Today is going to be huge, we are going to have to post plays as they come in, so u will have to check thread each hour.
Here r early winners with some writeups!
Ai Simulator play on LA-Lafayette as they face Florida International set to start at High Noon EST. LAL is a perfect LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons. In last week’s game LAL lost to Florida Atlantic by the score of 51-29. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 22-7 on the money line for 76% winners and making 38 units since 2004. Play on a road team versus the money line after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games and winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. This system has averaged a +204 dog and LAL is right in the neighborhood at +180. The AiS shows a 74% probability that LAL will lose this game by 5 or fewer points and has a 51% probability of winning the game. Take LA-Lafayette. 5 UNITS
There are high school teams in Ohio and Texas that could give Syracuse a game. Cincinnati’s defense is #1 in the nation in tackles for loss. Syracuse is 0-2 SU and ATS in Big East play, with QB Greg Paulus turning it over against defenses that aren’t box-footing around like the Big Ten teams that Syracuse looked competent against in their non-conference games. Cincinnati is ranked #5 and has doubters, so it wouldn’t hurt to put the pedal to the metal and keep it there. The program doesn’t get many chances to crack that level and Syracuse hasn’t done well against better-than-average teams in a long time. They have been getting exposed in conference. They sat their best wideout Mike Williams last week against Akron, as if Cincinnati doesn’t know who he is and that they like to go to him often. Take cincy-15.5 for 10 UNITS
Texas is 9-4-1 ATS their last 14 games after allowing less than a 100 yards rushing in their last game and they are 6-2 ATS their last 8 road games. The Longhorns are 7-3 ATS off an ATS win and they are 7-3 ATS their last 10 meetings with the Cowboys. Oklahoma St is 7-22 ATS their last 29 games as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points and they are 1-4-1 ATS vs. winning teams. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS their last 4 games as underdogs. PLAY ON TEXAS -9 5 UNITS
At 4-3, ASU has had a disappointing season. Their "D" was exposed against Stanford in their 33-14 loss a week ago. Cal's offense is more explosive than Stanford's. QB Kevin Riley has 11 TD's, 2 INT's and 1454 YP. California has won and covered 5 of the last 6 meetings over Arizona State. The Golden Bear's re absolutely flattening teams that have a "lesser" defense. The Sun Devil's are 1-4 ATS their last 5 conference games, 1-4 ATS their last 5 games played in October, and 0-4 ATS their last 4 games as a home 'dog. The Golden Bear's are 17-4 ATS their last 21 as a favorite of 3 1/2 - 10 points. Cal is the play-6.5 FOR 5 UNITS
Western Kentucky actually qualifies in a some decent contrary technical situations this week as winless underdogs are actually a solid play after back-to-back ATS losses. However, this angle works because the favorite usually overlooks their inferior opponent. That will not be the case this week as North Texas is just 1-6 SU and will relish at the chance to finally dominate a weaker opponents as the Mean Green have been a pointspread underdog in each of their first seven games this season.
North Texas is a veteran team that returned 16 starters this season and they won outright 51-40 at Western Kentucky last season as an 18-point road underdog. WKU is a much weaker team this season, while NTU has improved, so another double-digit win is likely for the Mean Green today.
Western Kentucky is the worst team in division I-A football this season and they have a horrendous defense that is allowing 41.9 points per game and 7.1 yards per play (versus opponents that average just 26.9 ppg and 5.3 yppl). North Texas should be able to exploit this weak defense as the Mean Green are averaging a solid 5.8 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 5.4 yppl). North Texas is also rushing for 5.1 yards per carry (versus opponents that allow just 4.1 ypr) and will now be facing a terrible WKU run defense that allows 266 yards per game and 5.7 yards per carry (versus opponents that average just 162 yards and 4.1 ypr).
Western Kentucky has a decent rushing offense, but their passing attack is terrible as the Hilltoppers average just 5.5 yards per pass (versus opponents that allow 6.8 ypp). This non-existent aerial game makes it difficult for them to play from behind and it also lessens the chance of a backdoor cover today. NO TEXAS-13 5 UNITS
The Hurricanes may not be up to the level of the National Championship teams of the past, but the program is definitely on an uptick, entering this one at 5-2. The Hurricanes have lost to Virginia Tech and Clemson, and already own big wins over Oklahoma, Florida State and Georgia Tech. They are going to be angry and ready to prove something after dropping the last game to Clemson. The Hurricanes are averaging over 30 points per game and are led by dynamic QB Jacory Harris, who is passing for 9.4 yards per attempt. Their team speed is something that Wake simply can't match up with. The Demon Deacons are struggling offensively right now as they posted just 10 vs. Navy and a 3-spot vs. Clemson in their last two games. Those two losses saw Wake total just 486 yards of offense. The Canes defense is currently ranked No. 34 in the country, and Wake will have a difficult time moving the ball here against a very quick and athletic defense. Then Canes have fared well on the road where they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road tilts. And, the Deacons have no bark as a home dog dropping their last four. I like Miami to get the win and cover in this one.MIAMI-7 FOR 5 UNITS
Boston College -5.5 vs. Central Michigan
I like the Eagles in this game at home who recently in their last home game destroyed NC State last week hanging 52 points on them. It is apparent the early season woes of the Eagles on offense are gone. Central Michigan is a public darling in the betting world and have been a solid cover team, mainly because of QB LeFevour, who is an outright stud. But looking past the Michigan State upset early in the year, and looking deep into the Chippewa’s record on road games against BCS schools dating back over three years, they have been destroyed in those game. There is a large difference between the MAC and a BCS school out of the Big East. BC is a veteran team and past their QB and WR compliments, Central Michigan has over 50 true or redshirt freshman on their travel squad.
After a tough defeat to Notre Dame last week, BC comes home here with plenty to prove as ESPN picked up this game for national TV. One thing you look for this time of year in College football is scheduling, and this is the third straight road game for Central Michigan, and BC is hungry for a win here and have better players and more depth across the board. Boston College allows just 86 yards rushing at home this season and Cen. Michigan likes to run it, and they do it fairly well in the MAC, but this is a step up in talent they face. This line opened up at 4 and has been driven up to 5.5 for good reason. Getting BC at home off a loss and having Cen. Michigan on their third road game in a row, make BC a TD or better in this one in some wet weather Saturday.
Boston College 31 Central Michigan 21 lay THE 5.5 FOR 10 UNITS
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