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Author:	[Penalty Box] Topic: Sat 9/29 NJPORKY's 2H NCAA System Plays
CatsofNova	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 322 Location: Pennsylvania	#951 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:19:03 AM Beavers looking liking Wisky coming out flat in the 2H
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liontri	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2003 Posts: 2263 Location: Netherlands	#952 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:19:27 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by NJPorky: *Oregon St @ Arizona* Full game odds were Arizona -3 and 58 At the half, 17-7 Oregon St 2H lines should be Arizona -13 and 34 2H lines are Arizona -3 and 28 Thus we have Oregon St +3 2H as a play I don't understand this system of yours. Whole game, Arizona favoured 3; how do you expect them to be favour 13 for second half? I have never seen a line like that for any sports. If you said the line should be 5 or 6, then I could understand where you're coming from. But, 13?
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Ducati_sj	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 5 Location:	#953 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:19:28 AM Porky: sorry i look at a wrong team. i look at SDSU @ Freshno St , hahah. Btw, juice is -130 is too much. i have juice only -105. wanna get hook up, let me know.
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BigWaveDave	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2005 Posts: 2299 Location: Ontario	#954 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:21:02 AM This always seems to happen to any system when it attracts too much attention. You don't think the books read these forums??
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NJPorky	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jun 2005 Posts: 1677 Location: New Jersey	#955 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:22:08 AM less than 4 minutes in TD San Diego ST...
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Fevernova	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 41 Location:	#956 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:22:35 AM stop overthinking the points, vegas super simulation pc is willing to set 2h at 30+, someone there also approved it, the most likely simulated scenario is a number around that spread. It may hit it may not, just because something hit the over at ht doesnt mean the rest will be scoreless, nor does it mean it will continue, its a gamble, pick a side and enjoy the ride. no point 2nd guess porky's selection.
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ManassaMauler	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 56972 Location: New York	#957 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:23:19 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kake7: Yey Manass how's your knee ?? good to see U around! hey man! thanks for asking...I kept it wrapped for a couple of weeks and just walked for a couple more weeks.......so far, so good. The less knives in my body, the better.
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NJPorky	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jun 2005 Posts: 1677 Location: New Jersey	#958 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:23:50 AM I'm not paying -130 juice...people who are haating trying to say the juice is kilkling you with all these plays and I was just making a point even if you were paying ridiculous juice you still profit...
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ManassaMauler	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 56972 Location: New York	#959 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:23:56 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by NJPorky: less than 4 minutes in TD San Diego ST... Tailed you on the over, and both TT over for 1K a piece...let's hope you're right
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giancarlo12	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2012 Posts: 141 Location:	#960 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:24:12 AM @liontri. arizona is -3 to win the game. they need to score 13 pts or more in 2nd half to cover -3, so -13 2nd half is correct.
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ManassaMauler	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 56972 Location: New York	#961 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:24:36 AM Anyone have a link to the Fresno St. game?
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ManassaMauler	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 56972 Location: New York	#962 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:25:09 AM
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capdatazz	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Oct 2011 Posts: 975 Location: Heard and McDonald Islands	#963 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:25:19 AM Making a pick based on a "system" or "simulations" is flat out retarded. I had az big 2nd half based on the fact they're at home and been moving the ball really well. Also when teams are up or down by a certain margin the play calling becomes more or less aggressive. For az to lose by More then 10 points at home to an equally matched team is not very likely.
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jaime2309	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 1774 Location: California	#964 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:26:19 AM Lol
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
SYSTEM	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2004 Posts: 1417 Location: California	#965 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:26:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by BigWaveDave: This always seems to happen to any system when it attracts too much attention. You don't think the books read these forums?? You think the lines have been different than what they would have been because of this system??
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DJLeft_unheard	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jun 2012 Posts: 210 Location: Florida	#966 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:26:24 AM Anything for Oregon wash.
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
jaime2309	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 1774 Location: California	#967 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:27:22 AM I doubt books change lines cause a thread has 39 pages lmao
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
NJPorky	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jun 2005 Posts: 1677 Location: New Jersey	#968 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:27:44 AM *Oregon @ Washington St* Full game odds were Oregon -31 and 73 At the half, 23-19 regon 2H lines should be Oregon -27 and 31 2H lines areOregon -14 and 35.5 Thus we have Washington St +14 2H as a play
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ManassaMauler	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 56972 Location: New York	#969 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:28:19 AM
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ManassaMauler	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 56972 Location: New York	#970 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:28:29 AM
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tim562	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 1298 Location: California	#971 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:29:13 AM Your system suck
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
liontri	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2003 Posts: 2263 Location: Netherlands	#972 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:29:36 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by giancarlo12: @liontri. arizona is -3 to win the game. they need to score 13 pts or more in 2nd half to cover -3, so -13 2nd half is correct. I understand that completely, mate. But, if a team is favoured by 3, and are behind at half time, not a single book will make that team a 13 points favourite. But, what do I know, right? They might win when favoured by 3 and lost if favoured by 13?
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SYSTEM	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2004 Posts: 1417 Location: California	#973 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:29:48 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309: I doubt books change lines cause a thread has 39 pages lmao
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Fevernova	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Prospect Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 41 Location:	#974 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:30:16 AM Thanks Porky (and others who filled in), been an interesting day, looking forward to doing this again tomorrow cheers!
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TonySonnn	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Nov 2011 Posts: 108 Location:	#975 Posted: 9/30/2012 12:30:25 AM Thanks Porky! I will see you tomorrow! BOL to all!
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