St. Louis Cardinals (C. Martinez) vs. NY Mets (Syndergaard)
That
leaves the Mets ½ game behind Miami for the Wild Card, while trailing
Washington by 5 games for division lead. St. Louis is 1 game out of the
Wild Card spot and trails the Cubs by 7½ games for the division lead.
While NY has a respectable 26-20 home record, St. Louis has an
outstanding road record with a 27-16 road mark (good for a .628 winning
percentage, easily the best on the road in MLB).
The Mets have
just taken 2 of 3 at Miami over the weekend, following their 3-0 shutout
of the Marlins on Sunday. But, they still are on just a 5-7 recent
trend. The Cards were rolling with 5 consecutive victories, prior to
losing both weekend games at home to the Dodgers by a combined score of
16-8. Their rally from 8 runs down fell short in a 9-6 loss on
Sunday night baseball.
St. Louis Cardinals (C. Martinez) vs. NY Mets (Syndergaard)
That
leaves the Mets ½ game behind Miami for the Wild Card, while trailing
Washington by 5 games for division lead. St. Louis is 1 game out of the
Wild Card spot and trails the Cubs by 7½ games for the division lead.
While NY has a respectable 26-20 home record, St. Louis has an
outstanding road record with a 27-16 road mark (good for a .628 winning
percentage, easily the best on the road in MLB).
The Mets have
just taken 2 of 3 at Miami over the weekend, following their 3-0 shutout
of the Marlins on Sunday. But, they still are on just a 5-7 recent
trend. The Cards were rolling with 5 consecutive victories, prior to
losing both weekend games at home to the Dodgers by a combined score of
16-8. Their rally from 8 runs down fell short in a 9-6 loss on
Sunday night baseball.
Syndergaard is a respected starter for the
Mets with a record of 9-4 and a 2.43 ERA. But, Syndergaard has won just 1
of his last 4 starts and he has worked more than 6 IP only once in his
last 5 starts. Somehow, he has managed to win 7 of his most recent 9
decisions. Yet, that work is far outclassed by St. Louis starter,
Martinez, who has a lofty 2.83 ERA for the year to date. Martinez is 2-0
recently, working 12 IP while allowing just 3 runs, 8 hits and an
amazing 16 Ks. Consistency has been the watchword. In his most recent 9
starts, Martinez is 5-1, allowing 3 or less runs in each start. As a
mirror image of his team on the road, Martinez is 5-1 with a 1.71 ERA in
7 road starts. Further bolstering our case is a 0.57 ERA vs. the Mets
in 2 starts (5 appearances) vs. the NYers.
Syndergaard is a respected starter for the
Mets with a record of 9-4 and a 2.43 ERA. But, Syndergaard has won just 1
of his last 4 starts and he has worked more than 6 IP only once in his
last 5 starts. Somehow, he has managed to win 7 of his most recent 9
decisions. Yet, that work is far outclassed by St. Louis starter,
Martinez, who has a lofty 2.83 ERA for the year to date. Martinez is 2-0
recently, working 12 IP while allowing just 3 runs, 8 hits and an
amazing 16 Ks. Consistency has been the watchword. In his most recent 9
starts, Martinez is 5-1, allowing 3 or less runs in each start. As a
mirror image of his team on the road, Martinez is 5-1 with a 1.71 ERA in
7 road starts. Further bolstering our case is a 0.57 ERA vs. the Mets
in 2 starts (5 appearances) vs. the NYers.
Toronto, meanwhile, is proving they are “fo real.” Similar to last season, much was expected of the Blue Jays this season. A weak-hitting 19-23 start left pundits scratching their heads. But, the Jays have returned to form (though only 4-4 since the Break) with a 36-21 run. Toronto clings to the 2nd Wild Card spot by ½ game over Houston but trails both, Boston (by 1 ½ games) and Baltimore (by 3 games), for the division lead. Solid momentum in this 3-game stretch is necessary, following a day off on Thursday, they will host the division leading Orioles.
As expected, Toronto holds a
dominant edge in batting statistics. For the YTD, the batting edge is
.769 to .708 OPS. That divergence is even greater when considering a
home/road dichotomy which sees Toronto with a .790 to .713 OPS
edge. There is an equal advantage with the starting pitchers in this
game.
Toronto, meanwhile, is proving they are “fo real.” Similar to last season, much was expected of the Blue Jays this season. A weak-hitting 19-23 start left pundits scratching their heads. But, the Jays have returned to form (though only 4-4 since the Break) with a 36-21 run. Toronto clings to the 2nd Wild Card spot by ½ game over Houston but trails both, Boston (by 1 ½ games) and Baltimore (by 3 games), for the division lead. Solid momentum in this 3-game stretch is necessary, following a day off on Thursday, they will host the division leading Orioles.
As expected, Toronto holds a
dominant edge in batting statistics. For the YTD, the batting edge is
.769 to .708 OPS. That divergence is even greater when considering a
home/road dichotomy which sees Toronto with a .790 to .713 OPS
edge. There is an equal advantage with the starting pitchers in this
game.
For San Diego, Rea is a bottom of the rotation pitcher with a 5.01 ERA for the year. His most recent outing was consistent with that, as he allowed 4 runs, including 3 home runs and a total of 8 hits vs. St. Louis. For Toronto, Sanchez has been a most pleasant surprise, taking up the slack of the underperforming Stroman. For the season, Sanchez has a record of 10-1 with a 2.87 ERA. But, his work has been even better than that of late! For, Sanchez has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 8 of his last 9 starts, and in 6 consecutive starts. His slants have mystified NL opponents who seldom see him. Versus the National League this year, Sanchez is 3-0 working 22 IP while allowing just 3 runs.
Final Analysis
You can only look to the Blue Jays in this super-surger vs. towel-tosser matchup. And, we are eager to do so on the run line,
thus reducing the price. 45 of 55 Toronto wins have come by 2 or more
runs, including 23 of 28 on this field. That is consistent with the
historical excellence of Toronto on this field, where in the previous 2
seasons, 80 of 99 home victories were by 2 or more runs. I invite you to
put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. Tor-1.5 -125
By J.Gavazzi
For San Diego, Rea is a bottom of the rotation pitcher with a 5.01 ERA for the year. His most recent outing was consistent with that, as he allowed 4 runs, including 3 home runs and a total of 8 hits vs. St. Louis. For Toronto, Sanchez has been a most pleasant surprise, taking up the slack of the underperforming Stroman. For the season, Sanchez has a record of 10-1 with a 2.87 ERA. But, his work has been even better than that of late! For, Sanchez has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 8 of his last 9 starts, and in 6 consecutive starts. His slants have mystified NL opponents who seldom see him. Versus the National League this year, Sanchez is 3-0 working 22 IP while allowing just 3 runs.
Final Analysis
You can only look to the Blue Jays in this super-surger vs. towel-tosser matchup. And, we are eager to do so on the run line,
thus reducing the price. 45 of 55 Toronto wins have come by 2 or more
runs, including 23 of 28 on this field. That is consistent with the
historical excellence of Toronto on this field, where in the previous 2
seasons, 80 of 99 home victories were by 2 or more runs. I invite you to
put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. Tor-1.5 -125
By J.Gavazzi
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