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[College Football] Topic: Why is Miami -5.5? |
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zenmachine |
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#1 Posted: 10/19/2009 8:44:13 PM This line is weird IMO. I'm a Miami fan and I know about some injuries but Moncur should be ready and Cooper will be back for the game. The #10 team at home is not even a TD favorite of a 3-3 team?
What am I not seeing in this game? |
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HeyRube |
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#2 Posted: 10/19/2009 9:02:29 PM your not seeing an upset or a highly ranked team not playing to par...which happens every week in cfb.....i will admit the line seems low..but not completely out of line...did UM perform weel vs ucf? not really condsidering |
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Huggiebear314 |
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#3 Posted: 10/19/2009 9:18:36 PM I think people waiting on Miami to have a let down game. But that spread may jump we just don't know yet. |
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RedRockets |
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#4 Posted: 10/19/2009 9:25:55 PM
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DGlaze91 |
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#5 Posted: 10/20/2009 1:01:27 AM wondering the same thing...Miami by less than a TD at home to Clemson? Seems too tempting |
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c-money |
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#6 Posted: 10/20/2009 1:16:38 AM LVSC released a 7.5 early sun evening, approx 24 hours later it's down to 5.5....2 points  |
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dsanch8 |
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#7 Posted: 10/20/2009 1:26:23 AM
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Mr. Insight |
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#8 Posted: 10/20/2009 10:58:20 AM |
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Chief-Starks |
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#9 Posted: 10/20/2009 11:28:11 AM Miami beat Cent FL 27-7 last week, Clemson thrashed Wake 38-3 or something like that..both off wins but I was a little thrown off by the line movement as well. unless clemson somehow magically turned a corner last week...
Probably no play for me, Clemson is day and night.
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BrandonRoy |
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#10 Posted: 10/20/2009 11:52:32 AM |
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The402Game |
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#11 Posted: 10/20/2009 5:27:15 PM |
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keywan1474 |
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#12 Posted: 10/20/2009 11:09:37 PM What do they see? They see a Miami team that beat a Bradfordless OU team and a FSU wide receiver dropped pass away from having the same record as Clemson.
Let's face it, OU isn't OU without Bradford and you beat them by 1 and FSU is a disgrace. Clemson has a nasty nasty defense. CJ Spiller will be the best player on the field Saturday. Not saying it will happen, but Clemson has all the tools to beat Miami this weekend. If you think otherwise, you are being a homer. |
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paintguy |
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#13 Posted: 10/20/2009 11:24:59 PM many people said wisc-2.5 was right line many peopel said usc would beat note dame by dd many people said ansas would beat colorodo. line looks awesome for miami backers.I personally will not over think this 1 MIAMI it is
i agree clemson defense is tough- great d-line cj spiller will be good( just good)
miami will put it to them at home imo miami wins by 10 or more gl |
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miamicapper |
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#14 Posted: 10/20/2009 11:27:52 PM |
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luckythirteen |
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#15 Posted: 10/21/2009 12:48:58 AM
CU held Skinner to 11/24 for 82 yards 0 TD's and 2 INT's
They held WF to 81 yards on 44 rushes
3 points
This is a Wake offense that came into the game averaging 426 ypg and 29 ppg.
This is a very good CU defense. It all starts with a terrific DL and flows from there. Their DL is what makes this defense what it is. They routinely spend time in the back field and are very disruptive.
I like that matchup of the CU DL against the MIA OL. MIA has a talented group up front but they have struggled with protecting Harris. UCF exposed them last game and I think this matchup is going to be worlds more difficult for them. Harris had a big game through the air, but the running game was stifled but the Knights. 46 rushes for 70 yards and only one run over 10 yards. I think this spells trouble against this CU defense if MIA is forced to rely on just the passing attack and big plays. CU has a great secondary to go along with their pass rush. They only allow 147 ypg through the air.
I was starting to get worried about the CU offense and some of the stuff that i read with controversy between Swinney and OC Napier. I think the bye week couldn't have come at a better time and I think some balance has been restored after a great win against Wake. The passing game has done just enough for them to get by and they will need to play mistake free in this game. The good news is that MIA still concerns me some in the secondary with playing mistake free and fundamentally sound football. They have the players, they just tend to be out of position at times and don't wrap up tackles. I still sometimes question the defensive approach of MIA, but that's another story.. Anytime a team can rush for 100+ yards on TCU, you have to respect them and CU did just that. They actually should have beat TCU in death valley but some unusual plays kept them from getting the W.
I think the CU defense is certainly good enough to keep them in this ball game. They have the ability to effectively run the football and a QB that seems to be playing smarter after a typical youthful start to the season. Harris is a big time player for MIA but I feel that he will be asked to do too much in this game. I don't believe MIA is going to be able to count on big plays and just out-athlete this CU defense like they have gotten away with in the past.
I know that there was very poor weather and the game was away from home against VT, but i think that is the most comparable defense that they have faced when they were held to 209 yards. I don't think this MIA offense is as explosive as they may be perceived. I don't necessarily think CU is a dynamic offense either, but I feel at ease backing a TD dog with a great defense against a team that is reliant on passing the football. ST's advantage for CU and I think jacoby Ford may have something in store for the 305 when he returns home. Very little HFA for MIA as they just can't seem to get people in the seats. I see this as a final posession type game where points may be at a premium. |
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