After hitting a couple nice plays on the YANKS by fading the JAYS. I
took a week off after betting the BOSUX/JAYS ovre in back to back games.
And the JAYS and their f-ugly pitching staff was somehow able to hold
BOS to just a single run over 2 games.
But today I think we have another solid spot for fading the JAYS with
the ANGELS in town. The HALOS are playing well right now and although
they may be underachieving they are picking up steam winning 7 of their
last 10 overall. While the JAYS continue to struggle winning just 2
times in their last 10.
TOR does have Hutchison pitching and he has managed to rack up a
respectable 3-0 record this year and the team is 5-3 when he starts. But
I think that is a bit of smoke and mirrors and due to some crazy run
support that should regress a bit moving forward. Because other than his
record the rest of his numbers are pretty suspect. His era for the year
is 6.17and his whip is 1.51. And although he has had 2 good outings in a
row the JAYS are 1-2 in his L3 and he still has allowed 20 hits in 15
innings of work and has a 1.5 whip and 5.28 era in those 3 starts.
Weaver is going for the ANGELS and despite a rough start he too has
had a couple quality back to back starts. He threw a complete game 6
hits shutout to the STROS and then backed it up with a 7.1 inning start
where he only allowed 3 hits and a single run.
So with the HALOS 10-10 on the road and the JAYS 10-8 at home I don't
see a big gap there. So given the current form of the two teams and the
two starts I think LAA have some solid value as +120 road dogs tonight.
After hitting a couple nice plays on the YANKS by fading the JAYS. I
took a week off after betting the BOSUX/JAYS ovre in back to back games.
And the JAYS and their f-ugly pitching staff was somehow able to hold
BOS to just a single run over 2 games.
But today I think we have another solid spot for fading the JAYS with
the ANGELS in town. The HALOS are playing well right now and although
they may be underachieving they are picking up steam winning 7 of their
last 10 overall. While the JAYS continue to struggle winning just 2
times in their last 10.
TOR does have Hutchison pitching and he has managed to rack up a
respectable 3-0 record this year and the team is 5-3 when he starts. But
I think that is a bit of smoke and mirrors and due to some crazy run
support that should regress a bit moving forward. Because other than his
record the rest of his numbers are pretty suspect. His era for the year
is 6.17and his whip is 1.51. And although he has had 2 good outings in a
row the JAYS are 1-2 in his L3 and he still has allowed 20 hits in 15
innings of work and has a 1.5 whip and 5.28 era in those 3 starts.
Weaver is going for the ANGELS and despite a rough start he too has
had a couple quality back to back starts. He threw a complete game 6
hits shutout to the STROS and then backed it up with a 7.1 inning start
where he only allowed 3 hits and a single run.
So with the HALOS 10-10 on the road and the JAYS 10-8 at home I don't
see a big gap there. So given the current form of the two teams and the
two starts I think LAA have some solid value as +120 road dogs tonight.
Well of course the line changes while I have it in the bet window. And it could bounce back up but I'm just jumping on it now before I lose even more value.
///////////
MLB:
(1)LAA (game) ML +110 risking 1 unit
(2)LAA (game) -1.5 +180 risking a half unit
(3)LAA to win the game by 1 run exactly +600 risking 0.15 units
Well of course the line changes while I have it in the bet window. And it could bounce back up but I'm just jumping on it now before I lose even more value.
///////////
MLB:
(1)LAA (game) ML +110 risking 1 unit
(2)LAA (game) -1.5 +180 risking a half unit
(3)LAA to win the game by 1 run exactly +600 risking 0.15 units
Think I'm taking the HALOS/JAYS OVER. Both starters have era's well over 5 on the year and L3 combine for an era closing in on 12 or an average of 6 respectively. The teams had their "aces" (not true aces I know) going and we got 7. I think with Dickey having lost his stuff and Shoemaker with just 2 quality starts L5 starts this looks playable.....gotta dig a bit deeper before decide if it's a play and for how much.
Think I'm taking the HALOS/JAYS OVER. Both starters have era's well over 5 on the year and L3 combine for an era closing in on 12 or an average of 6 respectively. The teams had their "aces" (not true aces I know) going and we got 7. I think with Dickey having lost his stuff and Shoemaker with just 2 quality starts L5 starts this looks playable.....gotta dig a bit deeper before decide if it's a play and for how much.
I still like the over but now with the tag jumping to O 8.5 -130 and
Poo-Holes being out I think I'll dial it back a bit so I don't risk
giving back the majority of yesterdays ends.
////////
2015 MLB YTD RECORD: 27-29-2 for +7.062 UNITS
////////
MLB:
(1)LAA/TOR (game) OVER 8.5 -130 to win a half unit
(2)LAA to win the game by 1 run exactly +600 risking 0.1 unit
I still like the over but now with the tag jumping to O 8.5 -130 and
Poo-Holes being out I think I'll dial it back a bit so I don't risk
giving back the majority of yesterdays ends.
////////
2015 MLB YTD RECORD: 27-29-2 for +7.062 UNITS
////////
MLB:
(1)LAA/TOR (game) OVER 8.5 -130 to win a half unit
(2)LAA to win the game by 1 run exactly +600 risking 0.1 unit
Taking a shot with Sale in game 1 of the double header. I think he may get an even bigger K-Zone because umps typically want to get game 1 over and done with asap.
Taking a shot with Sale in game 1 of the double header. I think he may get an even bigger K-Zone because umps typically want to get game 1 over and done with asap.
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