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[College Football] Topic: These Schools Will be a ATM , ATS this Season--Agree? add some |
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thesoulpurpose |
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#26 Posted: 7/12/2012 12:15:13 AM |
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Corley1011 |
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#27 Posted: 7/12/2012 12:19:12 AM |
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thesoulpurpose |
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#28 Posted: 7/12/2012 9:03:58 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Corley1011:
That line is already out? at some spots in vegas yes, at my book no. |
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bookieassassin |
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#29 Posted: 7/12/2012 9:20:37 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by thesoulpurpose:
last time I checked minesota was -4 at unlv, I will hammer the gophers here, I see them winning it by 10 to 14
your instincts are correct SP.....and that is why the line will be 14ish....it (might) open 12ish.....tho hard to tell here...
as UNLV is 18-9 ATS as a home dog...so may get local action.....plus Minny is in a VERY uncomfortable role....as big road favorite
In fact last time in '09.....as a -7 pt fav at the Cuse
they won by 3 (ugly loss for Covers consensus).....
FYI > their next 10 wins...they also covered the game.....
enjoy your old school work here.....
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Skipster |
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#30 Posted: 7/12/2012 10:54:03 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
don't think in terms of "GOOD"... or "BAD"
* but what is the PUBLIC PERCEPTION....of these teams.....> how is this right...or wrong....is team A really as good as when we saw them last?.....is team B really that bad?.....
My early list.....this is NOT a beauty contest remember
Bowling Green
Ohio St Urban 71-44 ATS......31-6 in non-conf games!
UCF
Troy
Utah...Texas.....CMich...Mia,O...Fresno...Ball St...Army.....USF......Duke?
*schedule allows roll?.....Georgia.....Miss St...Iowa...Utah...(Trojans better watch out.....Thurs nite at Utah 10/4....in Cal/@ Wash sandwich.....@ Tree before Cal too )....they can run + tough D = dangerous dog
I don't really look to fade anybody.....but these boys could be OVERvalued.....
Baylor....SMiss.....Michigan.....A&M?
UTEP.....New Mexico....HAWAII.....Kentucky.....should simply get killed
SPOT Plays....
CAL......as home fav.....17-3 ATS run.......and 26-19 with revenge.......Bears lost to 4 of their 2012 home opponents LY
(Nevada...UCLA...Ducks...Tree)
NC St....9-0 with rest...15-4-1 off loss.....21-10-1 in ACC
21-8 as ACC dog....with 15 upsets........and 26-0 ATS (vs FBS).....when they win SU > forget spread...just pick winner
ULA......13-0 road dog
MICH ST.....8-1-1 RF......14-6-1 B10 road
OKIE ST......28-10-1 as fav....19-6 B12 fav
VA TECH......22-3 as RF < 8 pts
NEVADA.....8-0 as non-conf HF.....24-8-1 as HF
UNLV.....on road.....0-14 SU .....1-13 ATS
SMU.....6-15 fav
numbers from Steele...ML.....Stat Fox.....Gold Sheet..++
*discrepancies occur because game lines are often different....different sources/cut-off times ....
this is a lot to chew on, bookie. thanks. printed this one out.
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#31 Posted: 7/13/2012 12:27:37 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by dugie243: great thread D4  i know i thought the same on a lot of this last year, but here are a few i like (SEC special edition): Betting:Tennessee (offense should keep them close in many games) Missouri (most SEC bettors will fade automatically and drive the number up) Vandy (again, most usually fade, but this is a well coached team. watch out) Fading:UGA (way over rated this year. easy schedule, but should be some nice fade spots on big games) Auburn (new assistants and gene is an idiot. this team does not know where it is going) GL to all 
agree with all ... will be on Missouri , but hoping for more than the +4 they are currently getting when they host UGA...Everyone is in love with the Bulldogs schedule , but I think ATS they will be a great fade
With you on Vanderbilt , Love the coaching , hoping for the Line to reach +10.5 week 1
Tennessee better find some one to run the ball this season or D's will be teeing off on Bray again... Vols could be a ATM
Nice posts Brother |
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4theluvofmoney |
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#32 Posted: 7/13/2012 12:34:40 AM |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#33 Posted: 7/13/2012 12:34:49 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
don't think in terms of "GOOD"... or "BAD"
* but what is the PUBLIC PERCEPTION....of these teams.....> how is this right...or wrong....is team A really as good as when we saw them last?.....is team B really that bad?.....
My early list.....this is NOT a beauty contest remember
Bowling Green
Ohio St Urban 71-44 ATS......31-6 in non-conf games!
UCF
Troy
Utah...Texas.....CMich...Mia,O...Fresno...Ball St...Army.....USF......Duke?
*schedule allows roll?.....Georgia.....Miss St...Iowa...Utah...(Trojans better watch out.....Thurs nite at Utah 10/4....in Cal/@ Wash sandwich.....@ Tree before Cal too )....they can run + tough D = dangerous dog
I don't really look to fade anybody.....but these boys could be OVERvalued.....
Baylor....SMiss.....Michigan.....A&M?
UTEP.....New Mexico....HAWAII.....Kentucky.....should simply get killed
SPOT Plays....
CAL......as home fav.....17-3 ATS run.......and 26-19 with revenge.......Bears lost to 4 of their 2012 home opponents LY
(Nevada...UCLA...Ducks...Tree)
NC St....9-0 with rest...15-4-1 off loss.....21-10-1 in ACC
21-8 as ACC dog....with 15 upsets........and 26-0 ATS (vs FBS).....when they win SU > forget spread...just pick winner
ULA......13-0 road dog
MICH ST.....8-1-1 RF......14-6-1 B10 road
OKIE ST......28-10-1 as fav....19-6 B12 fav
VA TECH......22-3 as RF < 8 pts
NEVADA.....8-0 as non-conf HF.....24-8-1 as HF
UNLV.....on road.....0-14 SU .....1-13 ATS
SMU.....6-15 fav
numbers from Steele...ML.....Stat Fox.....Gold Sheet..++
*discrepancies occur because game lines are often different....different sources/cut-off times ....
Love your work 
although I totally disagree with most things you say on here other than Football |
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bookieassassin |
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#34 Posted: 7/13/2012 12:50:35 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
Love your work
although I totally disagree with most things you say on here other than Football
this being the COLLEGE FOOTBALL WAGERING FORUM.....
we should be good..........
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#35 Posted: 7/13/2012 10:33:08 AM
Amazing run last season winning 7 straight conference games . 9 Starters return on offense , 7 on Defense . While they do lose SBCOPOY RB Bobby Rainey , I do expect QB Kuwaun Jukes to take a big step forward in his SR season. After opening with 3 FBS foes in the first foes in the first 4 weeks there could be plenty of value .
10-2 ATS LY
5-2 ATS as home Dog last 2 years
8-3 as away Dog the last 2 years
13-3 ATS vs SBC last 2 years
Possible Betting options
Week 2 at Alabama would want a nice chunk of points but Tide do have at Arkansas on deck .
Week 3 at Kentucky Hilltoppers ML ???
Week 5 at Arkansas St. waiting to see how Gus's boys are
Week 7 vs ULM won outright as a nice 6 point Dog LY
Week 8 FIU Golden Panthers seem a bit overrated coming into this season
Week 10 FAU Owls looks pretty soft
Week 12 North Texas
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QBUN |
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#36 Posted: 7/13/2012 11:00:41 AM |
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PimpJzH |
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#37 Posted: 7/13/2012 11:06:24 AM  |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#38 Posted: 7/13/2012 11:11:05 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by QBUN: doule great work as always....question,will you be posting ur plays throughout the week or the same day as the games? just want to make sure i dont miss out
Yipes .. tread lightly ... I am a much better futures players than weekly CFB ATS gambler...
Nebraska -13 ($240) will likely be my only week 1 play over $75 ..unless i see some real value ....
a Majority of my plays will be posted before thursday of each week ... |
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PROPHET4 |
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#39 Posted: 7/13/2012 11:58:46 AM Gl on the week to week betting this year. I'm sure i will be tailing you on a few.  |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#40 Posted: 7/13/2012 2:01:00 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PROPHET4: Gl on the week to week betting this year. I'm sure i will be tailing you on a few.
need all the Luck i can get 
BOL brother thanks for stopping by
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#41 Posted: 7/13/2012 4:06:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PimpJzH: wow this is gold
Only time will tell  |
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nickeydyme |
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#42 Posted: 7/13/2012 4:28:34 PM |
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Capper007 |
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#43 Posted: 7/13/2012 7:35:47 PM OKLAHOMA STATE WILL NOT BE GOOD NEXT YEAR...THE COACHES AND ANNOUNCERS FOR THE SCHOOL ARE SAYING THINGS LIKE REBUILDING YEAR, AND THEY PLAN ON STARTING A TRUE FRESHMAN QB!! WEEDEN WAS IMPLEMENTING HOLMGRENS OFFENSE, NOT GUNDYS!
A COLLEGE FOOTBALL TEAMS SUCCESS STARTS WITH THE QB....
THAT SAID WHAT IS OSU'S QBS NAME?? |
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Capper007 |
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#44 Posted: 7/13/2012 7:43:39 PM Answer: Wes Lunt- 18 years old
We've heard all three of those before and will again in 2012. The age jokes are back, but replace jokes about Weeden's AARP status with ones about 18-year-old Wes Lunt's acne and prom date. Then replace "Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon" with "Zac Robinson and Dez Bryant." |
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#45 Posted: 7/18/2012 10:42:29 AM
Memphis .
Still Don't know why they got rid of former HC Tommie West ? After he got the Tigers to 5 bowls from 03 to 08. Larry Porter was a joke of a HC . Don't like the hire of 35 year old Justin Fuente ... The Road schedule looks Like 0-6 S/Up...at Home I see 2 wins at best ....get ready to fade away
5-31 S/Up the last 3 years
26-42-2 ATS the last 6 years
4-11 ATS as a home Dog the last 3 years
7-13 ATS as a Road Dog the last 4 years
8-16 ATS vs CUSA the last 3 years
Possible fade spots
Game 2 at Arkansas St. this could get reAL UGLY
Game 4 at Duke Tigers are 0-14 vs BCS schools losing by avg of 24 PPG.
Game 5 Rice ... Owls look much better on paper
Game 6 at ECU Have dropped 6 straight ATS to Pirates
Game 7 UCF have lost all 7 to UCF by avg of 19 points
screw it the rest of them !!! |
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Laroja |
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#46 Posted: 7/18/2012 5:11:16 PM good analysis |
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Boom_Boom |
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#47 Posted: 7/18/2012 6:59:45 PM
agree on alot.........
disagree on Oklahoma st and WV
BTW.... never write the words I like what Tom O'Brien has done or Tom O'Brien is a good coach.... 
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DoubleUp4Life |
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#48 Posted: 7/19/2012 12:19:57 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Boom_Boom: Double - you know I love and respect your passion and dedication to the game agree on alot......... disagree on Oklahoma st and WV BTW.... never write the words I like what Tom O'Brien has done or Tom O'Brien is a good coach....
Tom O'Brien can do NO wrong
she he may choke a few games away , or his teams look like they prepared for a option team when playing a Air raid offense ,
Thanks for stopping by Brother BOOM |
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QBUN |
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#49 Posted: 7/19/2012 2:46:39 PM |
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GoCougs |
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#50 Posted: 7/19/2012 3:20:48 PM |
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