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Author: [College Football] Topic: ***GWarner27's Week Six NCAAF Picks (4-3 57.1% YTD)***
GWarner27
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GWarner27
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Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 20962
Location: Rhode Island
#1
Posted: 9/30/2012 10:57:47 PM
+0.70

Dogs 1-2 -1.20
Faves 3-1 +1.90
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 0-0 +0.00
1st Half 0-0 +0.00
Halftimes 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0

September 4-3 +0.70
October 0-0 +0.00
November 0-0 +0.00
December 0-0 +0.00
Bowls 0-0 +0.00

Posted History
2007: 56-41-8 (57.7%) +22.127
2008: 45-42-3 (51.7%) -5.112
2009: 23-39-0 (37.1%) -15.303
2010: 36-46-2 (43.9%) -12.52
2011: 20-25-1 (44.4%) -6.288

Futures
2007-08: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2008-09: 0-1 (0%) -2.826
2009-10: 0-0 (0%) +0.00
2010-11: 2-2 (50%) -0.35
2011-12: 0-2 (0%) -2.174

Dog wins SU: 0
Beating the line 2010: +36.0
Beating the line 2011: +10.5
Beating the line 2012: +2.0


Notes:
-Minnesota got crushed, not sure if I can be too angry about making the play but obviously there was an expectation that if Iowa would have a good game it would be after losing a heartbreaker to CMU. Gophers were never really in it, which hurts because I got a great line capturing the hook to 7.5 at -110 when the line closed 6.5
-Toledo started well and held on to the lead. Didn't watch a ton just peaked in to make sure it wasn't getting close. Thanks to WatchESPN because without watching WMU-UConn I would have never thought about getting involved in a MAC game not televised anywhere. Need to check if Carder is good to go from now on if you consider taking WMU because i think there's a big drop-off from him to the backup and their pass D is horrendous. Can't win a shootout
quote
GWarner27
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GWarner27
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Location: Rhode Island
#2
Posted: 9/30/2012 10:59:33 PM
Week Six guesses:
USC 10.5
BYU 14.5
Sparty 10
BC 6
Cincy 14.5
CLEM 13
UVA 3
USF 4
NW 4
RUT 13.5
FSU 10.5
Mizzou 4
TAMU 5.5
UNC 1
ORE 27.5
SCar 2
TEX 3.5
TCU 16.5
WIS 7
K-State 24
Ucla 1.5
AUB 6
MICH 4
STAN 11
OU 16
UMD 4.5
Miss St 13
Or St 16
ND 8
tOSU 3.5
LSU 2

interests:
Utah, USU, GT, NW, RUT, TEX, UF

leans:
UF +3.5
OU -4 (fair to say I'm way off on this team)

on the radar:
PUR +3.5
ARK +10
TEX -7 (was really hoping I could get them under a FG so I doubt it gets there without heavy tout involvement)
GT +11
Utah +13.5
quote
GWarner27
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GWarner27
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Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 20962
Location: Rhode Island
#3
Posted: 10/3/2012 12:35:10 AM
updated leans:
Utah +14
GT +10.5
ARK +9.5
OU -5
UF u44.5

on the radar:
NW +3
Ole Miss +11
UF +2.5
TEX -6.5
quote
GWarner27
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GWarner27
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Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 20962
Location: Rhode Island
#4
Posted: 10/5/2012 6:24:51 PM
Updated leans:
OU -4.5
USC u53.5
UF u42.5
Arkansas +7.5
GT +10.5
Ole Miss +13

On the radar:
GT o73 (asking a game with one all-option team to score 74 is not attractive though I expect a bunch of points)
UVA +1 (like it but not sure about needing sims to win his first start, even if Renfree sits)

quote
GWarner27
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send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
GWarner27
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 20962
Location: Rhode Island
#5
Posted: 10/6/2012 7:06:59 PM
Laid off a bunch of winners today...

add
Georgia-South Carolina UNDER 55.5 (-110)
-Don't trust Connor shaw to throw the ball well tonight and I think their passrush will force Mark Richt to run more with the stable of freshmen. Clock should move and UGA's defense should have success against a one-dimensional squad.
quote
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