Home teams are 23-7 on thursday nights. on august 28th, home teams went 11-3, since then they have gone 12-4. Keep in mind this is straight up, but impressive just the same.
Looking a little deeper, we see that after week 1 (Aug 28th), home teams have gone 12-4 S/U; 12-3-1 ATS; and the games have gone UNDER 12 of 16 times.
Another thing to consider looking forward is the fact that double digit home fav's have gone 0-2 (unless I'm mistaken). Those games are on Sep 25th, when Tulane beat SMU (at Tulane) 34-27 giving 17 pts. The other one was Pitt at USF on Oct 2nd. USF was giving up 13.5 and lost 26-21.
The only other home team to lose was Rutgers hosting UNC early in the season, before we (and the bookies) knew what UNC had to offer this year.
The only push came on Oct 2nd, when Memphis went to UAB giving 3. The final there was 33-30.
If you were looking for a reason to take Akron, Miami, UNLV, and all three UNDERS tonight, there you go...
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Home teams are 23-7 on thursday nights. on august 28th, home teams went 11-3, since then they have gone 12-4. Keep in mind this is straight up, but impressive just the same.
Looking a little deeper, we see that after week 1 (Aug 28th), home teams have gone 12-4 S/U; 12-3-1 ATS; and the games have gone UNDER 12 of 16 times.
Another thing to consider looking forward is the fact that double digit home fav's have gone 0-2 (unless I'm mistaken). Those games are on Sep 25th, when Tulane beat SMU (at Tulane) 34-27 giving 17 pts. The other one was Pitt at USF on Oct 2nd. USF was giving up 13.5 and lost 26-21.
The only other home team to lose was Rutgers hosting UNC early in the season, before we (and the bookies) knew what UNC had to offer this year.
The only push came on Oct 2nd, when Memphis went to UAB giving 3. The final there was 33-30.
If you were looking for a reason to take Akron, Miami, UNLV, and all three UNDERS tonight, there you go...
90% of all stats can be made to say whatever you want 75% of the time...100%.
Bottom line...who cares what happened in OTHER Thursday night game. I like stats and trends in a series, particularly in college ball within last 2-3 years where a team may be similar makeup and style. To compare a MAC Thursday night game to an ACC matchup is crazy. Cap the game period. VA TECH wins outright tonight. Miami is soft and their coach is horrible.
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90% of all stats can be made to say whatever you want 75% of the time...100%.
Bottom line...who cares what happened in OTHER Thursday night game. I like stats and trends in a series, particularly in college ball within last 2-3 years where a team may be similar makeup and style. To compare a MAC Thursday night game to an ACC matchup is crazy. Cap the game period. VA TECH wins outright tonight. Miami is soft and their coach is horrible.
you may be right about Miami tonight, gatornation. I haven't capped this game. I do see a lot of action on VaTech, though, which makes me lean toward Miami.
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you may be right about Miami tonight, gatornation. I haven't capped this game. I do see a lot of action on VaTech, though, which makes me lean toward Miami.
I see a -5 right now and I'm more confused than ever on this game...there is no way in hell should Miami be giving more than 4 to VT. What am I missing here gents?
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I see a -5 right now and I'm more confused than ever on this game...there is no way in hell should Miami be giving more than 4 to VT. What am I missing here gents?
and, btw gatornation - I am not attempting to skew these numbers to support either team, I am just posting this years Thursday night ATS records - this data happens to report that Home dogs and unders have been a good bet.
I hear what you're saying about past results not predicting future results without error. However, I do believe that we, as gamblers, should look at previous events when attempting to forecast future results.
Afterall, if, in the past, tornados have hit Oklahoma more often than Michigan, this could indicate that there are factors involved that make it more likely that a tornado will hit Oklahoma more often than Michigan in the future. Frankly, you need not understand "why" something occurs, but simply that it does occur - in order to capitalize on predicting it's occurence.
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and, btw gatornation - I am not attempting to skew these numbers to support either team, I am just posting this years Thursday night ATS records - this data happens to report that Home dogs and unders have been a good bet.
I hear what you're saying about past results not predicting future results without error. However, I do believe that we, as gamblers, should look at previous events when attempting to forecast future results.
Afterall, if, in the past, tornados have hit Oklahoma more often than Michigan, this could indicate that there are factors involved that make it more likely that a tornado will hit Oklahoma more often than Michigan in the future. Frankly, you need not understand "why" something occurs, but simply that it does occur - in order to capitalize on predicting it's occurence.
lol the way you are picking the game is just guessing Thursday Night ATS record for last week and this week game? and ...don't know how is the team playing at all????...good luck for tonight game!!!!
UNC might win but no way will beat FSU more than 1 touch down....or double digits....
I will take FSU and under for tonight!!!!
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lol the way you are picking the game is just guessing Thursday Night ATS record for last week and this week game? and ...don't know how is the team playing at all????...good luck for tonight game!!!!
UNC might win but no way will beat FSU more than 1 touch down....or double digits....
and just to update, I finally did a lot of research to come up with these Thursday night bets...
Home team (unless favored by 10 or more, then take road team)
Under
If you have the time and desire, you can go back through the last 2 years and see how this trend play has done. But, from my memory, it's been profitable.
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bump. it's thursday.
and just to update, I finally did a lot of research to come up with these Thursday night bets...
Home team (unless favored by 10 or more, then take road team)
Under
If you have the time and desire, you can go back through the last 2 years and see how this trend play has done. But, from my memory, it's been profitable.
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