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Author: [College Football] Topic: ATS teams in 2012: What teams will you ride and why?
Vegasbuster send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 6/4/2012 12:12:32 AM
Duke: 
6-5-1 LY ATS.
Returns 17 Starters (8 Off, 7 Def)
Senior QB has started 23 games and has thrown for over 6,000 yards.
If they get down, there could be some late covers with this team, however, only one line LY was > +20 and that was against Stanford.

Who else?





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#2
Posted: 6/4/2012 3:46:34 AM

I like Akron to make some noise when they play a weak mac confrence.

Terry Bowden has assembled a very decent coaching staff with Chuck Amatto and others.

I think the one game they get slaughtered is September 22 is when they play the other team Im high on and thats Tennessee

Tennessee is in a must win, win big and not just make A bowl game but big bowl game or BCS bowl game.

The offensive talent is there, so now its all on dooley.

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#3
Posted: 6/4/2012 11:18:34 AM

Really like Vanderbilt.   Especially at home.  Coaching and QB play is a strength of this team. 15 returning starters 9-4 ATS. (maybe I missed out a year ago)

Don't sleep on Purdue this year. 15 returning starters. ? can they replace kicker

Boston College should be much improved as injuries hurt LY.  17 returning starters.

Will be watching Fresno St  with new coaching.  A very talented team returns that underachieved last year.  Derek Carr seemed immature at times.  If the D can improve the offense should be able to keep up.  Atleast for the cover.

Bowling Green returns 17 starters including QB Schilz who had 28 TD's LY.  Again the D needs to improve only slighly

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packers1992 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#4
Posted: 6/4/2012 12:17:58 PM
My team is UCF of the 10 defenses LY in ppg 9 made a bowl the 1 who didn't was UCF
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T_Rav1088 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#5
Posted: 6/4/2012 12:19:45 PM
Vegas also knows the returning starters though.  The value in these teams is gonna be how they're assessed by the desert.  If Akron, for example, is laying steep numbers in the weak behind mac they're gonna be a bad play, especially as unpredictable as those weekday marquee games can be.  Personally Chef, I think you missed the boat on Vandy.  A team like that can sneak up on teams for a year, but if teams don't go into Vandy weeks looking at it as a bye, its a significantly different type game.  Depending on motivation, I think UNC could be on this list.  A new up-tempo offense could make a lot more numbers achievable.  I graduated last year from there, and our most difficult part of coverings spreads was just our inability to help our star defenses.
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QBoption
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#6
Posted: 6/4/2012 1:31:08 PM

Arkansas

11-2su/8-5ats

best QB in the SEC, love the new coach, love the schdule...

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#7
Posted: 6/4/2012 1:40:12 PM

Cal Bears

7-6su/7-6ats

i like the schd,most games are winnable QB play should be better, look for a more mature troop...

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#8
Posted: 6/4/2012 2:16:35 PM
option thanks i forgot about CAL new facilities including the 1st 100,000 square foot weight room. There should be good value with them as well. option
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#9
Posted: 6/4/2012 2:20:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by QBoption:

Arkansas

11-2su/8-5ats

best QB in the SEC, love the new coach, love the schdule...



JLS is a boob
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#10
Posted: 6/4/2012 7:35:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SatNightFever05:



JLS is a boob
absolutely satnight

that numb nut is the sole reason why I think people can remove Arkansas from the conversation of winning a NC.
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#11
Posted: 6/4/2012 7:40:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Vegasbuster:

Duke: 
6-5-1 LY ATS.
Returns 17 Starters (8 Off, 7 Def)
Senior QB has started 23 games and has thrown for over 6,000 yards.
If they get down, there could be some late covers with this team, however, only one line LY was > +20 and that was against Stanford.

Who else?





I see what your saying.

But dont forget that Duke is still Duke. I have always believed that bad football teams are still bad football teams no matter the circumstance. Not saying that Duke wont cover some games for ya..... But my Dad told me many years ago ( which is one of the best gamblers I ever knew )  that dont ever try to make a living betting on garbage. It will always smell and treat you like what it really is in the end.

my 2 cents
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#12
Posted: 6/4/2012 9:49:02 PM
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I know Steele et al are hyping UCF, and they will be better this year, but they did lose @ UAB 26-24...that is inexcusable...I want to get on the UCF train, prima facie, they have Top 25 talent, but that UAB game and losing record last year concerns me...

 

Originally Posted by packers1992:

My team is UCF of the 10 defenses LY in ppg 9 made a bowl the 1 who didn't was UCF

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#13
Posted: 6/4/2012 10:06:57 PM
Duke and ncsu should be reliable cover teams this season
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#14
Posted: 6/5/2012 12:55:18 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by T_Rav1088:

Vegas also knows the returning starters though.  The value in these teams is gonna be how they're assessed by the desert.  If Akron, for example, is laying steep numbers in the weak behind mac they're gonna be a bad play, especially as unpredictable as those weekday marquee games can be.  Personally Chef, I think you missed the boat on Vandy.  A team like that can sneak up on teams for a year, but if teams don't go into Vandy weeks looking at it as a bye, its a significantly different type game.  Depending on motivation, I think UNC could be on this list.  A new up-tempo offense could make a lot more numbers achievable.  I graduated last year from there, and our most difficult part of coverings spreads was just our inability to help our star defenses.

6-7 SU isn't exactly a scary team.  I would expect they get zero respect.  Thats why I'm backing them.

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mafioso send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bellagio |
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#15
Posted: 6/5/2012 3:39:57 AM
Chef, Ill be riding Vandy Over this year, I think they will put up some points.
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#16
Posted: 6/5/2012 12:18:27 PM
The UAB loss was bad but hoosier though we have different opinions on UCF the best prat is soon we'll find out for sure
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#17
Posted: 6/5/2012 10:25:57 PM
Why Stop Betting Alabama ????

35-18 ATS the last 4 Years 

12-5 ATS as a Road fav 

22-13 ATS vs the SEC L4Y


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#18
Posted: 6/5/2012 10:31:30 PM
Oklahoma St 

enough people will be down on them this season to keep the spreads rolling with Value ... Sure they lose Blackmon and Weeden but they have 50 Letterman returning and a Great system in place ... 

6 Straight years Winning ATS vs the BIG 12  ( 30-16-3)

11-1 ATS as a Road Fav the last 3 years 

18-7-1  ATS L2Y

15-7-1  ATS as home fav last 4 yeaRS 
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#19
Posted: 6/5/2012 10:54:53 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by packers1992:

The UAB loss was bad but hoosier though we have different opinions on UCF the best prat is soon we'll find out for sure

 

honestly, I am not against UCF.  I made take them in week 1.  I just would like to do more research on how a team could lose to a team as bad as UAB in one year and be a top 25 team and CUSA favorite at the start of the next.  There is no doubt UCF will be imroved and they have a good D and may get T Gabber, but I don't know if I can give Akron 20+ points at Akron in week 1.   IS UCF LEGIT OR ARE THEY OVERHYPED?

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#20
Posted: 6/6/2012 12:31:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Why Stop Betting Alabama ????


I'll definitely be on them a lot this season.
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QBoption
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#21
Posted: 6/6/2012 9:20:47 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SatNightFever05:



JLS is a boob

i love BOOBS!

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#22
Posted: 6/6/2012 11:23:45 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Why Stop Betting Alabama ????

100% agree, along with LSU.....both teams made me plenty of $$$ last year....especially the final weeks of the season.

 

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