Dodgers beat Arrieta 5-0 AT CHICAGO already this year and they owned him in LA the other night. I would have to think -135 or so with all the pressure on the Cubs.
Dodgers beat Arrieta 5-0 AT CHICAGO already this year and they owned him in LA the other night. I would have to think -135 or so with all the pressure on the Cubs.
(1) Arrieta wasn't the losing pitcher of record for that 5-0 loss. I watched that game live, LA scored 3 in the 8th & 2 in the 9th. Arrieta left the game without having conceded a run, so your observation that the Dodgers beat Arrieta is meaningless. The losing pitcher of record for the Cubs in that loss isn't even on their post season roster, and another of the relievers who conceded multiple runs in that game isn't even with the team anymore.
(2) The Cubs were off 6 straight wins entering that game, with their latest win being a shutout of LA the night before: they're human not robots, and it's not easy for even the best mlb teams to shutout the same opponent 2 games in a row.
(3) You want to know the difference between that 5-0 win back in May & now? Blanton was LA's winning pitcher of record for that game. What have the Cubs done to Blanton lately?
(4) As for Arrieta's loss the other night, the core bats in the Cubs lineup (Rizzo, Zobrist, Russell) had been cold through most of the post season up until that point (and were so in that game, 1-9 for the 3 combined), but after their latest 2 games that's no longer the case. Relevant to that, is the fact that Arrieta's record in games the Cubs score 1st in (17-5 SU) is much much better than games in which his opponent scores 1st in (3-8 SU). Hot Cubs' bats not unnaturally make a lot of difference to Arrieta starts vs. cold Cubs' bats.
(1) Arrieta wasn't the losing pitcher of record for that 5-0 loss. I watched that game live, LA scored 3 in the 8th & 2 in the 9th. Arrieta left the game without having conceded a run, so your observation that the Dodgers beat Arrieta is meaningless. The losing pitcher of record for the Cubs in that loss isn't even on their post season roster, and another of the relievers who conceded multiple runs in that game isn't even with the team anymore.
(2) The Cubs were off 6 straight wins entering that game, with their latest win being a shutout of LA the night before: they're human not robots, and it's not easy for even the best mlb teams to shutout the same opponent 2 games in a row.
(3) You want to know the difference between that 5-0 win back in May & now? Blanton was LA's winning pitcher of record for that game. What have the Cubs done to Blanton lately?
(4) As for Arrieta's loss the other night, the core bats in the Cubs lineup (Rizzo, Zobrist, Russell) had been cold through most of the post season up until that point (and were so in that game, 1-9 for the 3 combined), but after their latest 2 games that's no longer the case. Relevant to that, is the fact that Arrieta's record in games the Cubs score 1st in (17-5 SU) is much much better than games in which his opponent scores 1st in (3-8 SU). Hot Cubs' bats not unnaturally make a lot of difference to Arrieta starts vs. cold Cubs' bats.
The future has Dodgers +250 to win now including game six. It would be around Cubs -170 or more. Making Dodgers about +155 dropping the future bet about 100 point or so.
The future has Dodgers +250 to win now including game six. It would be around Cubs -170 or more. Making Dodgers about +155 dropping the future bet about 100 point or so.
I am betting on Kershaw tonight and I would love to see Cubs at -135 tomorrow. I would max bet on the Dodgers if that happened and it very well might. Arrieta is not the same pitcher since the all star break. This Cub team is for real but I don't see them scoring more in a game seven against Hill and the high quality Dodger relief staff.
We have a classic match up of an over valued pitcher in Arrieta versus an under rated pitcher in Hill. Hill is no fluke, he had a sterling ERA of 2.12 for the year. Arrieta looked Kershaw like until the all star break and since then has been an average starting pitcher. Arrieta's ERA up to June 22nd was 1.74 and since that date it has been 4.30.
Yes the Cubs have a great team, but the starting pitching match up between Arrieta and Hill does not warrant a -135 Cubs line.
I am betting on Kershaw tonight and I would love to see Cubs at -135 tomorrow. I would max bet on the Dodgers if that happened and it very well might. Arrieta is not the same pitcher since the all star break. This Cub team is for real but I don't see them scoring more in a game seven against Hill and the high quality Dodger relief staff.
We have a classic match up of an over valued pitcher in Arrieta versus an under rated pitcher in Hill. Hill is no fluke, he had a sterling ERA of 2.12 for the year. Arrieta looked Kershaw like until the all star break and since then has been an average starting pitcher. Arrieta's ERA up to June 22nd was 1.74 and since that date it has been 4.30.
Yes the Cubs have a great team, but the starting pitching match up between Arrieta and Hill does not warrant a -135 Cubs line.
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