Got the losing week out of the way...4-5 on sides, 0-1 on a ML parlay. Had $$ to burn so I threw a tiny bit on the parlay...I'll throw all the plays together and call the week 4-6.
That makes the Sept total 26-15 63%
Florida State -5' @ Boston College
Christian Ponder has an injured knee or I would probably make this a bigger play. Everything BC does on offense, the Fla St defense can handle. It's the spread teams that hurt FSU. BC is physical but running the ball up the middle isn't going to cut it.
Central Michigan @ Buffalo +10
CMU is a different team on the road, especially in conference. The plan was to bet +10 if I could get it...it lasted just long enough for me to hang myself...
LSU +2' @ Georgia
Neither team looks all that good. I just think LSU is a stronger team...(Heh, sorry. Nothing interesting to say about this game.)
Arkansas -1 VS Texas A&M
A&M is overrated because of their terrible schedule. This is basically an A&M fade. Mallett should go apeshit vs the secondary that made the Utah St QB look like an NFL prospect. Arky's secondary isn't much better but the injured A&M WR, Fuller, will be missed. If Arkansas defense can handle A&M's tempo, this shouldn't be close.
USC -6' @ Cal
It's a big game. It's best to play on USC when they're intersted in the opponent.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Got the losing week out of the way...4-5 on sides, 0-1 on a ML parlay. Had $$ to burn so I threw a tiny bit on the parlay...I'll throw all the plays together and call the week 4-6.
That makes the Sept total 26-15 63%
Florida State -5' @ Boston College
Christian Ponder has an injured knee or I would probably make this a bigger play. Everything BC does on offense, the Fla St defense can handle. It's the spread teams that hurt FSU. BC is physical but running the ball up the middle isn't going to cut it.
Central Michigan @ Buffalo +10
CMU is a different team on the road, especially in conference. The plan was to bet +10 if I could get it...it lasted just long enough for me to hang myself...
LSU +2' @ Georgia
Neither team looks all that good. I just think LSU is a stronger team...(Heh, sorry. Nothing interesting to say about this game.)
Arkansas -1 VS Texas A&M
A&M is overrated because of their terrible schedule. This is basically an A&M fade. Mallett should go apeshit vs the secondary that made the Utah St QB look like an NFL prospect. Arky's secondary isn't much better but the injured A&M WR, Fuller, will be missed. If Arkansas defense can handle A&M's tempo, this shouldn't be close.
USC -6' @ Cal
It's a big game. It's best to play on USC when they're intersted in the opponent.
Nostra: Yeah, the QB had the Worst Week Ever last week, didn't he? Hoping he got the INT's out of his system and passes only to Bulls this week.
bigirondawg: Thanks.
A couple things keep me off Syracuse. They might be too satisfied at getting to 2-2. That's not as historical as the game USF won last week, but it hasn't happened in awhile. Syr's problem defending the spread also kept me off the play. Although that may be a thing of the past...it looks like Syr can tackle this year. Looking at the series history, Syr gets dominated by USF every year...
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Nostra: Yeah, the QB had the Worst Week Ever last week, didn't he? Hoping he got the INT's out of his system and passes only to Bulls this week.
bigirondawg: Thanks.
A couple things keep me off Syracuse. They might be too satisfied at getting to 2-2. That's not as historical as the game USF won last week, but it hasn't happened in awhile. Syr's problem defending the spread also kept me off the play. Although that may be a thing of the past...it looks like Syr can tackle this year. Looking at the series history, Syr gets dominated by USF every year...
It's down to 35' now. I probably didn't need to buy onto 35, but that's the only line I wanted. I didn't think it would go down further...so, of course, it'll be 34 tomorrow.
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Adding:
New Mexico @ Texas Tech -35 -120
It's down to 35' now. I probably didn't need to buy onto 35, but that's the only line I wanted. I didn't think it would go down further...so, of course, it'll be 34 tomorrow.
I basically agree on most. Really like FSU, Texas Tech and Arky. I disagree on Cal/USC, but I'm not going to argue too hard. LSU might win in spite of itself, but they're damn lucky they aren't 2-2. Virginia is terrible, but UNC is a mess on offense. That is a lot of points for a team to give up when they don't score many. If memory serves, UVa doesn't score much down there, though.
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I basically agree on most. Really like FSU, Texas Tech and Arky. I disagree on Cal/USC, but I'm not going to argue too hard. LSU might win in spite of itself, but they're damn lucky they aren't 2-2. Virginia is terrible, but UNC is a mess on offense. That is a lot of points for a team to give up when they don't score many. If memory serves, UVa doesn't score much down there, though.
Glad you agree on most of the plays. As I said in your thread a few weeks back, I usually lose money when I'm on the opposite end of your plays.
We have even less to disagree about. I'm looking to get off the USC play this week. With the injury to the RB screwing up game week prep, and his production missing...the play is looking bad. The problem is I can't safely unload it yet because I have USC-6', and won't settle for Cal +4'. I'd hate to see USC win by 5 or 6, giving me a Polish Middle. 0-2 on one game...
Awww, relax, all you proud Polish Americans...I'm 1/2 Polish so it's ok...
I'll add a few more plays by the end of the week. Looking deeper into N ILL, Kansas St, Air Force.
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MaineRoad:
Glad you agree on most of the plays. As I said in your thread a few weeks back, I usually lose money when I'm on the opposite end of your plays.
We have even less to disagree about. I'm looking to get off the USC play this week. With the injury to the RB screwing up game week prep, and his production missing...the play is looking bad. The problem is I can't safely unload it yet because I have USC-6', and won't settle for Cal +4'. I'd hate to see USC win by 5 or 6, giving me a Polish Middle. 0-2 on one game...
Awww, relax, all you proud Polish Americans...I'm 1/2 Polish so it's ok...
Only adding a team total play: Houston team total UNDER 41' @ UTEP
There is so much going against UH to get motivated to play this game. UTEP's defense giving up 64 last week helps this play because they will be up for this game.
________________________________________________
Smaller week than I thought I would have.
I considered Kansas St but I don't believe in their run defense. UCLA ran all over them right from the first quarter when it was obvious their QB wasn't going to be the main playmaker.
Almost played EMU just to fade Temple in the role of away fave. EMU has a banged up OL, and their QB is out for the season...not enough points...
Auburn/Tenny: I just want to see Auburn on the road before I believe in them...
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8 plays:
Florida State -5' (what a bad line...pouring rain...BC is scapping the new, boring offense and going back to last years zone stuff...all bad news for FSU backers.)
Southern Cal -6' (I was going to buy off but the line won't rise back up...I'm stuck with the play.)
Only adding a team total play: Houston team total UNDER 41' @ UTEP
There is so much going against UH to get motivated to play this game. UTEP's defense giving up 64 last week helps this play because they will be up for this game.
________________________________________________
Smaller week than I thought I would have.
I considered Kansas St but I don't believe in their run defense. UCLA ran all over them right from the first quarter when it was obvious their QB wasn't going to be the main playmaker.
Almost played EMU just to fade Temple in the role of away fave. EMU has a banged up OL, and their QB is out for the season...not enough points...
Auburn/Tenny: I just want to see Auburn on the road before I believe in them...
_______________________________________________
8 plays:
Florida State -5' (what a bad line...pouring rain...BC is scapping the new, boring offense and going back to last years zone stuff...all bad news for FSU backers.)
Southern Cal -6' (I was going to buy off but the line won't rise back up...I'm stuck with the play.)
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