179-193 YTD(-13.08) 1st Half +23.20 Units217-194 K's(-8.01) 2nd Half -5.36 Units
28-28 Series(+4.37) OVERALL +17.84 UNITS
8-15 Parlays(+24.55)
12-11 Live(+10.01)
My last 27 plays, Wed, Thur, Fri I won .33 units(+$33) The grindstone is a rough one this year.
PENDING SERIES BETS: -Angels(+185) *.54/1 units (0-1)
-Rangers(even) *1 unit (0-1)
I thought Darvish could take game 1, and Shoemaker had a decent shot at game 1 as well. Will look at hedging options soon.
Today:
1. Blue Jays TT UNDER 5(-135) *3/2.22 units
2. Mariners ML(+114) *1/1.14 units
3. Mariners -1.5(+180) *.28/.50 units
4. Hisashi Iwakuma OVER 5 K's(-140) *1.5/1.07 units
Both teams hitting poorly over the last 7 days. Jays .248 BA .731 OPS w/ a strikeout for every 3.81 batters. VS RHP the Mariners best the Jays by .15 in BA and .10 in OPS. The Roof is open today, wind blowing in at 14 mph.
The Pitchers:
Iwakuma is raking. There's only 1 category where I see Dickey better than him, Iwakuma H/9=9.5, Dickey H/9=8.5. That's it. Iwakuma's splits get better during the day and away. Dickey's splits get worse during the day and home.
In their career in the month of July: Iwakuma ERA=3.32, WHIP=1.13
Dickey ERA=3.92, Whip=1.31
Iwakuma in the month of July holds his highest SO rate of 8 per 9, out of all his splits.
The Mariners are using 7 lefties today in their lineup. LHB's are hitting Dickey at .258/.836 ops this year as opposed to .243/.754 by RHB's.
How will that strong wind affect Dickey's knuckle ball today? Who knows but if it's floating all over the place the Mariners batters should be laying off.
Bullpen advantage Mariners.
Home plate Ump Jordan Baker's Kper game might be down this year, but over his career he holds the highest Home team K's per game of all umps. Rarely do these guys call more against the home team than away teams.
Will work on a few more games, BOLTA