What I like doesn't necessarily mean I will be playing. I mentioned I liked the Yankees yesterday as well, but overtuned it to go with TOR, for exactly the same reasons I did with MIA tonight. My system liked them too much and I didn't see that reflected in the line movement. Most of the plays I've made so far this season I have seen favourable line movement reflecting my system's choice, but I've lost too much in recent weeks ignoring unfavourable movement, so I needed to make adjustments.
What I like doesn't necessarily mean I will be playing. I mentioned I liked the Yankees yesterday as well, but overtuned it to go with TOR, for exactly the same reasons I did with MIA tonight. My system liked them too much and I didn't see that reflected in the line movement. Most of the plays I've made so far this season I have seen favourable line movement reflecting my system's choice, but I've lost too much in recent weeks ignoring unfavourable movement, so I needed to make adjustments.
My numbers had the Cubs as a small favorite, but the extra juice of coming off of a sweep added a little more to the line. To me the line made sense.
I do keep an interest in line movement. Nice observation and making the changes.
My system had MIA as clear favourites yesterday 55% (even Strailey pitched solid as forecasted and Butler was taken out early for obvious reasons) and despite the early money for MIA (to be expected), MIA's line just lingered between +105 and +110 for 24 hours. Vegas was practically begging for MIA money and when I see a clear advantage to one team such as MIA yesterday and NYY the day before and the line not reflecting it, even a little, then buyer beware. I have noticed in previous years as we approach mid season, the line movement seems to have a bigger role to play when analysing games. Today my system has LAD as slight to clear favourites 54% to be exact, despite Scherzer pitching, it will be interesting to see how that plays out.
My numbers had the Cubs as a small favorite, but the extra juice of coming off of a sweep added a little more to the line. To me the line made sense.
I do keep an interest in line movement. Nice observation and making the changes.
My system had MIA as clear favourites yesterday 55% (even Strailey pitched solid as forecasted and Butler was taken out early for obvious reasons) and despite the early money for MIA (to be expected), MIA's line just lingered between +105 and +110 for 24 hours. Vegas was practically begging for MIA money and when I see a clear advantage to one team such as MIA yesterday and NYY the day before and the line not reflecting it, even a little, then buyer beware. I have noticed in previous years as we approach mid season, the line movement seems to have a bigger role to play when analysing games. Today my system has LAD as slight to clear favourites 54% to be exact, despite Scherzer pitching, it will be interesting to see how that plays out.
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