Posted: 10/16/2010 11:56:52 AM
This has faired very well for me
I havnt posted much
thought I would share
I have capped all these games
All plays are selected from teams I expect to be with the minority of bets placed.
I look at RLM and line movement that crosses key numbers.
I also look at steam that does not cross key numbers. I dont mind taking a dog that line moves against me if it sint crossing over key numbers.
I put an emphasis on defensive stats.
Very rarely will I play a favorite.
I have 6 plays this week.
ALL PLAYS ARE ATS
Illinios +7 a favorable defensive situation and MSU is vulnerable in sacks here.
UNLV +3.5 Motivation. Better pass defense. Oh did I mention 24 sacks allowed by CSU.
Miss St. +8 Pretty evenly matched defensively and until Fla. impresses on offense I say to many points here.
Wash -1 -120 bought the hook. Sacks and a lack of impressive running attack are plauging the beavers. Wash is terrible stopping the run but they can counter that by running the ball wich they have and control the clock.
Kent St. +3.5 While the defensive rushing yards allowed are scewed by who they played BC, Penn St etc.... They reall get after the QB and have 17 sacks this year not good for Tledo giving up 14.
North Tex +5 I love getting this many points with a home dog that can run the ball. They are avereaging 178 yrds on the ground and that should continue against the defense allowing 171 average. While sacks are a weak spot for N. Texas a large dose of running should elimate the need to air it out.