HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-1 irrespective of site order (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 NHL and NBA Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 555-51 (.916)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 146-12 (.924)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 69-12 (.852)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 30-7 (.811)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 340-266 (.561)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 89-69 (.563)
Game 5 record, MLB only, all rounds: 40-41 (.494)
Game 5 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 15-22 (.405)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1316 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 NHL and NBA Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1 @ HHVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-1 with site order HHVV (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 NHL and NBA Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 350-23 (.938)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 82-4 (.953)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 37-6 (.860)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 19-3 (.864)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 247-126 (.662)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 56-30 (.651)
Game 5 record, MLB only, all rounds: 21-22 (.488)
Game 5 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 8-14 (.364)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1316 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 NHL and NBA Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWWL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWWL irrespective of site order (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 NHL and NBA Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 119-5 (.960)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 33-1 (.971)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 5-1 (.833)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 2-1 (.667)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 86-38 (.694)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 24-10 (.706)
Game 5 record, MLB only, all rounds: 3-3 (.500)
Game 5 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 0-3 (.000)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1316 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2016 NHL and NBA Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.