Posted:
#1
OK, we started last Sunday with the following. Let's see where we are today:
Temple +3.5 - I think Western's a bit of a fraud, getting out-statted in two of three wins. Owls are plucky, and due for a little luck. Probably ML play. [not a lot of line value here, as I don't think there's been any adjustment for Temple's QB being out; back-up looked serviceable against PSU, but you really should be getting more points, and you're not; It's homecoming at TU, and depending on how many of its alums can make bail, there could be a decent crowd; I still expect Temple to win, so I guess it's still a play, line value or not]
Cincy -10 - class mismatch [nothing I've read or seen this week leads me to believe Akron is in the same world as these guys]
TAMU -28 - if Army played Army in an intra-squad scrimmage, Army would lose, perhaps badly. (pleaser potential) [much like Indiana State in 1-AA, I think you just have to keep betting against Army until someone makes you stop]
PSU -14 - paybacks, as they say... (pleaser potential) [lots of good cappers on the other side of this one; Illini won't be frightened, and PSU might not be ready to play a decent team; still, I've already played it, and don't plan on buying out of it; proceed with caution]
Bowling Green -3.5 - BGSU appears to be joining the WAC, Mountain West or BIg Sky. Wyoming is horrific. [I'll probably leave this alone, as I'm not reall sure why BGSU, making it's second trip to the Mountain Time Zone in three weeks, will much care]
Miami -7 - bad spot for the Heels, having pissed away big game at home, and losing QB in process; The U appears to be for real, yo. [27-10]
Duke -7 - Virginia has a slew of playmakers on both sides of the ball, an innovative offensive strategy, and experience at QB and on both lines. Hoos also unlucky not to have beaten USC in Week One, and got nipped at the wire at UConn last time out. For what it's worth, Duke is my single largest play of the year to date, and not by a little. [I'm pretty well committed here; weather should be fine; no excuses if Duke doesn't cover]
NIU -6.5 - Eastern is beginning to look as bad as Eastern usually looks. Good seats still available. [nothing would surprise me here; I'll probably leave it alone, though I think NIU might still be a little under-rated; maybe]
Colorado +6 - I didn't see anything out of FSU's offense to indicate that they're any better than they've been. [I think FSU will win and cover, even though they shouldn't]
State +8 - Raleigh's a tough place to play at night, or, I suppose if you're ECU, in the day [injuries make this a tough play; State has very little offense when it's healthy, and USF can play D; they're also off an awful post-Kansas effort, so they should be focussed for this non-conference roadie; we'll see how drunk I am by kickoff]
Oklahoma -17.5 - TCU's pretty good. Won't make any difference [a smaller play, on a team I think is simply elite]
Nebraska -7 - Tech ought to be 1-3, and dosen't do anything particularly well. [still on it; many around here are not, and I can understand why]
Others:
I'll start the week with Tulane -18; they just utterly dominated a UL-M team that's worlds better than this Texas mess. While I'd probably lean toward OSU in the other game, I suspect I'll just watch.
Ole Miss +23 (hook) - good line value spot for the Rebs (off Vandy home loss in which they out-statted the 'Dores 2-1, and UF televised win on Rocky Top) who typically play Gators tough; early start should take some edge off the Swamp. I'm even considering a ML play (at 13-1), which should not be taken as an assertion that I expect Ole Miss to win.
Troy +17 - I hate to go against the Pokes in Stillwater, but this line is crazy. It is a weird sandwich game for Troy, though, (OSU/FAU), and a revenger for the homeboys. Still leaning that way.
UAB +25 - first, USC has to score 26 points...
New Mexico State over 53
Temple under 47.5
UTEP over 50
Tennessee over 37.5
GL everybody. Gotta do some work. 
0
GL 
), The U, and PSU
Speaking of whom, where the hell is he this week? 
It's very thoughtful and well written. 
Card looks good maine
and keep it away from Tate
Hot Forum Topics
