Two major motivating factors that leads me to believe Oregon does more than just get the W.
1) If there was ever a situation for a revenge spot after a win, this is it. Everyone remembers last years game...Oregon snuck out of there with a 2 pt win. Will probably be the main reason folks will back the Bears. After last years win at Berkeley, the talk (other than the fake injuries) was that CAL discovered the blue print to stop this offensive juggernaut. Oregon avg 47 ppg last year and CAL held them to a season low 15 pts. Kelly and Oregon seem to think otherwise. When asked how Cal slowed them and if they did anything special, Kelly basically said along the lines, "nope, they simply out-executed on one night." DT basically said they failed to execute offensively against one on one coverage. I believe on Thursday they try to prove that CAL has not solved anything about their offense and instead just had a good game.
2) After Oregon's last two prime-time outings against Auburn and LSU, I believe they feel people have forgotten about them. However, there is no shame in losing to either of these great teams. Despite how great the teams they lost to are....I look for Oregon to make a statement on the national stage.
A couple of other things...I would throw out stats when capping this game or at least overall stats. CAL has looked good statistically and may look like their defense will hold Oregon, especially after last year. But if you look at their play on the road (against Pac-12 foes) they haven't played well, allowing just over 495 of overall offense and 582 total yards specifically to Colorado! The Buffs currently rank 78th in that category. Another thing to not disregard is that only 5 defensive starters from last years game return. More notable, is the Mike Mohommaed and Cameron Jordan, who was consistently disrupting the Duck offense is gone.
Two major motivating factors that leads me to believe Oregon does more than just get the W.
1) If there was ever a situation for a revenge spot after a win, this is it. Everyone remembers last years game...Oregon snuck out of there with a 2 pt win. Will probably be the main reason folks will back the Bears. After last years win at Berkeley, the talk (other than the fake injuries) was that CAL discovered the blue print to stop this offensive juggernaut. Oregon avg 47 ppg last year and CAL held them to a season low 15 pts. Kelly and Oregon seem to think otherwise. When asked how Cal slowed them and if they did anything special, Kelly basically said along the lines, "nope, they simply out-executed on one night." DT basically said they failed to execute offensively against one on one coverage. I believe on Thursday they try to prove that CAL has not solved anything about their offense and instead just had a good game.
2) After Oregon's last two prime-time outings against Auburn and LSU, I believe they feel people have forgotten about them. However, there is no shame in losing to either of these great teams. Despite how great the teams they lost to are....I look for Oregon to make a statement on the national stage.
A couple of other things...I would throw out stats when capping this game or at least overall stats. CAL has looked good statistically and may look like their defense will hold Oregon, especially after last year. But if you look at their play on the road (against Pac-12 foes) they haven't played well, allowing just over 495 of overall offense and 582 total yards specifically to Colorado! The Buffs currently rank 78th in that category. Another thing to not disregard is that only 5 defensive starters from last years game return. More notable, is the Mike Mohommaed and Cameron Jordan, who was consistently disrupting the Duck offense is gone.
that is just so many points and I think the Cal offense will be able to score, hate to be against you of all people concerning a Cal game but I'm leaning Bears here
that is just so many points and I think the Cal offense will be able to score, hate to be against you of all people concerning a Cal game but I'm leaning Bears here
Hard for me to side with you on this game. That's alot of chalk and regardless of what both teams did up to this game, you, everybody, myself know CAL can beat Oregon and they almost did last season. Have anything changed since than? Not to the full extent...so why give up this much chalk? GL.....
Hard for me to side with you on this game. That's alot of chalk and regardless of what both teams did up to this game, you, everybody, myself know CAL can beat Oregon and they almost did last season. Have anything changed since than? Not to the full extent...so why give up this much chalk? GL.....
Hard for me to side with you on this game. That's alot of chalk and regardless of what both teams did up to this game, you, everybody, myself know CAL can beat Oregon and they almost did last season. Have anything changed since than? Not to the full extent...so why give up this much chalk? GL.....
Cal could beat Oregon at Stawberry Canyon, but not at Autzen on Thursday night. As far as covering, I'd lean Cal here.
Hard for me to side with you on this game. That's alot of chalk and regardless of what both teams did up to this game, you, everybody, myself know CAL can beat Oregon and they almost did last season. Have anything changed since than? Not to the full extent...so why give up this much chalk? GL.....
Cal could beat Oregon at Stawberry Canyon, but not at Autzen on Thursday night. As far as covering, I'd lean Cal here.
why is everyone using the revenge factor on this game, what revenge is there really to be had, oregon still won last year in cal, they still made it to a national championship game and they still lost that game to auburn. Cal may have kept it close but at the end of the day oregon still won and the only thing you can say they have to go on for revenge is merely the fact that cal held them down. If anything doesn't the revenge play favor cal as they almost beat oregon but got knocked down at home, thing about the massive win that would have been for cal and the program last year. I think the revenge spot is pretty even in this one, and i think cal knowing they held down the team last year will be amped up for this game. Of course they do suck in conference on the road so we'll see, but i just think the revenge angle in a game the ducks one is pretty stupid.
why is everyone using the revenge factor on this game, what revenge is there really to be had, oregon still won last year in cal, they still made it to a national championship game and they still lost that game to auburn. Cal may have kept it close but at the end of the day oregon still won and the only thing you can say they have to go on for revenge is merely the fact that cal held them down. If anything doesn't the revenge play favor cal as they almost beat oregon but got knocked down at home, thing about the massive win that would have been for cal and the program last year. I think the revenge spot is pretty even in this one, and i think cal knowing they held down the team last year will be amped up for this game. Of course they do suck in conference on the road so we'll see, but i just think the revenge angle in a game the ducks one is pretty stupid.
I don't like the first half bet actually think this game may be close early Ducks go off 2nd half and put it away. The line that is fishy is the total. Both these teams appear to be able to score in bunches opened at what only 62? Screams over. Get that feeling that it will be a lopsided blowout and Cal may not score as much as folks think. Then again wtf do I know.
I don't like the first half bet actually think this game may be close early Ducks go off 2nd half and put it away. The line that is fishy is the total. Both these teams appear to be able to score in bunches opened at what only 62? Screams over. Get that feeling that it will be a lopsided blowout and Cal may not score as much as folks think. Then again wtf do I know.
Great analysis OP. I agree and would like to add another point (unless you pointed it out already and I missed it)
The difference between this game and last year's game is how much the game meant to Oregon. All the pressure was on the Ducks to just get the W. Any mishaps could have cost them their ticket to the title game. So they had little room for mistakes.
Well this year's game, not much pressure and they are not expected to be going to the title game (not ruling them out) so they can go all out in this game while being at home.
With that said, i still think 24 is alot so I played..
o65; cal tt 20.5.. and even teased Oregon down to 17..
Great analysis OP. I agree and would like to add another point (unless you pointed it out already and I missed it)
The difference between this game and last year's game is how much the game meant to Oregon. All the pressure was on the Ducks to just get the W. Any mishaps could have cost them their ticket to the title game. So they had little room for mistakes.
Well this year's game, not much pressure and they are not expected to be going to the title game (not ruling them out) so they can go all out in this game while being at home.
With that said, i still think 24 is alot so I played..
o65; cal tt 20.5.. and even teased Oregon down to 17..
The word "revenge" is overused IMO. it doesnt mean that they can somehow raise their levels of play and become better than they actually are. 24 points is too much in a conference game that has been close every game except 1 in the last 6 years.
The word "revenge" is overused IMO. it doesnt mean that they can somehow raise their levels of play and become better than they actually are. 24 points is too much in a conference game that has been close every game except 1 in the last 6 years.
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