Messages

I locked in the following this evening...

Texas -10 over @ Iowa State

I believe my Longhorns are still hungy and this is a revenge game.  Iowa State beat us in Austin last year.  The clones have played well, but I think talent differential will be the difference. 

Georgia Tech -12 over @ NC State

GT has a certain mastery at running the back and NC State can't stop the run.  Glennon will be a great QB eventually at NC State, but now it is a bit of a struggle.   In addition, NC State has some key injuries at LB.  I am not sure if those players will be back for this game.  I understand M. Greene for NC State will still be out for this game.

Cincinatti -13 over @ Miami (Ohio)

Cinci dominated NC State on a Thursday night.  A lot of their partisans are still not completely sold on Kelly's replacement at coach and his system.  Pead is the real deal, Collares is an outstanding athlete, Tenn humbled Cinci earlier this month at Knoxville and made them humble and hungry.  Cinci has had challenges on the road recently, and Miami does have an experienced team with a good coach (though they are 0-3).   I think the Ohio regional rivalry along with Pead and Collares will result in a Cinci cover -13.

NOS - good luck this week.   I will appreciate your thoughts.

YTD 33-23 (6-2) (+10.5u)

9-7 (0-2) (-1.6) last week

Nostradamus  i had you going 8-10 last week !  Did we change a couple plays  ?

ice - hard to make a case for UCLA after losing 35-0 LY at home with similar teams (although was 24-16 in Palo Alto year before), like the Bruins getting back to running game and quite a few points

pipe - i think i've only reposted picks twice in 5 years so this will be the last time...as indicated in the first few weeks as with previous years the small plays count only to extent cumulative if net won or lost equals regular play...if you want to use 13-10 and count all of them then go for it, it actually sounds better than 9-7 to me and I could use the improvement last week...however I'll keep my own using the same consistent method as past few seasons

final week 4

Texas Tech -19.5 (2u) L
Auburn -31 (2u) L
Penn St -28 (1.5u) T
Baylor -17 (hook) (1.5u) W
MiaFL -13 L
Notre Dame -5.5 L
So Florida -27.5 W
Tulane +11 L
W Michigan +12 (0.75u) W
Bowling Green +6 (0.75u) W
UL-Lafayette +17 (hook) (0.75u) W
Fresno St -3 (0.75) W
Vandy-SC under 51.5 (0.75) W
Ark-Alabama under 51 (0.75)  L
USC-Ariz St under 54 (0.75) L
UGA-Ole Miss under 54 (0.75u) W

others - Cincinnati -7.5 (0.5) W, Clemson u25.5 (team) (0.5) L, Buffalo u18.5 (team) (0.5) W,  BYU +5/u51 teaser (0.35) W, West Va u21.5 (team) (0.35) W, Okla St +11.5/USC +10 teaser (0.35) L, Minnesota -6 (0.25) L, Marshall +21 (hook) (0.25) W...(net +0.75)

Texas 38 Iowa St 13.....like the change at QB for the Horns and believe they will be looking for a piece after LY ridiculous loss in Austin

Colorado 38 Wash St 20....seems like a short number for WSU team that has one SU road win over past years (Oreg St), CU not that bad at home going 7-5 over past 2+ seasons

West Va 45 Bowling Gr 17....BG has been a good road dog 15-5 ATS over past few seasons and had them twice (Idaho, MiaOH) this year myself...however believe they are overmatched here unless WV is still hung over from last week

Baylor 38 Kansas St 23...refuse to believe Calvin Klein can match scores with RGIII

working on rest of scores later

BYU 34 Utah St 17.....revenge spot for last year's humiliation in Logan....QB much improved over same time last year

TCU 38 SMU 17....had a fair number as 18 in this spot, SMU banged up at WR

Virginia 38 Idaho 13....long flight back for the vandals, Cavs improved this year on offense

Tulsa 45 No Texas 13....Tulsa usually owns this level, possible letdown after upset over Indiana

So Carolina 30 Auburn 27....Garcia still making mistakes, Tigers can move the ball

Rutgers 23 Syracuse 21....orange just scrapping by against weaker teams than this (WF and Toledo)

Stanford 30 UCLA 13...Bruins getting back to running game might be able to hang around awhile, mostly a road series

short write ups this week since I had to waste time getting last weeks picks, time to check out some totals, GL all

Hey Nos... I did not want you to post it. He was the one saying it was wrong, thus I used HIS quote and told HIM to go back and get it, and make it right.... I said : I have been reading it for years. I guess I should have added that I had never seen anything wrong with it, thus I was telling him to fix it..

Sorry if it came off as i was asking you, hope you look at it again, I used HIS quote !