Arizona 77.5 UNDER,
I like them maxing out at about 75 wins. At best, this is a .500 team, and I
don’t think they’ll be at their best with that bullpen.
Atlanta 74.5. UNDER. I like this roster, it’s a fun team to
watch with a fun video game roster. That being said, they have to play a ton of
games against the Nationals, Mets, and Marlins, all of whom will take their
Baltimore 80.5 OVER.
I love their bullpen, and their starting pitching is pretty solid. Their
offensive additions will also help, although I’m not a fan of Schoop. I think
they finish in second place.
Boston 92.5. OVER. As long as they take care of Price, I
like the over for this team. Every position is strong.
Chicago Cubs 96.5.
OVER. I would almost never say over on a number this high, but they should
run all over their division. The Cardinals are having a down year, and the Reds
and Brewers stink.
Chicago White Sox 68.5. UNDER. I like some of their young
players, but the loss of Sale just made a bad team worse. The clubhouse
complaints are really illuminating about how this team is very poorly managed.
Cincinnati Reds 69.5 UNDER. Their starting pitching is
fubar. The relievers they have are good, but not great depth there.
Cleveland Indians 93.5 UNDER. The plethora of injuries will
make the Tigers competitive, and keep them from hitting a huge win total.
Colorado Rockies 80.5
UNDER. Their starting pitching is a tire fire. I mean, horrible. I like
everything about this team, except their starting pitchers. And keep in mind, they
just lost Bettis as he was rediagnosed with cancer, which is too bad.
Detroit Tigers 82.5
OVER. I really like this team’s combo of veteran talent with some young
stars. I think they make a strong playoff push, which means playing above .500.
Houston 91.5 UNDER. I
like this team a lot, and try to be optimistic about them, but their SP isn’t
as proven, their bullpen has question marks, and they lack hitting at the 1B
KC Royals 75.5 LEAN OVER????. The toughest team for me to
predict. They shipped off most of their pitchers over the years, but the guys
they have left are pretty good. I think they finish in the middle of this
Los Angeles Angels
79.5 UNDER. This is an improving team with young starting pitching to be
optimistic about, but the Rangers, Mariners, and Astros will eat away at that
win total and keep them under .500.
Los Angeles Dodgers 94.5 UNDER. I’m a Dodgers fan for life,
but their hitting simply isn’t there. Their division rivals will play them
tough. I still think they take the division, but 90-93 wins is most probable.
Miami Marlins 76.5. OVER. Losing Fernandez might make the
difference on this bet. If he was still alive, I’d say over and feel great
about it. I love their lineup and bullpen, very strong team. I find myself
wanting to start a lot of sentences with the word “if” when I talk about this
team and their SPs.
Milwaukee 69.5. UNDER. This team’s starting and relief pitching
is so bad, they may be the first team to give up 100 runs.
Minnesota Twins 74.5. UNDER. This team is definitely
improving, but the Indians, Tigers, and Royals will reduce that win total,
especially with some of that questionable starting pitching. Their lineup and
bullpen are bright spots though.
New York Mets 87.5. OVER. Their pitching will be like it was
two years ago, and they have the bats to back it up. I have a long history of
rooting against the Mets, but this team is effin good.
New York Yankees 82.5 UNDER. I can’t decide if they will win
more than the Blue Jays. I am optimistic about Severino, and obviously the
health of the other old guys will dictate the direction of this team. If they
are healthy, they could give Toronto a run for their money. However, they won’t
be. Father Time is undefeated, and will take his share of injuries this season.
73.5 UNDER. I’m skeptical of their starting pitching and ability to score
runs. I’d be surprised if they don’t finish last in the division.
Philadelphia Phillies 73.5. UNDER. Their pitching is
much-improved and on a genral upward trend, but this team can’t hit. Simple as
Pittsburgh Pirates 83
OVER. Ray Searage’s history as a pitching guru will definitely come in
handy this year. This team’s lineup is solid, too.
St. Louis Cardinals
83.5 UNDER. This team has injury problems that hurt their pitching depth.
Matt Carpenter also isn’t right either. I think this will be their worst season
in a while.
San Diego Padres 66.5
OVER. The Padres will lose a ton of games this year, but I don’t see how
you can go under 66.5. They should be a little better than last season, and
last season they were over this.
San Francisco Giants 88.5 UNDER. Great starting pitching,
but their hitting just disappears sometimes for weeks at a time. I am not as
confident in this pick as I am the others
Seattle Mariners 85.5 OVER. I’m not very confident in this
over. I wish they would have gotten more hitting at 1B. But their pitching
looks great. I think they’ll score enough runs to beat this number.
Tampa Bay Rays 78.5
UNDER. In a division with great teams, they could rename the Rays “Trade
Partner for Playoff Teams.” They will be sellers at the trade deadline. If
Archer exceeds expectations, he’ll be their biggest piece to move. They tried
to move him last season. They need to improve their starting and relief
pitching, a lot of busters on that part of the roster.
Texas Rangers 85.5.
OVER. Love this team’s power and their bullpen improved a lot last year
when they figured out what they had in Matt Bush. Their starting pitching could
be better, but it’s good enough to win the division.
Toronto Blue Jays 85.5 OVER. I wish they had better starting
and relief pitching, but I still love their hitting. Losing Encarnacion hurts a
bit, but was softened by the addition of a new left-handed bat in Morales.
90.5 OVER. Solid starting pitching, solid hitting. Their biggest question
mark is closer, and that won’t result in too many losses.