Messages

Forum Index : Covers College Football : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [College Football] Topic: Week 10
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#1
Posted: 11/1/2009 7:14:34 PM
3-1 last week

51-29-3 total (includes 6-0 on team totals, 5-2 game totals, and one sad $15 ML parlay to win $900...which I lost, of course, because parlays are money burners. )

I did not realize totals were hitting so well. I'll have to make an effort to get a couple in each week...


South Carolina +6
@ Arkansas

I don't expect S Carolina to lose the turnover battle this week after gagging the game away in the first quarter last week. True, S Car has been sloppy for awhile and it caught up to them vs a solid team. When I bet Arky games, I look at their opponents pass defense.When Mallett is pressured, he throws INT's and poor passes. He also lets bad plays effect the next play. Scar's secondary is young as hell but also talented as hell. They have a solid pass defense. (I wish they got a little more pressure on the QB and tackles for loss...no play is perfect.)

Arkansas's secondary is still trash...whuppin' EMU doesn't make that go away. I like Spurrier's chance to come up with a plan that works and gets points on the board. I also like S Car to clean up their mistakes...even if it's just for a week.


Kansas -2'
@ Kansas State

At only -2', I'm basically picking the winner of the game. Kansas wins. Their run defense should handle KSU. Meanwhile, K State's pass defense won't stop Reesing & Co.


North Carolina State -7
@ Maryland

This smells like a game everyone will be on so I got in early. I think Russell Wilson abuses the MD secondary. Coach Fridge is already thinking about next year. He won't necessarily bench QB Turner, but he's wants a look at the backup.

Hopefully, backup Jamar Robinson gets a lot of snaps...because Chris Turner finally found a secondary he can get some yardage against.


quote
pags11 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
pags11
Participation Meter
Legend
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 46488
Location:
#2
Posted: 11/1/2009 7:17:13 PM
keep it coming syracuselj...
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#3
Posted: 11/1/2009 7:39:09 PM
Oops...

It's Maryland at NC ST...not the other way around...sorry...

Kent State -3

@ Akron

Kent St lost a tough game to Akron last year and this looks like a legitimate revenge situation. KST has been playing very well the past 3 weeks and Akron has been waiting for a QB to answer their ad. I don't think anyone answered the ad yet.


FIU
@ MTSU -13

I usually leave the MAC and SBC alone but these look like good bets. FIU CB Gaithers is one of the top CB's in the SBC, and he may be out this week with an injury. Per collegeinjuryreport, He reinjured an already bum shoulder. Even if he plays, he's not 100%. The MTSU offense probably already had a big advantage this week...it just got bigger.

BYU -13
@ Wyoming

Yeah, I know...I say I'm careful about road faves and then what do I do....it's Road Faves week at Syr LJ's thread.

BYU dominates the series history. BYU has a hole or two in pass defense but Wyoming's offense isn't experienced enough to take advantage of the holes. Wyoming has the same solid defense...unfortunately for Wyoming, it's the same defense BYU dominates every year.
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#4
Posted: 11/1/2009 7:40:53 PM
Hey,pags!
You know it...more on the way this week.
Might be it for tonight, though...
quote
nostradamus12 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
nostradamus12
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 4225
Location: Virginia
#5
Posted: 11/1/2009 7:56:18 PM

MTSU and BYU

nice job LJ, hitting good on those team totals I see, BOL buddy

quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#6
Posted: 11/2/2009 6:15:04 PM
Nostra;

Thanks.

I think I finally understand totals...which has to be said as humbly as possible for fear The Gambling Gods will strike my bankroll dead.

Good luck this week!



quote
WahooS
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook
WahooS
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Jul 2004
Posts: 12508
Location: Virgin Islands
              USA
#7
Posted: 11/2/2009 6:16:54 PM
one of the best kept secrets around, what a great season bro, great job, keep up the winning
quote
kittsd send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook
kittsd
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 4364
Location: North Carolina
#8
Posted: 11/2/2009 6:22:32 PM
Great record keep it up - not on any of your plays this week but good luck.
quote
Scorsese send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes.com
Scorsese
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 207
Location: New York
#9
Posted: 11/3/2009 12:58:08 PM
Wow, unbelievable job so far LJ. BOL the rest of the seaon, keep it going
quote
topperchris
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.com
topperchris
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 250
Location: Kentucky
#10
Posted: 11/3/2009 1:07:21 PM
  Good Luck..Have you looked at UConn getting +17 at Cincy..I know backup Qb in there for Conn but i think they will run on the bearcats...UC 34 Conn 21
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#11
Posted: 11/3/2009 4:47:21 PM
wahoo:
I thought jumping on Sunday evening lines was the key to fame and fortune! I guess it only makes me part of the few who jump on early lines. Eh...I'll settle for fortune if it continues to work in my favor.

kittsd; Thanks, good luck to you to and your plays.

Scorsese; Thanks!

topperchris; Haven't looked at that game because I don't think I can trust UConn...they've got to be emotionally beat after the past 3 weeks. They need that bye week that's coming up after Cincy. I will consider them after the bye...they get to get their legs back, their heads back on football (as much as possible), and the visit to ND will really help their focus.

_________________________________________________________

Anyone looking to bet on Pittsburgh this week probably has a good bet. Every single player at Syracuse has been suspended, kicked off the team or had season ending surgery this week.

From the local website:

Torrey Ball, Antwon Bailey, Andrew Tiller and Mike Williams were in a Ford SUV that Tiller was driving. A tractor trailer rear-ended the Ford at 5:30 a.m. in the town Lenox at mile marker 259.1, state police said.

SU football coach Doug Marrone today announced Bailey, Tiller and Ball were suspended. Williams quit the team on Monday.

Bailey and Ball are dressed for today's practice.

The crash was entirely the fault of the tractor-trailer driver, said state police Capt. James Land. Nathan Primrose, of Clyde, was driving a tractor trailer westbound on the Thruway when he came up behind the vehicle Ball was driving.

________________________________________________________

Coach Marrone never gives public explanations for dismissals or suspensions. the early suspicion was they were at Turning Stone Casino but that's not the case because the casino is East of Syracuse and Lenox, NY is West.

Not a hint of alcohol...maybe a curfew violation of some sort...getting run over by a tractor trailer will make you miss curfew.
quote
smallbet07 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook
smallbet07
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 2713
Location: California
#12
Posted: 11/3/2009 4:53:45 PM
  good luck bro
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#13
Posted: 11/3/2009 4:55:41 PM

"the early suspicion was they were at Turning Stone Casino but that's not the case because the casino is East of Syracuse and Lenox, NY is West."

Oops. I was wrong...(This part is for you local people...I only glanced at a map and thought Oneida Lake was Lake Ontario...dumb mistake...should've expanded the view a bit and it would've been obvious.)

Lenox is in just the right spot to be near Turning Stone. So a visit to the casino could really be a reason for the suspensions.
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#14
Posted: 11/3/2009 4:56:26 PM

smallbet07:
quote
Skipster send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook
Skipster
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 1237
Location: Yemen
#15
Posted: 11/3/2009 5:48:02 PM
Always glad to read your stuff.  You seem to find games that fly under radar.  How come you ain't on Pitt?
quote
kaplan
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook
kaplan
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 852
Location:
#16
Posted: 11/3/2009 5:52:42 PM
Nice work Cuse.
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#17
Posted: 11/3/2009 6:23:30 PM
Oklahoma @ Nebraska
UNDER 42

If I lose this it'll be a learning experience: Don't bet the under in a Big 12 game unless it's TX vs OK.

USC @ Arizona State
UNDER 46'

USC takes out frustration on ASU. However, I think they'll win a 26-3 type game and dominate defensively. They still have a frosh QB on the road and the coaching staff has to keep him from making mistakes. USC may find a little success vs ASU's rush D, but ASU will win some of the battles in the trenches.

New Mexico +28 -120
@Utah
 
The Utes are a tough, physical, team that will try to grind out a 17 – 23 point win. I'd like to think Utah will be thinking of TCU next week but they're too well coached to look ahead.

It's just not Utah's style this year to blow teams out by 4 TD's. Maybe next year...


________________________________________________________


Skipster.

 As for why I'm not on Pitt...I don't like betting games where I miss the best line (it was 20 now 21'). If Syr somehow only loses by 20, I'll be kicking myself all day Saturday. This seems like the right situation to go against that, but Pitt still doesn't feel like a bet I need to make.

kaplan;
quote
topperchris
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.com
topperchris
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 250
Location: Kentucky
#18
Posted: 11/3/2009 8:07:18 PM
Are you on USC?
quote
buckeye34
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker.com
buckeye34
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 8665
Location:
#19
Posted: 11/3/2009 8:09:03 PM
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#20
Posted: 11/4/2009 4:28:40 PM
buckeye;

topperchris; No, not on the side. I thought the total was safer.
quote
MaineRoad
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes.com
MaineRoad
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: May 2005
Posts: 7631
Location: Burkina Faso
#21
Posted: 11/4/2009 4:41:15 PM

Nice year, brother.   

You might want to go easy on posting that record of yours, or you'll have every loon, hater, closet-case, shut-in and stalker on the web in your threads soon.    This is what is known as the Nostradamus Effect, and it can be seriously detrimental to your well being. 

quote
AtlFader
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker.com
AtlFader
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 19316
Location: Georgia
#22
Posted: 11/4/2009 4:54:34 PM
Solid plays; love the info
quote
Syracuse L.J. send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
Syracuse L.J.
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2006
Posts: 677
Location: New York
#23
Posted: 11/4/2009 6:11:07 PM
MaineRoad; Aren't all the haters broke by November?

Actually, I've found that I can keep a low profile if I just give my threads the most boring title possible. The worst possible thread title is the "40-0 last week, 100% on the year" type of title. (exaggerated, of course, for comedic effect...) The crazies flock to those threads.

But, yeah, they did find Nostra. Good advice that I'll keep in mind...


Atlfader. Thanks, Atl.



quote
jp1lsu send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook
jp1lsu
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2004
Posts: 2974
Location: Maryland
#24
Posted: 11/4/2009 6:57:02 PM

Good work Syracuse LJ,

I am on a few of the same ones you are.  I really hate all this chalk and to make it worse road chalk.  Just about every game I like has some team giving points and lots of them are on the road.

I am treading very cautiously through this week. 

BOL

quote
CalBear send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook
CalBear
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 5862
Location: California
#25
Posted: 11/4/2009 7:00:05 PM
GL this week
quote
Forum Index : Covers College Football : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.