A lot of sharper bettors have been on the Brewers over the last two weeks. They're healthy for the first time all season and the lineup is relatively formidable.
Let's not confuse the issues here. The betting public loves the Nats and hates the Brewers. The oddsmakers see this things differently, and view Zimm as just a notch above Fiers (an advantaged "negated" in the linesmaking process by the Brew Crew being at home).
This line was not made with the intention of "tricking" or "trapping" the general public. It was made the same way ALL MLB lines are made: based on power rankings firmly grounded in unbiased reality.
A lot of sharper bettors have been on the Brewers over the last two weeks. They're healthy for the first time all season and the lineup is relatively formidable.
Let's not confuse the issues here. The betting public loves the Nats and hates the Brewers. The oddsmakers see this things differently, and view Zimm as just a notch above Fiers (an advantaged "negated" in the linesmaking process by the Brew Crew being at home).
This line was not made with the intention of "tricking" or "trapping" the general public. It was made the same way ALL MLB lines are made: based on power rankings firmly grounded in unbiased reality.
83% of money coming in on them and line moving down...
give me brewers
interesting capping philosophy, I to look for similar opportunities in all sports, using pregame.com and sportinginsights.com to follow line and totals movement and betting %'s.
83% of money coming in on them and line moving down...
give me brewers
interesting capping philosophy, I to look for similar opportunities in all sports, using pregame.com and sportinginsights.com to follow line and totals movement and betting %'s.
A lot of sharper bettors have been on the Brewers over the last two weeks. They're healthy for the first time all season and the lineup is relatively formidable.
Let's not confuse the issues here. The betting public loves the Nats and hates the Brewers. The oddsmakers see this things differently, and view Zimm as just a notch above Fiers (an advantaged "negated" in the linesmaking process by the Brew Crew being at home).
This line was not made with the intention of "tricking" or "trapping" the general public. It was made the same way ALL MLB lines are made: based on power rankings firmly grounded in unbiased reality.
so when more money comes in on a team... 80+% shouldnt the line become higher for that team????
not saying its a lock by any means lol..... but more often than not these plays will win
A lot of sharper bettors have been on the Brewers over the last two weeks. They're healthy for the first time all season and the lineup is relatively formidable.
Let's not confuse the issues here. The betting public loves the Nats and hates the Brewers. The oddsmakers see this things differently, and view Zimm as just a notch above Fiers (an advantaged "negated" in the linesmaking process by the Brew Crew being at home).
This line was not made with the intention of "tricking" or "trapping" the general public. It was made the same way ALL MLB lines are made: based on power rankings firmly grounded in unbiased reality.
so when more money comes in on a team... 80+% shouldnt the line become higher for that team????
not saying its a lock by any means lol..... but more often than not these plays will win
so when more money comes in on a team... 80+% shouldnt the line become higher for that team????
not saying its a lock by any means lol..... but more often than not these plays will win
detroit and giants also look like a trap
We do not know how much money is coming in either side. Yes, there are websites which show percentages, and for the purpose of this discussion, I'll assume those percentages are accurate. Those numbers do NOT, however, show how much actual money is on either side.
"80%" of bettors are actually on Washington tonight. Fine. But who are they? Is it the guy who throws $25 on a few games to entertain himself? Is it the tourist visiting Vegas and wants to take a chance on an 8-team parlay? Or is it the quasi-professional bettor who wagers on four or five games per week at an average bet of $3,000?
Line movement like this generally indicates that "sharp" and/or influential (heavy money) bettors are on the side opposite the "public." I don't disagree with you there.
But that still does not make it a "trap." Webster's dictionary defines "trap" - in part - as "a trick by which someone is misled into acting contrary to their interests or intentions."
No one betting this game or ANY other MLB game is being misled. The line is made using objective criteria that evaluates the strength/weakness of one team relative to its opponent.
Very, very, very few bettors can apply such objective criterion when betting games. We all, to varying extents, bring our subjective biases to bear when making wagers. For example, browse the forum today and you'll see a whole lot of "the Nats are good," and "the Brewers suck." Those folks then take this preconceived premise/bias and apply it to the situation at-hand (in this case, a game in which the odds of the Brewers or Nats winning is essentially a toss-up).
The oddsmakers made this line a near toss-up because the objective, unbiased, mathematics-based criterion said so.
so when more money comes in on a team... 80+% shouldnt the line become higher for that team????
not saying its a lock by any means lol..... but more often than not these plays will win
detroit and giants also look like a trap
We do not know how much money is coming in either side. Yes, there are websites which show percentages, and for the purpose of this discussion, I'll assume those percentages are accurate. Those numbers do NOT, however, show how much actual money is on either side.
"80%" of bettors are actually on Washington tonight. Fine. But who are they? Is it the guy who throws $25 on a few games to entertain himself? Is it the tourist visiting Vegas and wants to take a chance on an 8-team parlay? Or is it the quasi-professional bettor who wagers on four or five games per week at an average bet of $3,000?
Line movement like this generally indicates that "sharp" and/or influential (heavy money) bettors are on the side opposite the "public." I don't disagree with you there.
But that still does not make it a "trap." Webster's dictionary defines "trap" - in part - as "a trick by which someone is misled into acting contrary to their interests or intentions."
No one betting this game or ANY other MLB game is being misled. The line is made using objective criteria that evaluates the strength/weakness of one team relative to its opponent.
Very, very, very few bettors can apply such objective criterion when betting games. We all, to varying extents, bring our subjective biases to bear when making wagers. For example, browse the forum today and you'll see a whole lot of "the Nats are good," and "the Brewers suck." Those folks then take this preconceived premise/bias and apply it to the situation at-hand (in this case, a game in which the odds of the Brewers or Nats winning is essentially a toss-up).
The oddsmakers made this line a near toss-up because the objective, unbiased, mathematics-based criterion said so.
A lot of sharper bettors have been on the Brewers over the last two weeks. They're healthy for the first time all season and the lineup is relatively formidable.
Let's not confuse the issues here. The betting public loves the Nats and hates the Brewers. The oddsmakers see this things differently, and view Zimm as just a notch above Fiers (an advantaged "negated" in the linesmaking process by the Brew Crew being at home).
This line was not made with the intention of "tricking" or "trapping" the general public. It was made the same way ALL MLB lines are made: based on power rankings firmly grounded in unbiased reality.
7 years, 7000 posts, and yet still believes that American sports is "sports". You should know by now that American sports is purely entertainment, and there are men who seek to take advantage of this by creating a thing called "sports betting".
A lot of sharper bettors have been on the Brewers over the last two weeks. They're healthy for the first time all season and the lineup is relatively formidable.
Let's not confuse the issues here. The betting public loves the Nats and hates the Brewers. The oddsmakers see this things differently, and view Zimm as just a notch above Fiers (an advantaged "negated" in the linesmaking process by the Brew Crew being at home).
This line was not made with the intention of "tricking" or "trapping" the general public. It was made the same way ALL MLB lines are made: based on power rankings firmly grounded in unbiased reality.
7 years, 7000 posts, and yet still believes that American sports is "sports". You should know by now that American sports is purely entertainment, and there are men who seek to take advantage of this by creating a thing called "sports betting".
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