this is unscientific and somewhat discretionary. i compare sagarin lines vs what the oddsmakers have given us to work with. i look for 5 points + differentials and wager with the oddsmakers
other factors i look at: i want home teams and may not take a game if its a road team even if the differential is greater than 5; also consensus; i would like J6P to think he is playing a slam dunk (Florida barely fits the differential bill this week but the consensus is on the Gators. i dont want to be with the consensus for this method). i also want BCS teams where lines may be a little bit tighter. i wont play a MAC game if it fits everything else because the MAC may be controlled by Arnold Rothstein's grandkids
for today: (sagarin rating differential on neutral field first, then morning line)
Georgia +2 Tennesse; line is UGA -11
play UGA -11
Bama -16 South Carolina; line is Bama -7
play Cocks +7...and a little on the ML as well (call it a gut feel +245)
this is unscientific and somewhat discretionary. i compare sagarin lines vs what the oddsmakers have given us to work with. i look for 5 points + differentials and wager with the oddsmakers
other factors i look at: i want home teams and may not take a game if its a road team even if the differential is greater than 5; also consensus; i would like J6P to think he is playing a slam dunk (Florida barely fits the differential bill this week but the consensus is on the Gators. i dont want to be with the consensus for this method). i also want BCS teams where lines may be a little bit tighter. i wont play a MAC game if it fits everything else because the MAC may be controlled by Arnold Rothstein's grandkids
for today: (sagarin rating differential on neutral field first, then morning line)
Georgia +2 Tennesse; line is UGA -11
play UGA -11
Bama -16 South Carolina; line is Bama -7
play Cocks +7...and a little on the ML as well (call it a gut feel +245)
Wow, KOAJ. If Gamecocks pull of the upset, it will be three different # 1 teams, in three different sports, that So Car has beaten this year. GO Gamecocks. BOL
Wow, KOAJ. If Gamecocks pull of the upset, it will be three different # 1 teams, in three different sports, that So Car has beaten this year. GO Gamecocks. BOL
this is unscientific and somewhat discretionary. i compare sagarin lines vs what the oddsmakers have given us to work with. i look for 5 points + differentials and wager with the oddsmakers
other factors i look at: i want home teams and may not take a game if its a road team even if the differential is greater than 5; also consensus; i would like J6P to think he is playing a slam dunk (Florida barely fits the differential bill this week but the consensus is on the Gators. i dont want to be with the consensus for this method). i also want BCS teams where lines may be a little bit tighter. i wont play a MAC game if it fits everything else because the MAC may be controlled by Arnold Rothstein's grandkids
for today: (sagarin rating differential on neutral field first, then morning line)
Georgia +2 Tennesse; line is UGA -11
play UGA -11
Bama -16 South Carolina; line is Bama -7
play Cocks +7...and a little on the ML as well (call it a gut feel +245)
this is unscientific and somewhat discretionary. i compare sagarin lines vs what the oddsmakers have given us to work with. i look for 5 points + differentials and wager with the oddsmakers
other factors i look at: i want home teams and may not take a game if its a road team even if the differential is greater than 5; also consensus; i would like J6P to think he is playing a slam dunk (Florida barely fits the differential bill this week but the consensus is on the Gators. i dont want to be with the consensus for this method). i also want BCS teams where lines may be a little bit tighter. i wont play a MAC game if it fits everything else because the MAC may be controlled by Arnold Rothstein's grandkids
for today: (sagarin rating differential on neutral field first, then morning line)
Georgia +2 Tennesse; line is UGA -11
play UGA -11
Bama -16 South Carolina; line is Bama -7
play Cocks +7...and a little on the ML as well (call it a gut feel +245)
not touching florida. thought about it all afternoon. seems that consensus/J6P likes the gators to bounce back tonight at home vs lsu and may be undervaluing LSU after their crap win last week vs Tennessee
not touching florida. thought about it all afternoon. seems that consensus/J6P likes the gators to bounce back tonight at home vs lsu and may be undervaluing LSU after their crap win last week vs Tennessee
not touching florida. thought about it all afternoon. seems that consensus/J6P likes the gators to bounce back tonight at home vs lsu and may be undervaluing LSU after their crap win last week vs Tennessee
not touching florida. thought about it all afternoon. seems that consensus/J6P likes the gators to bounce back tonight at home vs lsu and may be undervaluing LSU after their crap win last week vs Tennessee
im looking at today's results and your formula is pretty solid. worked for west virginia, tcu and a few others i looked at so far. depending on how many more met the criteria and covered, i'll be putting this into practice for next week's games. thanks for the insight.
im looking at today's results and your formula is pretty solid. worked for west virginia, tcu and a few others i looked at so far. depending on how many more met the criteria and covered, i'll be putting this into practice for next week's games. thanks for the insight.
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