how about THIS system??

I was thinkin, lets say I was to take every single game this weekend where the consensus on the pick itself was 33% or less prior to kickoff.....what % of games do you think i would win? and what about if I were to put 2 units (double up) on the plays that were less than 25%?????

the plays for 1 unit would be as of right now:  Army, Indiana, BG, UAB, Wake, Clemson, Akron, SanDiego St, SMU, ASU, Rice (ewwww)

the plays for 2 units would be:  Virginia, Baylor, Vandy and UL Monroe

you know what....think im gonna do it!

GL to all u followers this weekend

weasie  ive actually had some hot spells in the past inadvertaly having the lower consensus plays hit. I actually think they hit quite often.  Remember vegas usually wins. i have a friend who has been doing similiar in nfl and cashed 4-1 one week 5-1 another week 6-0 again then 2-6 and 1-5 ??? so im unsure where to go with that. I think there is something here i just dont know when the right time would be. i personally love when im on the right side of a play that the majority of peeps are against and i hit. I think there are many more factors to it though bro.

for intstance the "public" more often then not are week to week so they will see a team do very well and seem another team do poorly and they make their next weeks plays based upon what they saw the week prior. We all know this is dangerous especially as oddsmakers tighten the number to fit these situations.

example here will be georgia tech playing lights out against virginia tech last week thepublic consensus is 76% on GT and 24% on the cavs. Strong money im thinking from "public "action and not so much sharp $ is pounding in GT also driving line up to -5,5.

Lets not forget Virginia is 8-0 vs GT since 1992 and 7-1 vs GT since then  THAT has to mean something. I like virginia more and more i look at this game and i feel most peeps "public" are just playing off what they saw last week.Im not competely sold on ur system but i think virginia fits in here perfect with a very low consensus  just my opinion

gl buddy

Frij I'll keep ya update

paintpuss I cant WAIT for my biggest play of the weekend be Virginia and laugh this system allllll the way to the bank

  LBCWeasie  Always looking for golf gamblers in Florida looking for a fair game If you have a card and are in the area come play standard game 100 dollars a Nassau auto 2dn press.Any junk negotiated.

A few years ago I bet against every game where the consensus was 68% I picked that number out of the hat because I had lost 4 plays in a row that were exactly that percentage I bet the next 30 games againsnt the 68% consensus, ended up 18-12 when I got bored and lost 4 in a row and figured it was time to end the experiment. BOL though in whatever way you go.

LBC I actually track this based off wagerline closing #'s.

Home Team  75%+ 4-1 (you would be 1-4)

Home Team  67.5% to 75%+ 18-11 (you would have gone 22-18)

Road Team 75%+ 3-5 (you would be 5-3)

Road Team 67.5% to 75% 13-11 (you would be 11-13)

So as you can see YTD you would be 39-38 and your 2 unit games would have gone 6-7. The best thing to do with the consensus picks is to watch the line movement rather than just bet because of the %. Hope this helps.

FYI last year

Home teams 70%+ went 17-17

Road Teams 70%+ went 7-7

GL

faderglad to see ya buddy, i like the old avatar with the panites at the ankles

whipthanks for doin the leg work for me homie, saved me alot of trouble fo sho....im gonna run with it this week cuz i said i would and am a man of my word (sometimes) but you are DEF right that the way to track is the higher percentage WITH reverse movement is the way to play these

very very intersting

weasie 

uncforever  -- i love that scoresandodds website especially the reports section....

weasie i have been following the power rankings on that scoresand odds also---another good tool to hanicap , goes along with whatcya got here kinda. you will see many matchups where the power ranking are heavy for 1 team but because of smoke and mirrors and previous week game lines are weird and the publics concensus is heavy on the wrong team

I am very curious to how this will work out for you this weekend, i still think you should single some out and not do it blindly on all of them. btw ____ go yanks brutha