previous threads:
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101202797
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101189238
Last year I really hit stride picking ATS at 58.05% on the year. I had some really bad beats and some really great wins, and had a really fun time wagering on NCAA college football last year.
This year, i am looking to start some really good discussions and really stay on top of the bookies during the off-season. I have also found some teams that i plan on fading most of the season, thinking they will be over valued. Some that i have found are...
- Baylor (RG3 was so very valuable, and losing him, kendal wright and others is going to hurt greatly.)
- West Virginia (very overvalued IMO, at least in week 1. i think Marshall plays them really, really tough. )
- LSU (overvalued against the spread)
- Notre Dame (more analysis on them later this summer)
- Nebraska (2nd year in the B10 should really benefit the 'skers in 2012. getting some experience and familiarity against the B10 should allow bo and the Defensive crew to really flex their muscles. plus, they received addition by subtraction as Carl Pelini is not their anymore, as he went to become head coach at FAU.)
- Auburn (so very athletic, if they get adequate QB play this year they could be in the running for the SEC title)
- Michigan (I am so very interested to see how they play against Bama in wk 1. i will be in attendance, but if they get past Bama they COULD run the table in the B10. 10-2 is staring them right in the face IMO. Their offense can be unstoppable if they are clicking the right way. but what impresses me the most is how their defense improved greatly in just one season with their new d-coordinator. i think MU's defense will be stellar again this year.)
- Washington State (Mike Leach was such a wonderful hire for the cougs IMO. they should be able to win all 3 non conference games and also get Colorado, California, and UCLA at home. if they can win against Oregon State or Utah, and maybe get the Apple Cup game, Wazzu could end up a serious 8-4 this year. i would love if vegas released a season Win total on the cougs, because i would hammer the over. )
TO BE CONTINUED...