Beat the sweep system

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Beat the sweep system
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/15/2017 4:47:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Boston_Brad:

Thanks for posting each of the last two weeks. Please keep it going! I'm on MIL/ARI/TOR/SEA/HOU

If staying away from 2-8 teams, the MIL over SD bet would pretty much qualify, w/MIL being 7-3 over L10 but their bats are too hot to pass.

Also, I just cannot bet against Archer. BOL on the CLE pick. I'm going to hold off for the series bets tomorrow, BAL/WASH/NYY/TEX and possibly the Cubs too.

Thanks Brad! Any insight is always valued. It's not a perfect system but it's been profitable so far!
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/16/2017 8:20:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Big_Tone21:

Locked them in at :

CLE -143 
LAA -176 
SF +130 
MIL -105 
ARI -114 
SEA -117 

I do like Toronto at home, but they are splitting a 4 game series home and home, so can't take the chance. 

5-1 to start out the series. Nice to get a lot of them out of the way early. Of course the ONE away team i'm chasing loses. Will get the next series of games up today. GL all!
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/16/2017 8:39:46 AM
Looking at: 
Det -120
Texas -192
KC -100
MIL -100 (already down 100 from the first game)

Potential for:
Minny -111 (this one was close, especially with CO being 11-5 on the road. Have Santana then Berrios in home games)
CHC -190 (The juice is going to be so high on this series, both teams are 7-9/7-8 in home/away splits.) 

Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/16/2017 2:40:03 PM
Confirmed for today:

100 dollar bets
Tex -180 
KC -104
Det- 115
Minny -115

200 dollar bets 
Mil -102

Not touching the Chicago Cubs game with those crazy winds anything can happen. GL everyone!
Boston_Brad PM Boston_Brad
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Posted: 5/16/2017 8:53:39 PM
Looking forward to see what you have on tap for Thursday and Friday's series openers. I'm not going to bet anything other than the series you're going with. Those will be the only baseball plays I make from the 18th to the 21st. 

BOL Big Tone. (sent you a friend request)
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/17/2017 8:37:52 AM
Last night not the greatest, but we got some W's! 

GM 2 MIL 
GM 1 TEX 

Lost these 3 openers:
KC -104
Det -115
Minny -115

Laying 204 in KC, 300 in DET, 318 in Minny. So far 7/10 series cashed this week for +700. These three are in game two so we have 2 more shots to take it down. GL all! 
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/17/2017 8:40:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Boston_Brad:

Looking forward to see what you have on tap for Thursday and Friday's series openers. I'm not going to bet anything other than the series you're going with. Those will be the only baseball plays I make from the 18th to the 21st. 

BOL Big Tone. (sent you a friend request)

Appreciate the confidence, hopefully i don't blow it for you! I'm a Boston native too btw. 
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/18/2017 8:18:29 AM
Well we took another win with DET last night 
KC stinks, hopefully they can pull it out tonight to avoid the sweep. 
Minny got PPD until today, so we have 2 shots to avoid the sweep. 

Currently on the week +700, will have 406 in play on KC, 258 on GM 2 of Minny.

Will post my weekend series later on. GL all!
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/18/2017 10:54:44 AM
Plays for next series, all Home teams to beat the sweep:
LAD
SEA
BAL
PITT
TB
DET
MINN
STL


First week was 12-0, 2nd week 12-0 with 1 rain out that cost $100
Currently 7-0 with 2 series pending. 

Dannyle0507 PM Dannyle0507
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Posted: 5/18/2017 11:59:33 AM
Are you playing first game only?
AMTOTALS PM AMTOTALS
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Posted: 5/18/2017 12:38:34 PM
Wow!!  So today is the royals and twins gm 2?
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/18/2017 1:13:13 PM
So today is Royals GM3 - Have to bet 406 to win 100, since we already lost the first two games.

If the Twins win game 2, we're up 100 and stop betting on that series. If not, need to lay another big number game 3 to beat the sweep.

Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/18/2017 1:15:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Dannyle0507:

Are you playing first game only?

No - see page 1. Progressively betting on each game in the series to win 1 game and not get swept. 
BoomerOU PM BoomerOU
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Posted: 5/18/2017 1:21:35 PM
The problem with this (and all "martingale" type systems) is that a string of losses will kill you. You will win a lot and lose a few... but then you will lose several in a row which will wipe out all your winnings and then some. 

The Cubs got swept once at home last year.... all as -200 or more favorites. Think about that. At -200 you would bet 200 on game 1. Then you would bet 400 (to win back the 200) + 200 to win 100 for 600 on game 2. If it loses you are then betting 1200 to win back the 600 + 200 to win 100 which is $1,400 to win $100. 

As you said in an earlier post you had $1,500 in play to win $300. This is never a good thing,  Have fun with it, enjoy it, but in the long run, it won't win.
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/18/2017 1:39:26 PM
I'm well aware of the math. We'll see how it goes. I've also already stayed away from the cubs at -190 and -180 in a series because of the exact issue you brought up. 
mdelvalle PM mdelvalle
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Posted: 5/18/2017 2:01:08 PM
AnonymousGamble PM AnonymousGamble
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Posted: 5/18/2017 2:04:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Big_Tone21:

Plays for next series, all Home teams to beat the sweep:LADSEABALPITTTBDETMINNSTLFirst week was 12-0, 2nd week 12-0 with 1 rain out that cost $100Currently 7-0 with 2 series pending.


No play on Oakland?
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Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/18/2017 2:22:27 PM
I'm not playing Oakland because if they don't win game 1, i could see them losing to Sale and Pomeranz.
AnonymousGamble PM AnonymousGamble
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Posted: 5/18/2017 3:46:32 PM
Ah gotcha! thank you cheers bud 
BOL 
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/18/2017 4:09:12 PM
But looks like I'm risking 406 on KC, and 540 on MIN game 3. Need 1 of these two to cash to come close to breaking even.   Last 12-0 series, hit three game 3's to keep the streak alive. LEGGOOO!!!

Also, starting Seattle, and LAD series chases tonight. 

GL all! 
Big_Tone21 PM Big_Tone21
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Posted: 5/19/2017 8:29:15 AM
Last two (KC and MINNY) cash for another perfect sweep!  
34-0 the past 3 series. +3400

8 Weekend series confirmed, with our first two plays already hitting in GM 1. The rest start today!
LAD  Cashed Thurs +100
SEA  Cashed Thurs +100
BAL
PITT
TB
DET
MINN
STL

Still trying to figure out the CHC series. Might throw them in for the week but want to do a little more research. 

GL All! 
Boston_Brad PM Boston_Brad
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Posted: 5/19/2017 10:48:19 AM
$$$$ 2 down from this weekend series!

What part of Boston do you reside in?
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Dannyle0507 PM Dannyle0507
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Posted: 5/19/2017 10:49:06 AM
Today play?
Bal
Pitt
TB
Det
Minn
Stl

Boston_Brad PM Boston_Brad
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Posted: 5/19/2017 11:20:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Dannyle0507:

Today play?
Bal
Pitt
TB
Det
Minn
Stl


Correct Danny
Dannyle0507 PM Dannyle0507
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Posted: 5/19/2017 11:26:13 AM
Thank you Brad
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