Posted:
#1
Alot of people have asked me why I'm on Cal so big this week. I am, and in fact, it's only the second time this year I have made a max bet.
But there are a few things to understand about why games and lines are the way they are. Most gamblers only see things through the black and white window that is in front of them. It's only a few who understand what the picture through the window is trying to show them. What I mean is take Florida S.T for example. They were 14 point favorites last week vs Clemson. This week there only 17 point favorites against a horrible South Florida team. Now why is that? We all know that Clemson is leaps and bounds better then S. Florida. So the Question is why is FSU only Favorites over South Florida by three more points then they were against Clemson? If any of you ever really pay attention to what I'm saying then you would already know the answer to it. College football's biggest factor and has been this from the beginning of time and will always be the biggest factor. So what is it? Home Field.
Playing College football at home changes everything you do as a team and shows up in every statics of the game. When you watch guys such as myself and other gamblers make these " max bets " you usually see them being made for the team that is at home. Now when most of the " max bets " lose, pay attention to where the game was played. Almost every time you will notice that the loses were to the road team. Am I telling you to go bet S. Florida this week? Absolutely not. Im on FSU this week because I believe that some teams can overcome the road only due to the fact that team's with Superior defenses can overcome. FSU falls into that category for me. I think that maybe only FSU, Alabama, and probably LSU are teams that can overcome this factor due to the fact of the overwhelming superior talent of the defense. Defense travels people. Another great example is Clemson. Clemson is night and day a different team on the road vs home. If Alabama travels to death valley I think Alabama surprisingly would be in for a dogfight with Clemson, in the end Alabama would overcome due to the fact of superior talent and depth on the defensive side of the ball. Flip that coin and Clemson has zero chance of winning in Tuscaloosa. The game of college football, and understand that this is only for the college game. This does not play into effect for the NFL. But the college game is so different that as gamblers we have to understand HOME AND AWAY.
I say all that to say this. This Cal game has been on my radar for a few weeks. Any " good " gambler know that you have to look at the schedule and choose and pick where good spots are. This game IMO, couldn't be a better spot. One of the biggest secrets in college football (and ask all the west coast guys, they know this) Cal has always been a really good home team. Playing Cal at home is always difficult. I know they lost to Nevada earlier this year but as I said in another thread, Cal losing to to Nevada at home was truly a uncommon thing. Arizona S.T is a team that just simply hasn't showed through the years it's mature enough to play on the road. What do think ASU record is last ten road games? Not Spread, but just straight up winning and losing, 2- 8. Guys, Cal is a little desperate and ASU is a little immature. There playing what would be a 1:00 game on the left coast. The scene is set, the play is ready. Take Cal tomorrow and thank me later.
GL guys, I hope we hit it
But there are a few things to understand about why games and lines are the way they are. Most gamblers only see things through the black and white window that is in front of them. It's only a few who understand what the picture through the window is trying to show them. What I mean is take Florida S.T for example. They were 14 point favorites last week vs Clemson. This week there only 17 point favorites against a horrible South Florida team. Now why is that? We all know that Clemson is leaps and bounds better then S. Florida. So the Question is why is FSU only Favorites over South Florida by three more points then they were against Clemson? If any of you ever really pay attention to what I'm saying then you would already know the answer to it. College football's biggest factor and has been this from the beginning of time and will always be the biggest factor. So what is it? Home Field.
Playing College football at home changes everything you do as a team and shows up in every statics of the game. When you watch guys such as myself and other gamblers make these " max bets " you usually see them being made for the team that is at home. Now when most of the " max bets " lose, pay attention to where the game was played. Almost every time you will notice that the loses were to the road team. Am I telling you to go bet S. Florida this week? Absolutely not. Im on FSU this week because I believe that some teams can overcome the road only due to the fact that team's with Superior defenses can overcome. FSU falls into that category for me. I think that maybe only FSU, Alabama, and probably LSU are teams that can overcome this factor due to the fact of the overwhelming superior talent of the defense. Defense travels people. Another great example is Clemson. Clemson is night and day a different team on the road vs home. If Alabama travels to death valley I think Alabama surprisingly would be in for a dogfight with Clemson, in the end Alabama would overcome due to the fact of superior talent and depth on the defensive side of the ball. Flip that coin and Clemson has zero chance of winning in Tuscaloosa. The game of college football, and understand that this is only for the college game. This does not play into effect for the NFL. But the college game is so different that as gamblers we have to understand HOME AND AWAY.
I say all that to say this. This Cal game has been on my radar for a few weeks. Any " good " gambler know that you have to look at the schedule and choose and pick where good spots are. This game IMO, couldn't be a better spot. One of the biggest secrets in college football (and ask all the west coast guys, they know this) Cal has always been a really good home team. Playing Cal at home is always difficult. I know they lost to Nevada earlier this year but as I said in another thread, Cal losing to to Nevada at home was truly a uncommon thing. Arizona S.T is a team that just simply hasn't showed through the years it's mature enough to play on the road. What do think ASU record is last ten road games? Not Spread, but just straight up winning and losing, 2- 8. Guys, Cal is a little desperate and ASU is a little immature. There playing what would be a 1:00 game on the left coast. The scene is set, the play is ready. Take Cal tomorrow and thank me later.
GL guys, I hope we hit it
0
.... Greatly appreciate your insight and vast knowledge of college football...
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