest that MSU is ready for a breakout game.  Have you seen this offense?
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#11
Posted: 10/9/2012 8:52:38 PM
have you seen iowa's offense? 

they both suck, the under should cash.

i would see 16-10 or some other garbage score.

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#12
Posted: 10/9/2012 8:53:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Skipster:



There is nothing, absolutely nothing, to suggest that MSU is ready for a breakout game.  Have you seen this offense?

I have, which is why I said "definite no play". But they have a stud RB in Bell (OL is shaky but Iowa is bad). Their true freshman at WR, Burbridge, looks pretty good (8--134 yards last week in first start). And Maxwell has improved each week so I think the O will start clicking, or at least be functional, sometime soon. 
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#13
Posted: 10/9/2012 9:19:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Can Iowa pull the upset? Thoughts on the total? Even at 40.5, I still lean under.

 

Bense




There's a shot Iowa wins this SU, but it's hard to imagine Sparty could actually lose 3 home games by mid-October.  Sparty's 1st quarter vs IU was very reminiscent of those "John L Smith days," just god-awful football!!  It's homecoming Saturday and I would think MSU wins, but I don't see any reason to think it will be easy.  No thoughts on the total, but nice call on the over last week 
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#14
Posted: 10/9/2012 9:29:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by chitownbadger:


why LSU? their offense is terrible, unless they score a couple times on ST or D, no way they win. Death valley at night is tough, but SC is better on both sides of the ball and I'll take the ole ball coach over les miles this weekend.

As far as Iowa v MSU, wouldn't touch it w/ your $. MSU is due for a breakout game and Iowa isn't very good. MSU needs momentum heading into Ann Arbor so I expect them to come out strong. That being said, I wouldn't be shocked if Iowa won outright. This is a definite no play, much better games to bet on (WVU -4 and SC moneyline).



For me, it's hard to imagine that South Carolina beats down UGA and then goes to LSU and wins a Saturday night game in the span of 7 days.  That's it.  

As for the Iowa/MSU game, I don't need you to touch it with my $ because I already am touching it with my $.  MSU has shown no signs of getting ready to break out, sure they played a great 2nd half vs IU, but they should've played a great full game vs that garbage-squad.  MSU's leader in receptions, TE Dion Sims will not be playing due to an ankle injury and the OL is beaten up bad.  MSU always looks ahead to Michigan, and they've given us no reason to think other wise.  

Don't you think WVU -4 looks too easy?  The entire free world is on them.
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#15
Posted: 10/9/2012 9:43:01 PM
with you on iowa and the tigers looks like we use the same capping strategy!! the same one that i used to play the jets +9 on monday night.
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#16
Posted: 10/9/2012 9:46:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bense197969:




For me, it's hard to imagine that South Carolina beats down UGA and then goes to LSU and wins a Saturday night game in the span of 7 days.  That's it.  

As for the Iowa/MSU game, I don't need you to touch it with my $ because I already am touching it with my $.  MSU has shown no signs of getting ready to break out, sure they played a great 2nd half vs IU, but they should've played a great full game vs that garbage-squad.  MSU's leader in receptions, TE Dion Sims will not be playing due to an ankle injury and the OL is beaten up bad.  MSU always looks ahead to Michigan, and they've given us no reason to think other wise.  

Don't you think WVU -4 looks too easy?  The entire free world is on them.

Fair enough, just don't think LSU has the O to win.

I just don't see a lot of value taking a bad team in Iowa, on the road, who lost to a shitty MAC team at home this season. Iowa has more ? marks than MSU and if you think MSU is looking ahead after dropping a turd in Bloomington then shame on Dantonio. I wouldnt feel comfortable laying 10 w/ MSU either which is why this is a no play for me...

It does and the only reason it's 4 is b/c they are expecting a WVU letdown. WVUs D stinks so they must think Geno Smith is going to lay an egg, but I'll take my chances w/ the Heisman hopeful against a very mediocre Tech team.
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#17
Posted: 10/9/2012 9:58:20 PM
If my memory serves me correctly, Ferentz is 3-9 following a bye week.
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#18
Posted: 10/9/2012 10:41:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by abizzo24:

have you seen iowa's offense? 

they both suck, the under should cash.

i would see 16-10 or some other garbage score.



16-10 covers.
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#19
Posted: 10/10/2012 8:07:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TDHAWKS:

If my memory serves me correctly, Ferentz is 3-9 following a bye week.



Ouch!! Don't like hearing that.  However, if a quality B1G Ten coach (and I consider Ferentz of quality) is given an extra week to prepare for this Spartan team, I would think they could gameplan well enough to hang around with this team
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#20
Posted: 10/10/2012 8:08:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by traderjoe13:

with you on iowa and the tigers looks like we use the same capping strategy!! the same one that i used to play the jets +9 on monday night.


Good luck to us !!  
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#21
Posted: 10/12/2012 2:00:57 AM
I'm not sure about this one. Seems like taking the points makes sense, but I think the Michigan State offense could finally start to click. I couldn't watch the 2nd half of the game last week, I was listening to it as I drove the to tigers game, but it sounded like Burbridge could be the real deal and exactly what the passing game needs to, at they very least, spread out defenses to open some holes for Bell. What do you think about Burbridge?
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#22
Posted: 10/13/2012 8:02:32 AM
Adding:


Illinois +25..... (2 units) IMO, this is great value.  The Illini have garbage the bed all season and will likely get overlooked by Michigan, who has MSU on deck.  Not to mention, there is some serious rain on the way to Ann Arbor, may rain like cats and dogs all game long.  The wet conditions should slow down Denard and hinder that already horrific passing game of his.  Look ahead + horrible conditions = close, ugly game.  U of M wins, but not by 4 TD's!



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#23
Posted: 10/13/2012 8:05:32 AM

Iowa (3-2) at Michigan State (4-2) (ET)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Spartan Stadium (75,005) -- East Lansing, Michigan. Television: ESPN, ESPN2, Big Ten Network. Home Record: Iowa 2-2, MSU 2-2. Away Record: Iowa 0-0, MSU 2-0. Neutral Record: Iowa 0-1, MSU 0-0. Conference Record: Iowa 1-0, MSU 1-1. Series Record: Iowa leads, 22-19-2.

GAME NOTES: Big Ten Conference rivals square off in East Lansing on Saturday afternoon, as the Michigan State Spartans play host to the Iowa Hawkeyes.

Iowa has alternated wins and losses this season, and the team is coming off a 31-13 win over Minnesota in its conference opener on Sept. 29. This is the Hawkeyes' first true road game, and they went just 1-4 away from home last year. The next win for Kirk Ferentz will be his 100th as Iowa's head coach.

After opening the season 2-0, Michigan State climbed to No. 10 in the nation, but following a pair of losses to Notre Dame (20-3) and Ohio State (17-16), it has been dropped from the Top-25. The Spartans were down by as many as 17 points last week on the road to Indiana, but they managed to score two unanswered touchdowns in the fourth quarter to pull off a 31-27 victory.

These two squads have been well-matched over the years, with Iowa holding a slim 22-19-2 advantage in the all-time series. The home team has won 11 of the last 13 bouts.

The Iowa offense has been mediocre at best this season, putting up 22.6 ppg while scoring touchdowns on less than half of its visits to the red zone (8- of-17), although they are coming off a pair of 31-point performances.

Mark Weisman has been a beast in the backfield since taking over for the injured Damon Bullock. Weisman has 515 yards and seven touchdowns on 74 carries, and all but eight of those yards have come over the last three weeks. The prevailing thought is that when Bullock (65 carries, 280 yards, TD) returns, Weisman has earned at least a share of the touches in the backfield.

While certainly not flashy, James Vanderberg has been steady under center, completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 1,000 yards with only a pair of interceptions, but he has thrown just two touchdown passes.

Keenan Davis is the leading receiver with 26 catches for 308 yards, but it's Kevonte Martin-Manley (221 yards) and Jordan Cotton (101 yards) who have caught Vanderberg's scoring strikes.

The Iowa defense has been stellar, allowing an average of only 17.4 ppg, and it held Minnesota to fewer than 300 yards the last time out.

Anthony Hitchens has a team-high 63 tackles and Joe Gaglione has 6.5 tackles for loss and three sacks. The Hawkeyes have intercepted six passes this season, including a pick-six from Christian Kirksey in the Minnesota game.

The Michigan State offense (21.8 ppg, 389 ypg) boasts one of the nation's most complete running backs in Le'Veon Bell.

Bell has carried the ball 171 times for 776 yards, sixth-most in the country, and he has scored seven touchdowns. He's also a threat as a receiver, hauling in 23 passes, second-most on the team. Bell is a true feature back, as no other player on the team has more than 16 carries.

Andrew Maxwell has been shaky at times, completing fewer than 57 percent of his passes for 1,428 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions. He is coming off a career-best 290 yards against Indiana however, tossing two scores and no picks.

Dion Sims leads the Spartans in all major receiving categories (24 receptions, 313 yards, two TDs). Freshman Aaron Burbridge broke out in the Indiana game with eight catches for 134 yards, the most yards for an MSU freshman since 2004.

Although the offense hasn't been as strong as advertised, the defense has picked up a lot of the slack (15.2 ppg, 272.3 ypg). The unit has stepped up when the team has needed it the most, holding opponents to just 28 percent on third downs while allowing touchdowns on just 5-of-13 trips to the red zone.

Max Bullough has a team-high 47 tackles and he has also recorded 4.5 tackles for loss and a forced fumble. Kurtis Drummond has accounted for two of the team's nine turnovers with an interception and a fumble recovery.

Iowa has been a Jekyll and Hyde performer so far, and playing in front of a hostile crowd at Spartan Stadium will be its biggest challenge yet. MSU has dropped a couple of difficult matchups against highly-ranked teams this year, but it should have no problem dismissing the Hawkeyes in this one.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Michigan State 34, Iowa 20

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#24
Posted: 10/13/2012 8:06:14 AM
gollum - As always, thanks for posting.....I love that cleavage shot that comes along with your knowledge!!    I like Burbridge, but our sample-size to judge him off of is 1 game vs DB's from IU, so we can't get too carried away.  But he should open up the passing game, I mean hell, I could probably do that with my 5.6 40-time and hands of stone!  But yes, he does have "star" written all over him as long as he stays eligible and out of trouble 
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#25
Posted: 10/13/2012 9:01:07 AM
1 more:

Stanford/ND UNDER 43



Final Card:


Iowa +10
Illinois +25 (2 units)
LSU -2.5
Stan/ND UNDER 43



Good luck ya'll 
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