Thursday 3-3 +0.21 Units.
YTD 114-111 +19.89 Units @ avg W Odds +103 (ROR 3.57%)
Friday
Hou -104 (McHugh) 2.25U
LAA -102 (Richards) 2.25U
Cin +146 (Leake) 1.5U
STL +100 (Lynn) 2.5U
Min +125 (Hughes) 2U
GL everyone
Thursday 3-3 +0.21 Units.
YTD 114-111 +19.89 Units @ avg W Odds +103 (ROR 3.57%)
Friday
Hou -104 (McHugh) 2.25U
LAA -102 (Richards) 2.25U
Cin +146 (Leake) 1.5U
STL +100 (Lynn) 2.5U
Min +125 (Hughes) 2U
GL everyone
Thursday 3-3 +0.21 Units.
YTD 114-111 +19.89 Units @ avg W Odds +103 (ROR 3.57%)
Friday
Hou -104 (McHugh) 2.25U
LAA -102 (Richards) 2.25U
Cin +146 (Leake) 1.5U
STL +100 (Lynn) 2.5U
Min +125 (Hughes) 2U
GL everyone
corrected.. Thursday 3-3 +0.21 Units. YTD 114-111 +20.1 Units @ avg W Odds +103 (ROR 3.57%) Friday Hou -104 (McHugh) 2.25U LAA -102 (Richards) 2.25U Cin +146 (Leake) 1.5U STL +100 (Lynn) 2.5U Min +125 (Hughes) 2U GL everyone |
corrected.. Thursday 3-3 +0.21 Units. YTD 114-111 +20.1 Units @ avg W Odds +103 (ROR 3.57%) Friday Hou -104 (McHugh) 2.25U LAA -102 (Richards) 2.25U Cin +146 (Leake) 1.5U STL +100 (Lynn) 2.5U Min +125 (Hughes) 2U GL everyone |
I'm confident in the play, but the Reds at +146 is a much riskier play than playing a -125 favorite--I usually adjust the Units downward a bit more for dogs than favs.
Probably more of a play on Leake to bounce back from a bad last start (with 3 stellar ones before that). Also, Leake's WHIP is 1.1 and Carrasco's home ERA is over 7 (small sample size though). Leake has also been very good on the road. Thinking Leake gives his team a chance in a low scoring game despite their recent struggles. We'll see.
I'm confident in the play, but the Reds at +146 is a much riskier play than playing a -125 favorite--I usually adjust the Units downward a bit more for dogs than favs.
Probably more of a play on Leake to bounce back from a bad last start (with 3 stellar ones before that). Also, Leake's WHIP is 1.1 and Carrasco's home ERA is over 7 (small sample size though). Leake has also been very good on the road. Thinking Leake gives his team a chance in a low scoring game despite their recent struggles. We'll see.
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