Me and a buddy of my mine have been developing a predictive 1st inning score system, and have had good results from it so far. The system has gone 24-23 for +12.1 units, and can be tracked here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1tnJ_xxvsaDZHqYUyXGgs6kGHqoBnXkJeA77uiNOP5kM/edit#gid=876423290
Fair warning, our model consistently finds the most of the value lies in Yes, 1st Score inning, and most of our plays reflect that. If you are a bigger fan of betting on the No score prop, as most of the public is, this may not be for you. But we've found that there is much more value in betting Yes, Score 1st inning in most games, and with the odds we get I believe we have a great chance to profit in the long-run, despite some tough days.
I handicap NFL/NBA/MLB, and those plays can be found on my twitter @ratbehr, but this thread will be dedicated entirely to our 1st inning system projections.
Me and a buddy of my mine have been developing a predictive 1st inning score system, and have had good results from it so far. The system has gone 24-23 for +12.1 units, and can be tracked here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1tnJ_xxvsaDZHqYUyXGgs6kGHqoBnXkJeA77uiNOP5kM/edit#gid=876423290
Fair warning, our model consistently finds the most of the value lies in Yes, 1st Score inning, and most of our plays reflect that. If you are a bigger fan of betting on the No score prop, as most of the public is, this may not be for you. But we've found that there is much more value in betting Yes, Score 1st inning in most games, and with the odds we get I believe we have a great chance to profit in the long-run, despite some tough days.
I handicap NFL/NBA/MLB, and those plays can be found on my twitter @ratbehr, but this thread will be dedicated entirely to our 1st inning system projections.
Odds not out, but BOS/TOR looking like a yes play. Just posting this now, in case I miss that 10 AM start time. Will post full slate of plays, with odds tomorrow.
Odds not out, but BOS/TOR looking like a yes play. Just posting this now, in case I miss that 10 AM start time. Will post full slate of plays, with odds tomorrow.
Public love to bet No Score, that's why there's so much value in betting Yes Score. Our system tries to find games with the highest percent chance of scoring in correlation to implied percent chance based on the lines. It's been pretty profitable for us so far.
Public love to bet No Score, that's why there's so much value in betting Yes Score. Our system tries to find games with the highest percent chance of scoring in correlation to implied percent chance based on the lines. It's been pretty profitable for us so far.
**Scratch on CIN/COL +110. Simon scratched because of sore arm. Minor league callup will start in his place. Line has been removed from most sports books, anyways.
**Scratch on CIN/COL +110. Simon scratched because of sore arm. Minor league callup will start in his place. Line has been removed from most sports books, anyways.
Guess you can call me public cuz I only bet UNDERS! Usually do them in parlays. Took both ur under in parlay for the WIN! Thanks
Also had a 4 game parlay and only lost due to the mets....
No worries, and it makes sense. No scores seem easier to predict, we just find more value in the Yes picks. I don't usually have 'No score' plays in a daily slate, so I'll just drop a *hint* for the game we calculate having the highest chance to go scoreless in the 1st if that's something people would be interested in.
Guess you can call me public cuz I only bet UNDERS! Usually do them in parlays. Took both ur under in parlay for the WIN! Thanks
Also had a 4 game parlay and only lost due to the mets....
No worries, and it makes sense. No scores seem easier to predict, we just find more value in the Yes picks. I don't usually have 'No score' plays in a daily slate, so I'll just drop a *hint* for the game we calculate having the highest chance to go scoreless in the 1st if that's something people would be interested in.
No worries, and it makes sense. No scores seem easier to predict, we just find more value in the Yes picks. I don't usually have 'No score' plays in a daily slate, so I'll just drop a *hint* for the game we calculate having the highest chance to go scoreless in the 1st if that's something people would be interested in.
You're absolutely right with more value in YES picks.. But for me I
parlay the NO scores and they usually pay off very well.
If it wasn't for the mets tonight, I'd have a huge payout..
I'd definitely be interested in watching for your no score hints!
No worries, and it makes sense. No scores seem easier to predict, we just find more value in the Yes picks. I don't usually have 'No score' plays in a daily slate, so I'll just drop a *hint* for the game we calculate having the highest chance to go scoreless in the 1st if that's something people would be interested in.
You're absolutely right with more value in YES picks.. But for me I
parlay the NO scores and they usually pay off very well.
If it wasn't for the mets tonight, I'd have a huge payout..
I'd definitely be interested in watching for your no score hints!
lol great "system" you have goin here. Bet YES more than NO. Thats like picking Black more than Red. pls stop. Youre making a fool of yourself. Funny how these "systems" all make money but as soon as they post here they crumble quickly. Nobody cares abt first inning bets and if there were a system or an edge, people woulda found it like ten years ago. But please, keep posting and educating us lol. Ridiculous
lol great "system" you have goin here. Bet YES more than NO. Thats like picking Black more than Red. pls stop. Youre making a fool of yourself. Funny how these "systems" all make money but as soon as they post here they crumble quickly. Nobody cares abt first inning bets and if there were a system or an edge, people woulda found it like ten years ago. But please, keep posting and educating us lol. Ridiculous
lol great "system" you have goin here. Bet YES more than NO. Thats like picking Black more than Red. pls stop. Youre making a fool of yourself. Funny how these "systems" all make money but as soon as they post here they crumble quickly. Nobody cares abt first inning bets and if there were a system or an edge, people woulda found it like ten years ago. But please, keep posting and educating us lol. Ridiculous
I appreciate the input, but you're a little sort sighted in your analysis there. Last year, over 50% of 1st innings had a score in them, yet you can still get +110 or better odds on most games. Public loves to bet No score 1st inning, but truth is, there is a higher chance for a run to be scored in the 1st inning than in any other inning. There is clearly value to be had there, and our system tries to find the best.
I have no idea how well this will do this year, as it's brand new and still in it's early stages. But it's produced well so far, and I will continue to post the picks we get regardless of how we fare going forward.
lol great "system" you have goin here. Bet YES more than NO. Thats like picking Black more than Red. pls stop. Youre making a fool of yourself. Funny how these "systems" all make money but as soon as they post here they crumble quickly. Nobody cares abt first inning bets and if there were a system or an edge, people woulda found it like ten years ago. But please, keep posting and educating us lol. Ridiculous
I appreciate the input, but you're a little sort sighted in your analysis there. Last year, over 50% of 1st innings had a score in them, yet you can still get +110 or better odds on most games. Public loves to bet No score 1st inning, but truth is, there is a higher chance for a run to be scored in the 1st inning than in any other inning. There is clearly value to be had there, and our system tries to find the best.
I have no idea how well this will do this year, as it's brand new and still in it's early stages. But it's produced well so far, and I will continue to post the picks we get regardless of how we fare going forward.
and CruchDick lost all 500 he had to spend this year just on his last performance alone, what was that again, 1-3 on bet your max plays plus a parlay? lol align yourself with that pathetic loser and you'll be in the grave like Astephanie is
and CruchDick lost all 500 he had to spend this year just on his last performance alone, what was that again, 1-3 on bet your max plays plus a parlay? lol align yourself with that pathetic loser and you'll be in the grave like Astephanie is
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