HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (Kansas City) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 589-151 (.796)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 149-38 (.797)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 68-29 (.701)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 26-10 (.722)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 406-334 (.549)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 107-80 (.572)
Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 45-52 (.464)
Game 6 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 21-15 (.583)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1283 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ HHVVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order HHVVV (Kansas City) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 44-10 (.815)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 15-4 (.789)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 32-10 (.762)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 15-4 (.789)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 33-21 (.611)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 11-8 (.579)
Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 23-19 (.548)
Game 6 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 11-8 (.579)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1283 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLWL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWLWL irrespective of site order (Kansas City) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 53-9 (.855)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 15-1 (.938)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 6-3 (.667)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 4-1 (.800)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 41-21 (.661)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 12-4 (.750)
Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 4-5 (.444)
Game 6 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 3-2 (.600)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1283 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and
MLB series played through the 2015 NBA and NHL Finals. Note in general
that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular
situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning
fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning
fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is
400-100 rather than 4-1.