| Author: |
[College Football] Topic: LonghornHoosier - Selections - Week 1 |
|
LonghornHoosier |
 View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#1 Posted: 8/11/2012 3:44:02 AM Season ATS - (0-0) 0.00%
Saturday, 1 September 2012 (All Times Eastern Standard Time)
Notre Dame -16 over Navy (bought the hook), @ Dublin, Ireland (8:00 am)
Georgia (Home) -37 over Buffalo (bought the hook) (12:00 pm)
LSU (Home) -42 over N Texas (bought 1.5) (7:00 pm)
Alabama -12 over Michigan (bought the hook) @ Arlington, Texas (8:00 pm)
Writeups to follow...in the words of the 1980s Huey Lewis and the News song, I may appear to be "Hip to be Square", but it is indeed Week, when chalk is King and for a while squares and sharps are on the same page...So be it...GLTA 
I will appreciate your comments...
|
|
quote |
|
warcameagle56 |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1014
Location: Fiji |
#2 Posted: 8/11/2012 3:55:01 AM I like NotreDame to but Navy has beaten them 3 out of 5 I believe before Irish had beat em like 43 yrs str..Ireland concerns me.Its time for BK's 1minute plan to start working.Last yr's b owl game vsFSU was one of the worse QB performances Ive seen since I started watching football in 1978.I did see the Gunter kid QB on Dilfer s elite 11 but he is a frosh.That Tommy Rees qb is AWFUL & if he is starting Im taking Navy..thats alot of pts...BOL
|
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#3 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:02:57 AM Notre Dame -16 over Navy (bought the hook), @ Dublin, Ireland (8:00 am)
War - Rees is suspended for week 1..it will be Golson or Hendrix. I think whichever one is selected will be a step up over Rees...And Notre Dame defeated Navy last year 56-14 with your boy Rees at QB...Granted QB T Miller for Navy was thrown into the fire with Proctor went down...T Miller is a good leader and Navy will have some shotgun packages, but the bottom line is they live and die by the run...I don't believe Navy's D is going to be able to signficantly slow down N Dame. I think the game will be closer than last year.
Notre Dame 42
Navy 17 |
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#4 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:09:46 AM |
|
quote |
|
BarrelledIn |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 594
Location: |
#5 Posted: 8/11/2012 5:52:44 AM
-120
-120
-140
-120
There's no way these are the prices you just paid for those lines.  
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
cherokee10 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 4114
Location: Ohio |
#6 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:33:22 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by BarrelledIn:
Am I losing my mind to see bought points at absolutely meaningless numbers for all 4 picks.
Hate to say it, but that's the first thing that came to mind as well.
I'm not so much worried about ND, but LSU/UGA/Bama (which I'll be on as well) look fine where they're at, and since 2/3 are high spreads, 1-1.5 pts shouldn't matter in the outcome.
As for Bama, anything under 14 is good, if you're more comfortable with the hook so be it, but I'll take 12.5-14 come gametime.
 Longhorn
|
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#7 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:34:33 AM |
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#8 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:38:16 AM thanks for the takes |
|
quote |
|
cherokee10 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 4114
Location: Ohio |
#9 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:52:01 AM Are these your only picks for week 1 Longhorn?
Like I said, 3/4 I'll be on.
|
|
quote |
|
Capper007 |
RSI  |
Captain
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 5459
Location: United States |
#10 Posted: 8/11/2012 9:33:49 AM Looks like your giving like -140 juice on all the games..if i think i need to buy points im not betting it.. I woulda left out the other games and put it all on UGA -37.5 up tp -41 over Buffalo. I wouldnt touch ND (QB issues and overseas, probably a Navy contigency there and Obama will probably show!!) Alabama has all the pressure to win the game, and Michigan can cover. North Texas sucks, but 42 points sounds like a backdoor cover (no tyron matthieu, ??? at QB!!
Just advice...not trying to bash you..4 games with inflated juice sounds like giving $$$ to vegas to me!! but if they all hit youll be good gotta hit 3 to cover the juice on 2 though!
What was you JUICE??
GL |
|
quote |
|
Capper007 |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 5459
Location: United States |
#11 Posted: 8/11/2012 9:38:52 AM $120 to win $100
$120 to win 100
$140 to win $100
$120 to win $100
Risking $500 to win 400$
if 1.5 and .5 helps on any of the games i would be shocked |
|
quote |
|
jdnmoney |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 6775
Location: United States |
#12 Posted: 8/11/2012 12:46:06 PM |
|
quote |
|
bookieassassin |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 4568
Location: Texas |
#13 Posted: 8/11/2012 2:49:35 PM
but you should make money.......BOL..........
*Horns will roll.......
|
|
quote |
|
TreyInventor |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 1471
Location: California |
#14 Posted: 8/11/2012 3:41:44 PM |
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#15 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:00:46 PM |
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#16 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:00:50 PM |
|
quote |
|
BarrelledIn |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 594
Location: |
#17 Posted: 8/11/2012 5:06:26 PM 
If you don't know why those are insignificant numbers, or "why it matters", gl to you
|
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#18 Posted: 8/11/2012 7:49:36 PM |
|
quote |
|
casheasy |
RSI  |
All-Star
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 10396
Location: Nevada |
#19 Posted: 8/11/2012 9:32:43 PM Good luck Longhorn
I think we all appreciate your posting your picks and giving some reasoning, as well as letting people know what numbers you got and how you got them.
The reason why some people said these numbers are insignicant is, obviously, because the odds of that half point mattering on those numbers are sooooo low that the buying points is really throwing money away. That's if you lose, of course.
It doesn't sound like anyone is trying to be a prick about it.
I really hope you do well this year, and while I haven't made my mind up on most of these (I did bet Georgia), I hope you win week one as well. Keep it up bro |
|
quote |
|
nostradamus12 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Captain
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 8081
Location: Virginia |
#20 Posted: 8/12/2012 7:04:11 AM liking the bulldogs quite a bit, glad to see Smith is back...can't imagine Mich offense doing much there so defense will have to play great just to hang around.....ND offense could be much improved if Golson gets his shot, at least you know Rees can't turn it over in that game, BOL longhorn |
|
quote |
|
SportsFreak69 |
RSI  |
Legend
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 34057
Location: United States |
#21 Posted: 8/23/2012 4:29:00 PM |
|
quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#22 Posted: 8/23/2012 4:58:22 PM |
|
quote |
|
HookEmHorns22 |
RSI |
MVP
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 16514
Location: United States |
#23 Posted: 8/23/2012 5:26:25 PM |
|
Posted using a mobile device.quote |
|
LonghornHoosier |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay | |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1744
Location: Texas |
#24 Posted: 8/23/2012 5:29:59 PM |
|
quote |
|
WISEGUY36 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 1438
Location: Hawaii |
#25 Posted: 8/23/2012 6:10:44 PM
it's easier to criticize someone's effort than to make proper "due
diligence on their own selections, and then make excuses.
I've been doing this for many years and find maybe 1-3 selections
per week that meet the criteria that I set.If they don't meet that criteria, I do not bet them.To that end, I've been fairly successful at this,andI'm not going to change my handicapping style
The reason I'm saying this is that if you are successful by your
standards in football handicapping, and make money at it,just
ignore these critics.Do it your way.An important part of sound money management is mitigating risk and we all have different
ways of doing that.You gotta do what's right for you.Go get em.
Best of luck to you
|
|
quote |