New York held off San Francisco on Friday, 3-2 to move two games above
the .500 mark. The Yankees’ pitching has stepped up of late, allowing
two runs or less in five of the past six games, while all eight contests
on this homestand have finished UNDER the total. In spite of their
recent winning ways, the Bronx Bombers are sitting in fourth place of
the AL East, 6½ games behind the Orioles. Ivan Nova takes the mound this
afternoon for the Yankees, as he is coming off back-to-back wins over
the Indians and Orioles to improve to 7-5 on the season.
Coldest team: Rangers (2-8 last 10)
The AL West race is tightening up at the top between the two Lone Star
State squads as Texas’ advantage is 2½ games over Houston heading into
Saturday. The Rangers were swept by the Angels earlier this week, while
being unable to turn things around in Friday’s 3-1 loss at Kansas City
to drop its fourth straight game. Things have fallen apart on the road
recently, as the Rangers own a dreadful 2-10 record in its last 12 games
away from Arlington, while allowing at least six runs in seven of those
defeats. The only hope for Texas to turn things around lays on the
shoulders of Cole Hamels, who heads to the hill tonight owning a 10-2
record, as the Rangers are 7-1 in his past eight starts overall.
New York held off San Francisco on Friday, 3-2 to move two games above
the .500 mark. The Yankees’ pitching has stepped up of late, allowing
two runs or less in five of the past six games, while all eight contests
on this homestand have finished UNDER the total. In spite of their
recent winning ways, the Bronx Bombers are sitting in fourth place of
the AL East, 6½ games behind the Orioles. Ivan Nova takes the mound this
afternoon for the Yankees, as he is coming off back-to-back wins over
the Indians and Orioles to improve to 7-5 on the season.
Coldest team: Rangers (2-8 last 10)
The AL West race is tightening up at the top between the two Lone Star
State squads as Texas’ advantage is 2½ games over Houston heading into
Saturday. The Rangers were swept by the Angels earlier this week, while
being unable to turn things around in Friday’s 3-1 loss at Kansas City
to drop its fourth straight game. Things have fallen apart on the road
recently, as the Rangers own a dreadful 2-10 record in its last 12 games
away from Arlington, while allowing at least six runs in seven of those
defeats. The only hope for Texas to turn things around lays on the
shoulders of Cole Hamels, who heads to the hill tonight owning a 10-2
record, as the Rangers are 7-1 in his past eight starts overall.
Hottest pitcher: Mike Leake, Cardinals (7-7, 4.00 ERA)
St. Louis outlasted Los Angeles in 16 innings on Friday night to win its
fifth straight game, as the Cardinals turn to the veteran Leake this
evening. Leake has struck out 21 batters in his past two starts against
the Brewers and Padres, while allowing a total of two earned runs in
those two victories. The Cardinals have compiled a 3-6 record at home
when Leake takes the mound, but the right-hander defeated the Dodgers at
Chavez Ravine in mid-May as a +125 road underdog.
Coldest pitcher: John Lackey, Cubs (7-6, 3.75 ERA)
Chicago is getting back on track after stumbling to finish of the first
half by winning five of its first seven games out of the break. However,
things haven’t worked out well lately for Lackey, who has given up 15
runs (14 earned) in his last three outings, while the Cubs are 1-5 in
his past six starts overall. One of Lackey’s best starts this season
came against Milwaukee, tonight’s opponent, scattering four hits and
allowing one earned run in six innings of a 2-1 victory on May 18.
Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (10-0 last 10)
All games but two finished UNDER the total in MLB last night as
Baltimore extended its streak to 10 consecutive UNDERS in its victory
over Cleveland. The Orioles actually provided an offensive spark they
didn’t see on their recent road trip by scoring five early runs in a 5-1
triumph. Baltimore’s pitching has allowed two runs in its past two wins
since going through a four-game losing streak, while allowing two runs
or less in five of their previous six victories. Kevin Gausman heads to
the hill for Baltimore tonight against Cleveland, as eight of his last
10 starts have finished UNDER the total.
Hottest pitcher: Mike Leake, Cardinals (7-7, 4.00 ERA)
St. Louis outlasted Los Angeles in 16 innings on Friday night to win its
fifth straight game, as the Cardinals turn to the veteran Leake this
evening. Leake has struck out 21 batters in his past two starts against
the Brewers and Padres, while allowing a total of two earned runs in
those two victories. The Cardinals have compiled a 3-6 record at home
when Leake takes the mound, but the right-hander defeated the Dodgers at
Chavez Ravine in mid-May as a +125 road underdog.
Coldest pitcher: John Lackey, Cubs (7-6, 3.75 ERA)
Chicago is getting back on track after stumbling to finish of the first
half by winning five of its first seven games out of the break. However,
things haven’t worked out well lately for Lackey, who has given up 15
runs (14 earned) in his last three outings, while the Cubs are 1-5 in
his past six starts overall. One of Lackey’s best starts this season
came against Milwaukee, tonight’s opponent, scattering four hits and
allowing one earned run in six innings of a 2-1 victory on May 18.
Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (10-0 last 10)
All games but two finished UNDER the total in MLB last night as
Baltimore extended its streak to 10 consecutive UNDERS in its victory
over Cleveland. The Orioles actually provided an offensive spark they
didn’t see on their recent road trip by scoring five early runs in a 5-1
triumph. Baltimore’s pitching has allowed two runs in its past two wins
since going through a four-game losing streak, while allowing two runs
or less in five of their previous six victories. Kevin Gausman heads to
the hill for Baltimore tonight against Cleveland, as eight of his last
10 starts have finished UNDER the total.
There aren’t many OVER streaks to find around MLB with the rash of
low-scoring games around the league, but Arizona fits in this category.
The Diamondbacks finished UNDER the total in last night’s loss at
Cincinnati, as Arizona has allowed at least five runs in five of the
past six contests. Cincinnati’s offense has exploded recently by putting
up 24 runs in the last four games, as the Reds face D-backs’ southpaw
Robbie Ray tonight. Ray has struck out at least seven batters in seven
straight starts, while coming off a seven-inning scoreless effort in his
last outing against the Dodgers.
Matchup to watch: Mets vs. Marlins
The two teams chasing the Nationals in the National League East continue
their series at Marlins Park tonight after the Mets captured the opener
on Friday, 5-3. It’s a dynamic pitching matchup this evening with a
pair of young right-handers on the hill with Miami’s Jose Fernandez
squaring off against New York’s Jacob deGrom. Fernandez is nearly
automatic when pitching in South Florida, as the Marlins are 8-1 in his
last nine home starts, including a 1-0 triumph over the Mets in early
June. deGrom has turned in quality starts in eight of his last nine
outings for the Mets, including in a 4-2 home triumph over Miami prior
to the All-Star break.
Betcha didn’t know: Are Chris Sale’s days in Chicago numbered
with the trading deadline approaching at the end of the month? The White
Sox have lost eight of their last nine games, including a devastating
4-3 setback at Seattle in which Sale left the game after eight innings
and allowing just one hit before the bullpen imploded in the ninth.
Chicago sat as a -170 favorite at several books this morning for
Saturday’s contest against Detroit, as the Sox are 5-0 this season when
Sale is listed at -170 or lower as a home favorite.
There aren’t many OVER streaks to find around MLB with the rash of
low-scoring games around the league, but Arizona fits in this category.
The Diamondbacks finished UNDER the total in last night’s loss at
Cincinnati, as Arizona has allowed at least five runs in five of the
past six contests. Cincinnati’s offense has exploded recently by putting
up 24 runs in the last four games, as the Reds face D-backs’ southpaw
Robbie Ray tonight. Ray has struck out at least seven batters in seven
straight starts, while coming off a seven-inning scoreless effort in his
last outing against the Dodgers.
Matchup to watch: Mets vs. Marlins
The two teams chasing the Nationals in the National League East continue
their series at Marlins Park tonight after the Mets captured the opener
on Friday, 5-3. It’s a dynamic pitching matchup this evening with a
pair of young right-handers on the hill with Miami’s Jose Fernandez
squaring off against New York’s Jacob deGrom. Fernandez is nearly
automatic when pitching in South Florida, as the Marlins are 8-1 in his
last nine home starts, including a 1-0 triumph over the Mets in early
June. deGrom has turned in quality starts in eight of his last nine
outings for the Mets, including in a 4-2 home triumph over Miami prior
to the All-Star break.
Betcha didn’t know: Are Chris Sale’s days in Chicago numbered
with the trading deadline approaching at the end of the month? The White
Sox have lost eight of their last nine games, including a devastating
4-3 setback at Seattle in which Sale left the game after eight innings
and allowing just one hit before the bullpen imploded in the ninth.
Chicago sat as a -170 favorite at several books this morning for
Saturday’s contest against Detroit, as the Sox are 5-0 this season when
Sale is listed at -170 or lower as a home favorite.
Indians:
Tomlin 14-3 with 3.34 ERA and 1.11 ERA this season, including 5-0 as a
dog and 2-0 vs A.L. East. Orioles: Gausman 3-9 team starts at night this
season. *Recommended play on Cleveland Indians.
Indians:
Tomlin 14-3 with 3.34 ERA and 1.11 ERA this season, including 5-0 as a
dog and 2-0 vs A.L. East. Orioles: Gausman 3-9 team starts at night this
season. *Recommended play on Cleveland Indians.
Cincinnati: 6-15 vs southpaws this season... Cubs: 27-13 vs division
this season; Milwaukee: 12-22 vs division, and 5-10 on Saturdays this
season... Atlanta 21-45 at night, and 11-25 vs southpaws this season...
Houston: 7-1 vs A.L. West behind McHugh this season... Yankees: 3-7 vs
Interleague foes.
Cincinnati: 6-15 vs southpaws this season... Cubs: 27-13 vs division
this season; Milwaukee: 12-22 vs division, and 5-10 on Saturdays this
season... Atlanta 21-45 at night, and 11-25 vs southpaws this season...
Houston: 7-1 vs A.L. West behind McHugh this season... Yankees: 3-7 vs
Interleague foes.
Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles
Play: Baltimore Orioles -125
Baltimore right-hander Kevin Gausman has been terrific at home this
season, posting a 2.79 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in six starts at Camden Yards.
Despite a lack of consistency over the last couple of seasons
(management shuttling back-and-forth from Triple-A Norfolk), Gausman
improved upon his strikeout, walk, swing strike and ground ball rates
last season.
Gausman's fastball induced a 21% strikeout rate last year (18th best
among 95 qualified starters) and he remains a prime candidate for a
breakout second half in 2016. Gausman's 3.78 xFIP (3.80 xFIP in 2015)
is backed by a 22.1% K%, 5.0% BB% and a 17.1% K-BB%.
Gausman is also supported by a very good Baltimore bullpen that owns a
3.13 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, together with a 2.90 ERA and 1.28 WHIP at home, a
2.93 ERA and 1.25 WHIP at night and a 2.89 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over the
last seven games.
Finally, Cleveland right-hander Josh Tomlin toes the rubber with a 5.14
ERA and 1.50 WHIP in five career starts against the Orioles, including
yielding a combined 10 earned runs in his last 13 innings pitched at
Camden Yards.--- OSKEIM SPORTS
Texas vs. Kansas City
Pick: Texas
No team has struggled more than the Giants since the All Star break but
the Rangers come in a close second. The SF Giants owned MLB’s best
record at the break (57-37) but have yet to win since play resumed,
going 0-6. Meanwhile, the Rangers were 54-36 at the break (up 5 1/2
games in the AL West) and owned MLB’s best moneyline mark at
plus-$2,422. However, Texas is 1-6 since the break, with its lead cut to
2 1/2 games over the Astros. Texas remains the moneyline leader
(plus-$1,932 to Baltimore’s plus-$1,493) but Texas backers are down
almost $500 in the team's seven games since play resumed after a
four-day break.
As all know, the Royals have represented the AL in each of the last two
World Series (beat the Mets last season, after losing a seven-game
series to the Giants in 2014) but KC has been behind the eight-ball most
of the 2016 season and enters this contest just 48-47, EIGHT games out
of the AL Central lead, as well as FIVE games back of the second wild
card spot with FOUR teams a between them and the Blue Jays (current No. 2
wild card club). Saturday’s pitching matchup features Cole Hamels
(10-2, 3.00 ERA) and Yordano Ventura (6-7, 4.97 ERA).
Ventura hasn't won since blanking the Tigers over 6.1 innings of a 10-3
win back on June 17, going 0-3 over his four starts since that win
(Royals are 0-4), with an ugly 6.55 ERA in those outings (it’s 8.40 in
his three losses!). Ventura has made four career starts against Texas,
going 2-2 with a 4.84 ERA but does have 22 strikeouts in 22.1 innings
against the Rangers. Some good news is that while Ventura walked a major
league-leading 33 in his first nine starts (6.10 per nine innings), he
has allowed just EIGHT walks over his last nine outings (a span of in
52.2 innings), which is 1.37 per nine innings, a ratio ranks
third-lowest in the AL during that span.
Texas counters with All Star Cole Hamels, who will be making his
first-ever regular-season start at Kauffman Stadium (note: he pitched a
perfect inning at the 2012 All-Star game in Kansas City while with the
Phillies). The Rangers are 14-5 in Hamels' starts this season (plus-$855
moneyline mark ranks eight in 2016), including winning SEVEN of his
last eight. Some may remember that the Rangers lost Hamels’ first two
starts after being acquired from Philly last year but they then won his
final 10 regular season starts. Doing the math, Texas is now 24-5 over
Hamels’ last 29 regular season starts. -- Larry Ness
Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles
Play: Baltimore Orioles -125
Baltimore right-hander Kevin Gausman has been terrific at home this
season, posting a 2.79 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in six starts at Camden Yards.
Despite a lack of consistency over the last couple of seasons
(management shuttling back-and-forth from Triple-A Norfolk), Gausman
improved upon his strikeout, walk, swing strike and ground ball rates
last season.
Gausman's fastball induced a 21% strikeout rate last year (18th best
among 95 qualified starters) and he remains a prime candidate for a
breakout second half in 2016. Gausman's 3.78 xFIP (3.80 xFIP in 2015)
is backed by a 22.1% K%, 5.0% BB% and a 17.1% K-BB%.
Gausman is also supported by a very good Baltimore bullpen that owns a
3.13 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, together with a 2.90 ERA and 1.28 WHIP at home, a
2.93 ERA and 1.25 WHIP at night and a 2.89 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over the
last seven games.
Finally, Cleveland right-hander Josh Tomlin toes the rubber with a 5.14
ERA and 1.50 WHIP in five career starts against the Orioles, including
yielding a combined 10 earned runs in his last 13 innings pitched at
Camden Yards.--- OSKEIM SPORTS
Texas vs. Kansas City
Pick: Texas
No team has struggled more than the Giants since the All Star break but
the Rangers come in a close second. The SF Giants owned MLB’s best
record at the break (57-37) but have yet to win since play resumed,
going 0-6. Meanwhile, the Rangers were 54-36 at the break (up 5 1/2
games in the AL West) and owned MLB’s best moneyline mark at
plus-$2,422. However, Texas is 1-6 since the break, with its lead cut to
2 1/2 games over the Astros. Texas remains the moneyline leader
(plus-$1,932 to Baltimore’s plus-$1,493) but Texas backers are down
almost $500 in the team's seven games since play resumed after a
four-day break.
As all know, the Royals have represented the AL in each of the last two
World Series (beat the Mets last season, after losing a seven-game
series to the Giants in 2014) but KC has been behind the eight-ball most
of the 2016 season and enters this contest just 48-47, EIGHT games out
of the AL Central lead, as well as FIVE games back of the second wild
card spot with FOUR teams a between them and the Blue Jays (current No. 2
wild card club). Saturday’s pitching matchup features Cole Hamels
(10-2, 3.00 ERA) and Yordano Ventura (6-7, 4.97 ERA).
Ventura hasn't won since blanking the Tigers over 6.1 innings of a 10-3
win back on June 17, going 0-3 over his four starts since that win
(Royals are 0-4), with an ugly 6.55 ERA in those outings (it’s 8.40 in
his three losses!). Ventura has made four career starts against Texas,
going 2-2 with a 4.84 ERA but does have 22 strikeouts in 22.1 innings
against the Rangers. Some good news is that while Ventura walked a major
league-leading 33 in his first nine starts (6.10 per nine innings), he
has allowed just EIGHT walks over his last nine outings (a span of in
52.2 innings), which is 1.37 per nine innings, a ratio ranks
third-lowest in the AL during that span.
Texas counters with All Star Cole Hamels, who will be making his
first-ever regular-season start at Kauffman Stadium (note: he pitched a
perfect inning at the 2012 All-Star game in Kansas City while with the
Phillies). The Rangers are 14-5 in Hamels' starts this season (plus-$855
moneyline mark ranks eight in 2016), including winning SEVEN of his
last eight. Some may remember that the Rangers lost Hamels’ first two
starts after being acquired from Philly last year but they then won his
final 10 regular season starts. Doing the math, Texas is now 24-5 over
Hamels’ last 29 regular season starts. -- Larry Ness
Under is 26-11 in HOU last 37 overall. Houston Astros are 22-4 in McHugh’s last 26 starts against the AL West.
Colin McHugh..gets a home start against the Angels. Although the Angels' offense has been red-hot so far in July, posting a .362 wOBA in 16 games, it has been middle-of-the-road against righties this season. McHugh has been pitching some of his best ball over the last month, as he sports a 2.41 ERA over his last six outings.
The only starting pitcher who can better Scherzer's 11.4 K/9 is Fernandez, who registers a 13.3 K/9, the highest whiff rate since Randy Johnson posted a 13.4 K/9 in 2001. The Miami righty has also surrendered one or zero runs in nine of his last 12 starts (1.80 ERA). The Mets' lineup..are still below average against righties while fanning at a 23 percent clip. In fact, when Fernandez last faced the Mets in early June, he tossed seven shutout innings and racked up a season-high 14 K's. The lone negative here is that Jacob deGrom is toeing the rubber for the Mets on Saturday, meaning a win is no sure thing.
Speaking of deGrom, the Mets' right-hander is coming off his best start of the season, a one-hit shutout against the Phillies. A matchup against a Marlins team that has been ho-hum against right-handers this year (95 wRC+) puts deGrom in a good spot, though the ceiling is somewhat limited. The Marlins have been the second-hardest NL team to strike out this year (19 percent), and deGrom's 8.7 K/9 pales in comparison to what Scherzer and Fernandez bring to the table.
Chris Sale finds himself in a similar spot to deGrom. Now that he's pitching more to contact, he doesn't miss enough bats these days to give him a super high ceiling. In fact, the lefty has yet to rack up double-digit whiffs in a game this season after doing so 13 times in 2015. Although the Tigers haven't been particularly threatening against lefties this year (96 wRC+), it's still a right-handed heavy lineup with plenty of thump
The obvious caveats apply with rookie Tyler Glasnow, as his control has been an issue (4.9 B/9 at Triple-A) and he has only one big league start under his belt (in which the Cardinals hit him for four runs in 5 1/3 innings. That said, we also know his potential is great. Glasnow is in a great spot Saturday, facing a Phillies team that can't hit right-handed pitching (81 wRC+) and features a healthy 22 percent whiff rate.
Under is 26-11 in HOU last 37 overall. Houston Astros are 22-4 in McHugh’s last 26 starts against the AL West.
Colin McHugh..gets a home start against the Angels. Although the Angels' offense has been red-hot so far in July, posting a .362 wOBA in 16 games, it has been middle-of-the-road against righties this season. McHugh has been pitching some of his best ball over the last month, as he sports a 2.41 ERA over his last six outings.
The only starting pitcher who can better Scherzer's 11.4 K/9 is Fernandez, who registers a 13.3 K/9, the highest whiff rate since Randy Johnson posted a 13.4 K/9 in 2001. The Miami righty has also surrendered one or zero runs in nine of his last 12 starts (1.80 ERA). The Mets' lineup..are still below average against righties while fanning at a 23 percent clip. In fact, when Fernandez last faced the Mets in early June, he tossed seven shutout innings and racked up a season-high 14 K's. The lone negative here is that Jacob deGrom is toeing the rubber for the Mets on Saturday, meaning a win is no sure thing.
Speaking of deGrom, the Mets' right-hander is coming off his best start of the season, a one-hit shutout against the Phillies. A matchup against a Marlins team that has been ho-hum against right-handers this year (95 wRC+) puts deGrom in a good spot, though the ceiling is somewhat limited. The Marlins have been the second-hardest NL team to strike out this year (19 percent), and deGrom's 8.7 K/9 pales in comparison to what Scherzer and Fernandez bring to the table.
Chris Sale finds himself in a similar spot to deGrom. Now that he's pitching more to contact, he doesn't miss enough bats these days to give him a super high ceiling. In fact, the lefty has yet to rack up double-digit whiffs in a game this season after doing so 13 times in 2015. Although the Tigers haven't been particularly threatening against lefties this year (96 wRC+), it's still a right-handed heavy lineup with plenty of thump
The obvious caveats apply with rookie Tyler Glasnow, as his control has been an issue (4.9 B/9 at Triple-A) and he has only one big league start under his belt (in which the Cardinals hit him for four runs in 5 1/3 innings. That said, we also know his potential is great. Glasnow is in a great spot Saturday, facing a Phillies team that can't hit right-handed pitching (81 wRC+) and features a healthy 22 percent whiff rate.
Nola’s 4.4 ERA masks how great he’s been this season, as he’s my #5
starter overall and #10 in the last 30-days. His advanced metrics are
excellent, and he’s truly one of the best pitchers in the league. By
comparison, he’s going up against a young prospect in Glasnow. One fact
that jumps out at me is Glasnow’s poor control. In the minors this
year (102 innings) he’s had a 4.9 BB/9 rate or 14% BB%. That’s awful.
Remember, that was minors! Against MLB hitters that’s going to be even
worse. Philly is a bad overall offense, but over the last 30-days
they’re performing at a league average mark ranking 13th overall. And do you know who’s struggling? Pirates offense of course, ranking 25th
overall in the last 30-days. Weak offense, terrible BP (#26 overall),
and a young kid that can’t throw strikes. How the heck are the ‘Rats
favorites by this much against the 5th best pitcher in the league??
Nola’s 4.4 ERA masks how great he’s been this season, as he’s my #5
starter overall and #10 in the last 30-days. His advanced metrics are
excellent, and he’s truly one of the best pitchers in the league. By
comparison, he’s going up against a young prospect in Glasnow. One fact
that jumps out at me is Glasnow’s poor control. In the minors this
year (102 innings) he’s had a 4.9 BB/9 rate or 14% BB%. That’s awful.
Remember, that was minors! Against MLB hitters that’s going to be even
worse. Philly is a bad overall offense, but over the last 30-days
they’re performing at a league average mark ranking 13th overall. And do you know who’s struggling? Pirates offense of course, ranking 25th
overall in the last 30-days. Weak offense, terrible BP (#26 overall),
and a young kid that can’t throw strikes. How the heck are the ‘Rats
favorites by this much against the 5th best pitcher in the league??
Robbie Ray is my 34th overall starter and 23rd in the last 30-days. The key here is that he’s absolutely filthy against lefties, ranking 6th
overall against them. Well, the biggest threat on Cincy’s offense is
Joey Votto, and of course he’s a lefty. If Ray can neutralize him, I
doubt we’ll see this 26th ranked offense do much today. And I
think he will. More so than backing Ray, this play is about fading
Sampson and this Cincy 30th ranked BP. Keyvius Sampson is a
middle reliever, one of the worst in the league. The guy sports 5.5 ERA
and has allowed 5 HR’s with 14 BB’s in only 16 innings of work this
year. In his MLB career (68 innings) he has a 6.3 ERA and 5.3 xFIP.
This is not a good pitcher. More so, I doubt we see him going longer
than 5 innings, so this 30th ranked Cincy BP will have to go for almost half a game. Now that’s an advantage that I just can’t pass up.
Robbie Ray is my 34th overall starter and 23rd in the last 30-days. The key here is that he’s absolutely filthy against lefties, ranking 6th
overall against them. Well, the biggest threat on Cincy’s offense is
Joey Votto, and of course he’s a lefty. If Ray can neutralize him, I
doubt we’ll see this 26th ranked offense do much today. And I
think he will. More so than backing Ray, this play is about fading
Sampson and this Cincy 30th ranked BP. Keyvius Sampson is a
middle reliever, one of the worst in the league. The guy sports 5.5 ERA
and has allowed 5 HR’s with 14 BB’s in only 16 innings of work this
year. In his MLB career (68 innings) he has a 6.3 ERA and 5.3 xFIP.
This is not a good pitcher. More so, I doubt we see him going longer
than 5 innings, so this 30th ranked Cincy BP will have to go for almost half a game. Now that’s an advantage that I just can’t pass up.
Juicy, but the matchup is right. Wisler is one of the worst pitchers in MLB, ranking 131st
in my database. Furthermore, he’s allowed 5 HR’s in his last 2 starts
and has a GB-rate of less than 40%. Pitching in elevation is not going
to help matters tonight especially against this Rockies team that ranks 9th in ISO against right-handers. Opposite him will be Tyler Anderson, who is quietly my 15th ranked starter. He’s coming off a poor start, but that was against Tampa, a team that ranks 2nd offensively against lefties. By comparison, Atlanta ranks 29th,
with only Philly being worse. Anderson has a GB-rate of almost 60% on
the season, he’s never faced ATL before, and he throws an excellent
‘fastball’ a pitch that ATL is the worst in the league by far. I like
the Rockies to tee off Wisler tonight, and behind a dominant pitcher of
their own, this one should be a fairly easy win.
Juicy, but the matchup is right. Wisler is one of the worst pitchers in MLB, ranking 131st
in my database. Furthermore, he’s allowed 5 HR’s in his last 2 starts
and has a GB-rate of less than 40%. Pitching in elevation is not going
to help matters tonight especially against this Rockies team that ranks 9th in ISO against right-handers. Opposite him will be Tyler Anderson, who is quietly my 15th ranked starter. He’s coming off a poor start, but that was against Tampa, a team that ranks 2nd offensively against lefties. By comparison, Atlanta ranks 29th,
with only Philly being worse. Anderson has a GB-rate of almost 60% on
the season, he’s never faced ATL before, and he throws an excellent
‘fastball’ a pitch that ATL is the worst in the league by far. I like
the Rockies to tee off Wisler tonight, and behind a dominant pitcher of
their own, this one should be a fairly easy win.
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