Another BIG play tonight...MrHeadache's Play of the Day

 

 

I guess it wasn't a pretty Game of the Year win last night with Virginia Tech, but it was a win, which is all that matters in life.  Hey, like I mentioned in my post yesterday, Coach Beamer just gets it done, sometimes it's not pretty, and actually most of the time it isn't, but he just finds a way to scrap and get it done.  Well that happened last night and I hope it made some of you winners like it did me!

 

Tonight we have something very sprecial as the Broncos travel to Joe Aillet Stadium to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.  Special because there is nothing greater than playing under the lights on a Friday night...most of these players leave their respective high school's to go play Division I ball with the prospect of never again playing under the lights...there is just simply something special about it.  Playing on saturday in backed stadium's is awesome, but the night game is so much better.  Well here we are, backed stadium, friday night lights, and a Boise State Bronco team fighting to make a BCS bowl this year as they have an undefeated record. 

 

In fact the Broncos have risen to the challenge the past two weeks as they have blown out a pair of teams, 54-9 at Hawaii and 45-7 last week against San Jose State.  The part that stings for the Broncos is the fact that the BCS is not swayed by style points, or the lack thereof (which is why Iowa still has a fighting chance at the National Championship if one of the top 3 can find a way to mess up).  The BCS also does not take into account margin of victory, which explains why some of the other teams like Cincinnati, TCU, etc are now ahead of Boise because their schedule's are tougher.  Sure, style points, and margin of victory look good to the humans that vote in the USA today and Harris polls, but it means nothing where it really matters, the BCS system.  All of that has not stopped this Boise State team lately though, as they have been putting it to teams the past two weeks.  But hey, after all, it is college football, and anything can happen, and that is why yhe Boise State Broncos can ill-afford to have a slip up in the final five weeks of the season starting tonight against Louisiana Tech, where wins have not come easy.

 

Hey there is no denying that Boise has their eyes on the polls and are apparently willing to run up the score to keep pace with fellow BCS busters TCU, and Cincinnati.  Boise is a threat to extend any margin these days. But if oddsmakers add any extra premium (as they did in a recent Bronco game at Tulsa) the LT Bulldogs getting 3 TD's at Ruston is good enough for me.  Hey listen...the Broncos have every ATS avantage you could possible imagine, look it up for yourself, they have incredible numbers ATS in the past years and even this year.  The Broncos are not only a fan favorite, but they have become a bookies nightmare, and perhaps a thorn in the side of Vegas as they continue to cover pointspreads.  Boise State is 80-44 ATS over the past 10+ seasons.  Well tonight is just one of those perfect spost to jump away from the money-making Broncos (who have made me some money the last 3+ years) and play against them.  This game lines up perfectly for me in that respect.   It is almost impossible to find trends that favor you when betting against Boise State, but tonight we have a solid one...Boise is 1-4 ATS when traveling to Ruston.  Have the linesmakers added enough premium to this spread to entice even money...not even close in my opinion...in fact the line has already been beat up to 21 from the opening 19.  To me this is one of the greater spots to jump into the ring with a big play as both of LT's superstar's were hurt and taken out of their last game vs Idaho.  Both running back Daniel Porter and Wide Receiver/return sprecialist Phillip Livas are listed as questionable for tonight's game.  I expect them to play tonight, and perhaps not 100%, which I will actually say is okay, because it helps the perception of this play tonight.  Head Coach Derek Dooley's squad is looking for their 11th home win in 12 chances since losing at home to this Bronco team two years ago.  This Bulldog team is something else at Ruston....and while I dont believe there is a good enough chance they can make it their 11th win tonight, I do like the Bulldogs to keep the score within the number.  This Bulldog team is very emotional right now, as they have lost their last two games in heartbreaking fashion as they lost two weeks ago to Utah State as their two-point conversion was no good, and they lost last week to Idaho by 1 point as they gave up the eventual game-winning TD with 52 seconds left and then attemped a 56 yard FG that misses.  Emotional losses for the Bulldogs, and I just don't think that bodes well for the Broncos to be coming into Ruston, a place they have struggled, with back-to-back blowout wins, to play an emotional Bulldog team that has dropped two games in the past two weeks.  Expect the fan favorite Broncos to have a lot of support tonight as everyone thinks they are willing to blow out every team the rest of the way to increase their chances to climb up the BCS rankings....and throw on the top that the Bulldog's top two players are probably not going to be 100%, and they have lost two-straight games....I just see a burial on Boise State tonight.  Again, the BCS doesn't care how you get it done, you just have to find a way to get it done, and I really believe tonight that is what the Bronco's are going to have to face...it is going to be tough in Ruston tonight!  I do not expect a blowout by any means.  I expect the Bulldogs to feed off their home crowd as they are 3-0 this year at home with incredible numbers.  You have to remember that this team has played a tough schedule this year, as they have already been on the road 5 times.  La Tech gets some well-timed home medicine tonight in Ruston!  Taking the Bulldogs +21.5