Posted:
#1
If anyone has been fading me, all I can say it, I'm sorry. 
Last week: 6-1-1, +4.4 units
YTD: 21-26-1, -9.03 units
Last week's SEC leans were 5-1, as well.
This week's SEC games:
Last week: 6-1-1, +4.4 units
YTD: 21-26-1, -9.03 units
Last week's SEC leans were 5-1, as well.
This week's SEC games:
- Arkansas @ Mississippi -6.5 - I see Ole Miss winning this game by double-digits. Arkansas left it all on the field against Florida, and the Rebs are getting their second wind now that they've effectively demolished all hopes they had for a great season. (So they now have no high expectations to fail to meet.)
- Tennessee +14 @ Alabama - The rule on double-digit dogs in SEC games causes me to lean Tennessee. My real lean in this game, though, is the UNDER. Quite possibly the league's 2 best defenses here.
- Vanderbilt @ South Carolina -12.5 - Double-digit dogs be damned... Vandy is back to being Vandy. Lean to the Cocks.
- UL-Monroe @ Kentucky -14.5 - This is a really tricky spot for UK, and I'm not at all comfortable with this line. Kentucky is entering the "twinkie-filling soft" portion of their schedule, with ULM, Miss. St., and Eastern Kentucky coming up. ULM isn't as bad as you (or Kentucky) think they are, and they just could sneak up on a UK team overlooking them. I'm still leaning to UK here, but it'll definitely be a no-play for me.
- Auburn @ LSU -7.5 - This line is about right. I'm going to lean LSU, which I feel positive will earn me a backdoor
touchdown in trash time by Auburn. - Florida @ Mississippi State +23 - Double-digit dog in the SEC. Also, Florida has historically had trouble with virtually every trip they've taken to the state of Mississippi since the SEC was expanded in 1992.
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