Baja's Week 12

Question

Record YTD84-51 Overall  (62.2%) Upgrade Alerts 5-2 (large plays)Had a nice bounce back week going 6-3 and hitting the Large Stanford play while fading my Trojans. Starting to look at the games now. I am really pumped for this weekend so let&#x27;s finish strong the last 3 weeks strong!

1bajalife · Answer

Record YTD84-51 Overall  (62.2%) Upgrade Alerts 5-2 (large plays)Had a nice bounce back week going 6-3 and hitting the Large Stanford play while fading my Trojans. Starting to look at the games now. I am really pumped for this weekend so let&#x27;s finish strong the last 3 weeks strong!

1bajalife · Answer

Michigan &#x2B;12.5Let down spot for the Buckeyes who already clinched a Rose Bowl birth? Non of the OSU players will admit it cause its the biggest rivalry in the Big 10.  I think Michigan at home as a double digit dog is a great play. The gap between these two programs is closing fast and Rodrigez will have the boys ready.

jp1lsu · Answer

I agree the line looks high, but Mich is awful. That defense gets gives up too much. I dont feel great about laying dd points on the road in a rivalry game, but at the same time I would lean OSU.

BOL

1bajalife · Answer

Boston College MLShort line here. This is one is simple. I am banking on the Eagles winning the game as they are undefeated at home 6-0 and almost never lose there. Could end up a field goal for win so I think the ML is a safer bet.

1bajalife · Answer

Northwestern &#x2B;7 (buy 1 pt)I love a full TD here. Northwestern is a gritty team and Kafka is a underrated QB imo. He is completing almost 66% of his passes and is running threat as well. Wisconsin is not a great road team going 4-11 ATS last 15. This should be a close game.

1bajalife · Answer

Indiana &#x2B;3.5This is the battle for in state bragging rights. Both teams have had tough seasons and neither will go bowling.  That being said I think Indiana will be very motivated to win this game for their seniors. They have played almost every opponent hard and are a 7-3 ATS and the home team in this series is 9-2 last 11. Expect a high scoring game because both of these teams can score. Getting over a field goal is attractive with the Hoosiers.

1bajalife · Answer

Buffalo -2.5Miami OH has to be one of the worst Div. 1 teams. Buffalo despite the meltdown last week should be able to get it done. They are a good road team going 11-3 ATS last 14. I may even add to the money line.

kittsd · Answer

Like NW and BC at home this week. Keep up the good work.

1bajalife · Answer

Thanks Kittsd Have a good one buddy

1bajalife · Answer

adding:Buffalo ML for tonights game

1bajalife · Answer

Also:Under 52.5 Buffalo

1bajalife · Answer

Nice 2-1 on Buffalo tonight, I thought the under was coming in until garbage time hit. Oh well.Adding: San Jose St. &#x2B;3 I may make this a money line play as well.

1bajalife · Answer

Updated CardBuffalo -2.5 Buffalo ml Buffalo under 52.5 Michigan &#x2B;12.5Boston College MLNorthwestern &#x2B;7Indiana &#x2B;3.5San Jose St. &#x2B;3More to come!

jp1lsu · Answer

Good call on the Buff spread, dont get the Buff ML play though.  Same with the BC ML.  I would either take BC spread or the dog ML.  I hate the odds with ML fav&#x27;s.

1bajalife · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by jp1lsu]  Good call on the Buff spread, dont get the Buff ML play though.  Same with the BC ML.  I would either take BC spread or the dog ML.  I hate the odds with ML fav&#x27;s.&#xD;&#xA;   [/Quote]I dont usually play money lines, however on small favs that I am very confident will win the game straight up I dont mind playing -190 or even -200. The BC game I feel strongly that they will win but it may be close and I dont want to lose by 1 or 2 pts.

occy777 · Answer

Baja--Why San Jose? I know Hawaii sucks otr but San Jose is awful, at least Hawaii can score.

phancard · Answer

I second this comment. San Jose Blows. Agree with most of your picks but not San Jose, they have given up for the season.

jp1lsu · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;Honestly, I would never consider doing that. Giving -190 or -200 is just such bad odds.  I would much rather take the dog at &#x2B;135 or &#x2B;160.  Odds are more important to me than points, and over the long run you can be wrong more often and win when you have the odds on your side.&#xD;&#xA;BOL

1bajalife · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by jp1lsu]  &#xD;&#xA;Honestly, I would never consider doing that. Giving -190 or -200 is just such bad odds.  I would much rather take the dog at &#x2B;135 or &#x2B;160.  Odds are more important to me than points, and over the long run you can be wrong more often and win when you have the odds on your side.&#xD;&#xA;BOL  [/Quote]You ever bet baseball? I will occassionally play favs at -190 or so as well depending on match-up. Same thing here. Just situational for me I guess. You sure as hell wont make a living at it but at times it works for me. The most important thing is it won!

jp1lsu · Answer

No, I have never bet baseball.  I give NCAA hoops some looks from an entertainment standpoint, but for the most part I only do College Football.  &#xD;&#xA;As log as it wins.&#xD;&#xA;BOL

SiuLungBao · Answer

i agree mansan jose put 7 pts up against boisehawaii put 14or17 pts up against boise..granted...hawaii played at home and san jose at boise...but still..

cannesKID · Answer

how about tonight

1bajalife · Answer

Adding:Oregon St -30.5If UCLA can beat them by 36 surely OSU can too. This may be a 1st half play as well.

THEMUGG · Answer

I&#x27;m also plunkin down some on tOSU...........wazzu is .....not good. Not sure I could back SJS anywhere this year though.......&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA; GL baja

MoSKRILLa · Answer

&#xD;&#xA;This is my first post and normally I would agree with your statement that they&#x27;ve given up but they will be playing for their head coach Dick Tomey who earlier this week announced his retirement at season&#x27;s end.  I am a SJSU Alum and he is loved and adored by players, alumni and sjsu community.  Sure there team had an awful year but I don&#x27;t think they&#x27;ve given up and they will be playing for pride and Coach Tomey to end his career with a win or two...

Baja's Week 12

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