| Author: |
[College Football] Topic: Putting 80% of My 2012 Bankroll into Futures--Do you Like these ? |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI   View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#26 Posted: 6/1/2012 9:51:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by nc1capper:
Good luck this season Sir
Best of Luck to you Brother Sir  |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#27 Posted: 6/1/2012 9:54:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69: I like the Clemson plays 
I Hope they Don't Clemson me 
BOL this season Brother Train ...
Looking for some nice Value as a Dog in SEC play for your Boys  |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#28 Posted: 6/1/2012 9:57:36 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by crocnzeeba:
Along those lines I dropped $20 on Wisky at 50-1. I think an undefeated season is quite possible, and if the top teams each lose one the Badgers could sneak into the NC game. Worth a shot...it all comes down to O'Brien.
Like the Badgers as well and 50-1 , might put $20+ on them ,,, thanks for the Push Brother |
|
quote |
|
dugie243 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 3357
Location: District of
Columbia |
#29 Posted: 6/1/2012 9:57:42 PM
always love reading your stuff year in and year out. glad to be back and cannot wait for the season to start  I have not started running my numbers for the year, plan on starting that next week. But like you, i throw the majority of my roll in futures. there is a lot of value to be found if you look  Here's too another great season cover brother 
GL to all  |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#30 Posted: 6/2/2012 8:38:22 AM
always love reading your stuff year in and year out. glad to be back and cannot wait for the season to start I have not started running my numbers for the year, plan on starting that next week. But like you, i throw the majority of my roll in futures. there is a lot of value to be found if you look Here's too another great season cover brother
GL to all
Hello Brother ...Great to hear from you...
May you have a Fantastic Summer
Glad you like betting Futures as well  , Love the DEGEN action they provide ....
Please drop by after you start running your numbers
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#31 Posted: 6/2/2012 8:41:36 AM
Kansas City Chiefs Under 8 Wins -105 $210 to Win $200
Do not see how they win 9+ games in the very tight AFC WEST.. Injuries did bit them early last season . Love the LOW juice on this number |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#32 Posted: 6/2/2012 8:45:16 AM
(Plan on donating $50-100 on Schools that have a slight chance to make it there but I Love the LOADS of DEGEN action these Bets provide ....
Also Plan on betting Large $350+ on USC but I want better than the 5-1 currently Offered
Florida 60-1 $25 Anything can happen in the SEC East this season and Georgia seems vastly overrated , although they do have a easier schedule
Wisconsin 62-1 $25
Boise St 100-1 $12.25 Cake schedule and the Broncos are very good with first year starting QB's 33-2
Oklahoma St 120-1 $8.50 Winning the BIG 12 is not out of the ???
BYU 250-1 $8 If they Go 12-0 they might get to the Championship with a schedule that features 3 PAC 10 Foes, Notre Dame,Ga Tech and Boise St
Louisville 300-1 $7.25 Have them in my Top 30 coming in ...
USF 300-1 $4.50 Someone has to Win the BIG EAST
NC St 300-1 $4 Came on Late last season
UCLA 350-1 $2.90 LOL almost the same cost as a $1 EX key with 1 horse over 3 at some track that I know nothing about
|
|
quote |
|
thorpe |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Captain
Joined: Sep 2002
Posts: 7162
Location: |
#33 Posted: 6/2/2012 1:30:15 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life: To Win BIG 10
Purdue 52-1 $20
Ok so they are a real long shot and this might just be a donation ... It's sort of like calling $20 Pre Flop with 9-5 off , But with Ohio St. not competing for the Leaders crown anything is possible ..Boilermakers do Catch Division rivals Wisconsin and Penn St at home this season . Like the 15 Starters returning . If somehow they win 5 games in BIG 10 play Purdue could be playing for the Championship. DT Kawann Short is a beast and will lead a very up and coming Defense . Will Likely put another $20-50 on them to win the Leaders when released (hoping for 20-1 or better )
E Kent - sure win and smart scheduling to start the year with a softie
@Notre Dame - will be great for their confidence if they can win this game, and ND plays in Dublin the week before.
EMU - this is smart scheduling. Win or lose, this is a letdown spot the week after ND
bye - bye comes at the perfect time
Marshall - easy win
Michigan - first tough game at home
Wisconsin - this game could determine the Div Champ
@Ohio St - 3rd tough game in a row
@Minny - probably will be a tougher game than you'd think
Penn St - who knows how good Penn St will be?
@Iowa - very tough game or is Iowa having a down year?
@Illinoi - another tough road game
Indy - shootout or blowout?
|
|
quote |
|
thorpe |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Captain
Joined: Sep 2002
Posts: 7162
Location: |
#34 Posted: 6/2/2012 1:49:15 PM
Florida St +1200 - best D Line in the country - 25 units
USC +500 - best QB/WR combo in the country - 40 units
Bama +625 - most talent in the country - 20 units
Florida +6000 - I expect better coaching this year and if they win the SEC East this is a good hedge for Bama - 5 units
Texas +3400 - Gilbert may be the scapegoat if Texas rebounds - 1 unit
Wiscy +6200 - Pretty easy path to the BCS if Obrian is good - 2 units
Mich +3600 - 1 unit
Mich St +9000 1 unit
TCU +6600 offense is great, if defense rebounds they could contend - 2 units
WV +3400 - 1 unit
VA Tech +3000 1 unit
Kansas St and Missou +12500 half unit each
|
|
quote |
|
bense197969 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4725
Location: Michigan |
#35 Posted: 6/4/2012 8:21:00 PM
How ya been man? I agree with the majority of your plays, a lot of value there. Purdue at that price is worth a flyer, the Big Ten is pretty open this season. Good luck man, look forward to chatting with ya this Fall |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#36 Posted: 6/5/2012 9:11:05 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by thorpe:
I'm considering these teams. Around 100 units wagered
Florida St +1200 -Would want 20-1 ... best D Line in the country - 25 units
USC +500 - will be going for At least $350+ best QB/WR combo in the country - 40 units
Bama +625 - most talent in the country - 20 units
Florida +6000 - already on for $25 I expect better coaching this year and if they win the SEC East this is a good hedge for Bama - 5 units
Texas +3400 - Gilbert may be the scapegoat if Texas rebounds - 1 unit
Wiscy +6200 - already on for $25 Pretty easy path to the BCS if Obrian is good - 2 units
Mich +3600 - 1 unit
Mich St +9000 1 unit
TCU +6600 offense is great, if defense rebounds they could contend - 2 units
WV +3400 - 1 unit
VA Tech +3000 1 unit
Kansas St and Missou +12500 half unit each... would be better off betting them to win their conf.
Hoping the Local has USC at 7-1 or better ... would put $400-600 down
|
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#37 Posted: 6/6/2012 10:38:49 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by bense197969:
DoubleUp,
How ya been man? I agree with the majority of your plays, a lot of value there. Purdue at that price is worth a flyer, the Big Ten is pretty open this season. Good luck man, look forward to chatting with ya this Fall
Great to hear from you Brother
Yeah Purdue is a real Long shot ...Why not at 52-1, Never mind they have not Beat Wisky in 6 years and lose by a Avg of 31 PPG...Ouchhh... But yeah for $20
Hope you have a excellent Summer
Looking forward to talking Football this fall
|
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#38 Posted: 6/6/2012 10:59:27 AM
(Plan on donating $50-100 on Schools that have a slight chance to make it there but I Love the LOADS of DEGEN action these Bets provide ....
Also Plan on betting Large $350+ on USC but I want better than the 5-1 currently Offered
Florida 60-1 $25 Anything can happen in the SEC East this season and Georgia seems vastly overrated , although they do have a easier schedule
Wisconsin 62-1 $25 Guess Danny O'Brien will determine how far they go ? Running game will put up sick numbers again behind the Huge O-Line.. At Nebraska is the scariest game on the schedule
Boise St 100-1 $12.25 Cake schedule and the Broncos are very good with first year starting QB's 33-2
Oklahoma St 120-1 $8.50 Winning the BIG 12 is not out of the ???
BYU 250-1 $8 If they Go 12-0 they might get to the Championship with a schedule that features 3 PAC 10 Foes, Notre Dame,Ga Tech and Boise St
Louisville 300-1 $7.25 Have them in my Top 30 coming in ...
USF 300-1 $4.50 Someone has to Win the BIG EAST
NC St 300-1 $4 Came on Late last season
UCLA 350-1 $2.90 LOL almost the same cost as a $1 EX key with 1 horse over 3 at some track that I know nothing about
|
|
quote |
|
QBUN |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 1522
Location: California |
#39 Posted: 6/6/2012 7:50:54 PM |
|
quote |
|
Jaws1991 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 283
Location: Florida |
#40 Posted: 6/7/2012 5:54:24 PM What do you think about Tennessee at 6.5 wins - 180 over
They are returning 19 starters. From those startes 10 on Offense. Tyler Bray looks like a top 5 QB in the NCAA he just needs to stay health if Tennessee wants to get somewhere. There WR core is pretty soild with Justin Hunter and Da'Rick Rogers.This year they are moving to the 3-4.
NC STATE - Netural Site - I say this is about a 60% chance to win. I say if they lose this game this year mite get ugly. They really need to win this game.
GEORGIA STATE - Home - Do I really need to say something. 100% win
FLORIDA - Home - Tennessee really can't seem to win vs Florida @ home or even @ Floirda. I would give this about a 40% chance to win
AKRON - Home - I would say about 100% chance to win but look for Akron to cover the spread.
GEORGIA - @ - I would give this a 30% chance to win. Georgia is returning a good amount of players back and they are the favorite to win the East.
BYE
MISSISSIPPI STATE - @ - I would give this a 60% chance to win. The thing I hate about this game is that MSU is unbelievable at home sometimes. I would say this is another must win for Tennessee.
ALABAMA - Home - I would give this about a 30% chance to win. It would be lower but there at Home. Alabama is once again stacked and them and LSU will fight it out to see who wins the SEC.
SOUTH CAROLINA - @ - I'll give this a 40% chance to win. South Carolina returns 14 and offense and if RB Lattimore can get over his injury looks for the chance of this year to rise.
TROY - HOME - Like I said before with the Akron game Tennessee will win this one but Troy mite cover the ATS. 100 % chance to win.
MISSOURI - HOME - 70% chance to win. You never know how good a team is going to be when the chance conference. I gave this a little more to Tennessee since it is at home.
VANDERBILT - @ - This game can go either way. I will give this edge to Tennessee so about 60% chance. Just like Mississippi State Vanderbilt plays pretty well at home.
KENTUCKY - Home - 80% chance. At home and college football does matter if you at home.
Tell me what you think they thing that I hate is the juice is pretty bad at -180 thats the thing that I hate |
|
quote |
|
QBUN |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 1522
Location: California |
#41 Posted: 6/7/2012 7:28:16 PM |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#42 Posted: 6/7/2012 7:53:40 PM
NC STATE - Netural Site - 58% Might be plenty of points scored , excited to see this matchup
GEORGIA STATE - Home - 100%
Florida 47% Gators should be much improved this season ... might be a coin Flip at best AKRON - Home - at GEORGIA - 33% will neeed to catch some breaks for a shot at out right win ..Must Split to have any shot at winning the east with Fla,Ga BYE at MISSISSIPPI STATE - @ - 41% Nice spot coming in off a Bye , but I would give the Bulldogs almost a TD for Home Field. Might also get caught looking ahead to Hosting Bama Next week ALABAMA - 34% Nice spot ... Like Catching Tide after they play at Missouri , still gonna be a tough one...Give me more than 2 TD's and I play the Vols ats SOUTH CAROLINA - @ - 30% Don't like this spot at all .. TROY - HOME - 84% Might be Bowl game for Trojans . MISSOURI - HOME - 65% Looking forward to seeing what the Tigers bring to the SEC VANDERBILT - @ 61% Just seem to own the Doores... KENTUCKY - Home - 87 UK looks down again this season
7-5 sounds right to me ... Maybe they can pull a upset or 2 might they might Lose a couple that look like Winners ... The Most I would pay for over 6.5 is -125...
|
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#43 Posted: 6/7/2012 8:15:25 PM
BIG 10 5 Dimes Local Michigan +200 +225 Wisconsin +220 +250 Nebraska +450 +425 Michigan St +525 +650 Penn St 15-1 12-1 Iowa 19-1 18-1 Illinois 15-1 24-1 Northwestern 31-1 35-1 Purdue 45-1 42-1 Indiana 52-1 65-1 Minnesota 100-1 100-1
BIG12 Oklahoma +105 -110 Texas +400 +450 West Virginia +500 +600 TCU +525 +700 Oklahoma St 21-1 18-1 Kansas St +1050 12-1 Texas Tech 27-1 25-1 Baylor 33-1 45-1 Kansas 140-1 150-1
Big East Louisville +205 +250 USF +350 +400 Cincinnati +500 +650 PITT +575 +700 Syracuse 18-1 12-1 Plenty of Orange bettors UCONN 15-1 20-1 Temple 18-1 25-1
SEC LSU +200 +250 Alabama +210 +200 Georgia +500 +600 Arkansas +700 +850 SC +1050 +975 Florida 15-1 18-1 Auburn 23-1 27-1 Miss St 28-1 30-1 Tennessee 35-1 32-1 Missouri 36-1 40-1 A&M 44-1 45-1 Vanderbilt 55-1 75-1 UK 150-1 170-1 Ole Miss 175-1 200-1
|
|
quote |
|
spearing24 |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 1061
Location: |
#44 Posted: 6/8/2012 2:38:50 PM |
|
quote |
|
SatNightFever05 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 3392
Location: California |
#45 Posted: 6/8/2012 3:57:18 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life: Local Came out with some Conference odds ... Same thing as online you Must have the money down in advance...Good thing otherwise I would have too much in .
BIG 10 5 Dimes Local Michigan +200 +225 Wisconsin +220 +250 Nebraska +450 +425 Michigan St +525 +650
That's a very nice price on MSU
|
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#46 Posted: 6/9/2012 9:17:31 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by SatNightFever05:
That's a very nice price on MSU
Not bad right ... But truth be told I am waiting for his Division odds ... Like the Badgers at anything +110 or more .... |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#47 Posted: 6/9/2012 9:25:16 AM
Florida to Win SEC 18-1 $40 to Win $720
Again looks like a Long shot ... Give them a pretty good chance to win the East and likely will double back around and bet them to win the Division (hoping for 7-2 or better ) Maybe Bama, LSU or Arkansas lays a egg in the Championship Game ??? |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#48 Posted: 6/12/2012 6:13:16 PM
South Carolina Under 8.5 Wins +125 $300 to Win $375
Love the +++ Odds ... SC lost a lot from last seasons 11 Win squad ... 5 of top 10 Tacklers gone Ingram,Allen,Gilmore,Paulk,Robertson.. Losing DC Ellis Johnson should sting .... Will Latimore be 100% ?? Not a big fan of QB Conner Shaw... Schedule looks very tough (steele 13 overall)
Schedule Breakdown with Win %
at Vanderbilt 59% W7+/L1+ Nothing would shock me here
ECU 81% W14+ Might name their score but Pirates are capable of pulling upsets in these spots
UAB 92.5% W20+
Missouri 60% W7+/L1+ Tigers will pull share of upsets in SEC this season
at UK 72% W10+ Cocks do have Georgia on deck
Georgia 49% L3+/W1+ Maybe Dawgs are just the better team
at LSU 18% L 16+ Bad spot
at Florida 24 % L11+ 1-12 in swamp
Tennessee 50% L1+W1+ rough finale to Brutal 4 game stretch
Arkansas 48% L4+/W1+ Might not have enough offense to keep up
Wofford 100%
at Clemson 50% L2+/W1+ Seems like they own Tigers lately , BUT this is a coin flip at best
|
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#49 Posted: 6/12/2012 8:53:51 PM
Chicago Bears 35-1 $30 to Win $1050 Sure they will liekly have to do it as a WC but this carries some value for a team that started 7-2 LY
Atlanta Falcons 32-1 $30 to Win $960 would likely need HF advantage and many breaks
Buffalo Bills to Win AFC 33-1 $40 to Win $1320 Why not ??? huge off season adding a pass rush ... If they avoid injuries that hit last season maybe they make the playoffs for the first time in 14+ years |
|
quote |
|
DoubleUp4Life |
RSI |
Legend
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 30584
Location: New York |
#50 Posted: 6/14/2012 8:56:45 PM
Nebraska -13 -120 $120 to Win $100
Love this line ... Not a big fan of betting games at -120 but this line is off by a TD IMNHO .... Southern Miss losses a ton from last season HC gone , QB Gone . Top 2 targets Gone, 10 of top 16 Tacklers on defense Gone ...Hoping to add more to this Bet soon ...Might be my Largest wager week 1
Prediction 38-13
|
|
quote |