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Scores with vague guesses at lines:
Rutgers 28(-6), UNC 20
An up-and-comer against a team that will struggle here, I still think Rutgers rebounds from Fresno and with the experience gets it done. Watch out for the heels this year though, they're a year away from contending in the ACC.
Kansas 24 (+3), S Fla 21
A lot of people will be on USF I'm sure. I won't play it unless I'm way off on the line. I just think they're overrated, and Kansas should be able to take advantage.
KY 31 (-15), MTSU 20
How the blue raiders beat maryland is beyond me. Ky isn't great but they get it done here against a feisty squad. Almost certainly no play.
Mich St. 35 (-15), FAU 31
Will be looking at the points here. FAU is going to test someone. They're not as good as people maybe thought early, but MSU doesn't have the talent of Texas so the owls should be able to hang around.
Missouri 52 (-24), Nevada 20
Chase Daniel and company should be able to run up against the Pack's defense. They bogged down TTU for a while, but eventually the red raiders got it going. They won't be able to slow down Mizzou even for a bit.
Nebraska 45(-20), NM St. 17
The huskers have put up points this year, and I think Pellini gets the blackshirts ready against Holbrook and the acclaimed offense. NMST can score but they can't play D, and I think Nebraska should be able to neutralize them to an extent. If the lines a little shorter than I expect, will lay on the Huskers.
C. Mich 27(-6), Ohio 17
Ohio's showing last week should add value on the Chips in this one. They and Ball St., who impressed me against Navy, should be the class of the Mac. I like Solich but I don't think they have the talent to hang with CMU after spending so much against a very uninspired Buckeyes team. CMU knows they have to win the Mac and they play for those games - see last years OOC drillings - so I'm not too worried about the UGA score. May play.
Oregon St. 20 (-7), Hawaii 17
Two underperforming teams. I've held that OSU always starts slow, and they probably won't be great here, but they should get it done. I still expect to see them bowling come late dec.
Rice 27(+6), Vandy 24
I really like Vandy this year, but this game reminds me of Cutler's senior year when they nearly cracked the top 25 only to fall to MTSU. I'll be cheering for the Dores and so probably won't play, but I think this is a solid bet if Rice is as decent as they've shown early.
Texas 31(-24), Ark 21
I think the Hogs play up big time in this one. They should get drilled, as they are the worst team in the SEC but this is always a big game and I think they somehow keep it close. will def consider taking the pts.
Fresno 31(-1), Wisky 21
Another pick that I'm sure will be popular on the board. Fresno lives for these games and Wisconsin tends to lose them. The bulldogs don't let the badgers run all over them and Evridge can't beat this stingy D. Almost definite play but waiting for the lines.
Bama 31(-31), W. Ky 7
One of the toughest D's in the country against a first year FBS team. Won't play after the Bama/Tulane game because who knows how inspired this young Tide team will be. May look towards the under though doubt there will be much value.
auburn 27(-14), Miss St. 10
Revenge and a killer D/ST leads to an easy win for the Tigers. Don't like playing them with big numbers though, as their offense is never explosive. They won't let St. get much though.
Illinois 42 (-24), ULL 21
Illini D has been atrocious, Juice throws too many picks but their offense is explosive. They certainly don't deserve to be ranked. They should roll in this one but ULL will control the ground with the ball. A likely no play.
Ball St. 31(-3), Akron 24
I'm officially on the Dante Love bandwagon after watching him against a Navy. Akron's w against syracuse should lend the cardinals some value in this one, which they should take.
So. Miss 32(-7), Ark St. 20
Hoping to get a good number off Ark. St.'s a&m win. USM should roll here, and I think Fedora's got this team in a good place. Willl look to lay on the road fav. here.
Temple 17(+4), Buffalo 14
Two up-and-comers in the mac with big bowl implications for both. I think temple is a little more solid and get it done in this one against Turner Gill's Bulls. Not sure if I will play because of the potential let down of the Uconn OT loss. either way should be hardfought and ugly.
Iowa St. 28(+6), Iowa 24
I say the Cyclones go bowling this year with a light Big 12 schedule. if they can steal this one on the road against an Iowa team that's been tremendous against terrible competition that would be a major step. If I can get close to a touch here, will def play the underdog.
Purdue 31(+2), Oregon 30
Should be a great game in Tiller's last year. The Ducks have been solid but not overly impressive. Painter should light up there D, but Oregon's rushing attack will be tough for them to stop. Boilers in a very tight one.
More to come after lines are out...
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