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[College Football] Topic: LonghornHoosier - Selections - Week 1 |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#1 Posted: 8/11/2012 3:44:02 AM Week 1 ATS - (0-0) 0.00%
Season ATS - (0-0) 0.00%
Saturday, 1 September 2012 (All Times Eastern Standard Time)
Notre Dame -16 over Navy (bought the hook), @ Dublin, Ireland (8:00 am)
Georgia (Home) -37 over Buffalo (bought the hook) (12:00 pm)
LSU (Home) -42 over N Texas (bought 1.5) (7:00 pm)
Alabama -12 over Michigan (bought the hook) @ Arlington, Texas (8:00 pm)
Writeups to follow...in the words of the 1980s Huey Lewis and the News song, I may appear to be "Hip to be Square", but it is indeed Week, when chalk is King and for a while squares and sharps are on the same page...So be it...GLTA 
I will appreciate your comments...
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warcameagle56 |
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#2 Posted: 8/11/2012 3:55:01 AM I like NotreDame to but Navy has beaten them 3 out of 5 I believe before Irish had beat em like 43 yrs str..Ireland concerns me.Its time for BK's 1minute plan to start working.Last yr's b owl game vsFSU was one of the worse QB performances Ive seen since I started watching football in 1978.I did see the Gunter kid QB on Dilfer s elite 11 but he is a frosh.That Tommy Rees qb is AWFUL & if he is starting Im taking Navy..thats alot of pts...BOL
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LonghornHoosier |
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#3 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:02:57 AM Notre Dame -16 over Navy (bought the hook), @ Dublin, Ireland (8:00 am)
War - Rees is suspended for week 1..it will be Golson or Hendrix. I think whichever one is selected will be a step up over Rees...And Notre Dame defeated Navy last year 56-14 with your boy Rees at QB...Granted QB T Miller for Navy was thrown into the fire with Proctor went down...T Miller is a good leader and Navy will have some shotgun packages, but the bottom line is they live and die by the run...I don't believe Navy's D is going to be able to signficantly slow down N Dame. I think the game will be closer than last year.
Notre Dame 42
Navy 17 |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#4 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:09:46 AM In addition, this Kelly's 3rd year...yes, Navy did win over hapless Weis...I think Kelly has instilled discipline. you mention N Dame's bowl game with FSU...Well, FSU had a pretty good D last year...I think the talent differential between N Dame and Navy is huge which would be expected for a service academy. However, in the past Navy has been under the radar for some teams and with their discipline pull off upsets and play better than expected. I take N Dame's recent losses to Navy from another angle...I think it will motivate N Dame. In addition, and as I have said before, an Irish American Coach is leading the Fighting Irish on to that field in front of 50K screaming "Real Irish" Dublin...Who do you think the fans will be rooting for??? Don't you think N Dame and their fans will be a bit jacked up and motivated...This will be a quasi home field for N Dame...Navy will play of course, but it won't be enough... |
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BarrelledIn |
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#5 Posted: 8/11/2012 5:52:44 AM Am I losing my mind to see bought points at absolutely meaningless numbers for all 4 picks.
-120 -120 -140 -120
There's no way these are the prices you just paid for those lines.  
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cherokee10 |
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#6 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:33:22 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by BarrelledIn:
Am I losing my mind to see bought points at absolutely meaningless numbers for all 4 picks.
Hate to say it, but that's the first thing that came to mind as well.
I'm not so much worried about ND, but LSU/UGA/Bama (which I'll be on as well) look fine where they're at, and since 2/3 are high spreads, 1-1.5 pts shouldn't matter in the outcome.
As for Bama, anything under 14 is good, if you're more comfortable with the hook so be it, but I'll take 12.5-14 come gametime.
Longhorn
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LonghornHoosier |
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#7 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:34:33 AM how exactly are they meaningless and what qualifies you to make that assessment? And finally, why does it matter? |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#8 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:38:16 AM thanks for the takes |
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cherokee10 |
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#9 Posted: 8/11/2012 8:52:01 AM Are these your only picks for week 1 Longhorn?
Like I said, 3/4 I'll be on.

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Capper007 |
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#10 Posted: 8/11/2012 9:33:49 AM Looks like your giving like -140 juice on all the games..if i think i need to buy points im not betting it.. I woulda left out the other games and put it all on UGA -37.5 up tp -41 over Buffalo. I wouldnt touch ND (QB issues and overseas, probably a Navy contigency there and Obama will probably show!!) Alabama has all the pressure to win the game, and Michigan can cover. North Texas sucks, but 42 points sounds like a backdoor cover (no tyron matthieu, ??? at QB!!
Just advice...not trying to bash you..4 games with inflated juice sounds like giving $$$ to vegas to me!! but if they all hit youll be good gotta hit 3 to cover the juice on 2 though!
What was you JUICE??
GL |
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Capper007 |
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#11 Posted: 8/11/2012 9:38:52 AM $120 to win $100
$120 to win 100
$140 to win $100
$120 to win $100
Risking $500 to win 400$
if 1.5 and .5 helps on any of the games i would be shocked |
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jdnmoney |
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#12 Posted: 8/11/2012 12:46:06 PM like UGa  |
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bookieassassin |
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#13 Posted: 8/11/2012 2:49:35 PM not sure I will be on any of those.....(a good sign ?) but you should make money.......BOL..........
*Horns will roll.......
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TreyInventor |
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#14 Posted: 8/11/2012 3:41:44 PM why buy the hook at 12 for Bama tho? 12.5 is still a key number as they can win by a TD and two FGs. But Bama should mop the floor with Michigan. BOL tho |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#15 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:00:46 PM i thought the focus would be on the selections versus the merits of buying hooks...no one ever really knows how a game will play out. with the uncertainty of week 1, i am a bit more risk averse than you fine gentlemen, even if in your minds in defies logic... |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#16 Posted: 8/11/2012 4:00:50 PM i thought the focus would be on the selections versus the merits of buying hooks...no one ever really knows how a game will play out. with the uncertainty of week 1, i am a bit more risk averse than you fine gentlemen, even if in your minds in defies logic... |
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BarrelledIn |
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#17 Posted: 8/11/2012 5:06:26 PM Buy five points a game and never worry and get a guaranteed win if want to be risk averse 
If you don't know why those are insignificant numbers, or "why it matters", gl to you 
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LonghornHoosier |
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#18 Posted: 8/11/2012 7:49:36 PM whatever man... |
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casheasy |
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#19 Posted: 8/11/2012 9:32:43 PM Good luck Longhorn 
I think we all appreciate your posting your picks and giving some reasoning, as well as letting people know what numbers you got and how you got them.
The reason why some people said these numbers are insignicant is, obviously, because the odds of that half point mattering on those numbers are sooooo low that the buying points is really throwing money away. That's if you lose, of course.
It doesn't sound like anyone is trying to be a prick about it.
I really hope you do well this year, and while I haven't made my mind up on most of these (I did bet Georgia), I hope you win week one as well. Keep it up bro  |
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nostradamus12 |
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#20 Posted: 8/12/2012 7:04:11 AM liking the bulldogs quite a bit, glad to see Smith is back...can't imagine Mich offense doing much there so defense will have to play great just to hang around.....ND offense could be much improved if Golson gets his shot, at least you know Rees can't turn it over in that game, BOL longhorn |
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SportsFreak69 |
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#21 Posted: 8/23/2012 4:29:00 PM Best of Luck  |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#22 Posted: 8/23/2012 4:58:22 PM I have changed some of my picks since the initial posting...I will post my picks tomorrow, Friday, 24 August 2012... |
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HookEmHorns22 |
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#23 Posted: 8/23/2012 5:26:25 PM Who cares. Like your picks. Don't worry about what people say. If they hit they hit. If not your getting a lose either way. I think all they are saying is what does that extra .5 or 1.5 matter. Oh well...BOL either way |
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LonghornHoosier |
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#24 Posted: 8/23/2012 5:29:59 PM I appreciate that Hook em'...I have made a few changes...those were my selections at the time, but I had not place the bets yet...I will not only submit my final selections, but I will justify them...thanks again... |
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WISEGUY36 |
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#25 Posted: 8/23/2012 6:10:44 PM Longhorn, we all are always gonna find "critics" out there, for some it's easier to criticize someone's effort than to make proper "due diligence on their own selections, and then make excuses. I've been doing this for many years and find maybe 1-3 selections per week that meet the criteria that I set.If they don't meet that criteria, I do not bet them.To that end, I've been fairly successful at this,andI'm not going to change my handicapping style The reason I'm saying this is that if you are successful by your standards in football handicapping, and make money at it,just ignore these critics.Do it your way.An important part of sound money management is mitigating risk and we all have different ways of doing that.You gotta do what's right for you.Go get em. Best of luck to you
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